Quoting: CaseyFlyman
A guaranteed top-6 pick this year is objectively more valuable than a 1st-rounder 2 years from now, full stop. There's nothing to argue. It could turn out great if the Penguins finish dead last and land 1OA in a great draft class. But to guarantee it's at least as valuable as a top-6 pick now, they'd have finish 4th-last or worst, in an equally strong or better draft class just to make up for the 2-year difference, and there's just too many variables for a GM to say "yes, that's likely enough that this pick is equal in value".
But even IF those picks were equal, we're supposed to send one of our most valuable players to a division rival for Graves (who is a borderline cap-dump) and a 3rd? If Dubas made that offer, he'd receive an emphatic "get f***ed" from whoever the next GM is. It's an astoundingly, insultingly, laughably bad offer.
i never said anything on the player. I'm just pointing out the value of those two picks, are more close in value than was assumed. That's probably a top 5 pick. CBJ pick is a top 5 pick....
If you think that one drat is better than the other.....
Obviously as stated an actual pick is better than a potential pick. I have said this. but the whole thing is a hypothetical. The CBJ pick you don't know where you are picking yet.
It doesn't have to be as high as you think. And the PIT pick is probably going to be lower than most want to admit. It's a nursing home team being fielded that year with no real prospect of changing that.
You might not even see Crosby on that team by that point. You don't know. What I do know is 38 year old Crosby not going to carry the team on his back in a super human effort like it took this year to not finish 7th or 8th OA like they were headed. If they are that bad now..... how much worse you think it's getting in 2 more years.