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dk325

Dolzhenkov Is Coming
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Blue Jackets de Columbus
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<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LuckyMoneyPuck</b></div><div>This all depends where these picks end. CBJ pick could very well be lower than you think. The pens pick higher than you think as 8-16 is pretty generous. They were in the 8 range already this year. If the last two weeks of the season didn't go as it did they could have finished lower than 8.
So give them 2 years of getting older, and you just don't know what you are going to get.

Again the draft class has a lot to do with it as well. Some are deeper than others. A 10 pick in one is worth more than a 6 pick in another.
Either way, the point is, my estimation of where those two picks end up aren't very far off. Pens could very well be picking top 3 in 2 years. Even with Crosby on the team.
It's not like Dubas has worked some voodoo magic to improve the team.</div></div>

Getting a top 3 pick is a whole lot harder than you're giving it credit for. It's far easier to get stuck in the mushy middle and with the Pens making an effort to continue winning it's very likely that that's exactly where they'll end up. You're also continuing to ignore that adding two years of development time and a complete unknown of the draft position drops the value of that pick a significant amount. You don't get to estimate the value of a proposal off of applying the worst case scenario to one asset and the best case scenario to the other. That's not how that works.

Also, no the CBJ pick can't be lower than I think. It is guaranteed to be top 6. That's how the season being over and knowing the draft lottery positions works.