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HabsFan33

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Canadiens de Montréal
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Forum: Armchair-GM12 oct. 2021 à 20 h 51
Sujet: Strome
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>littlejerryseinfeld</b></div><div>Lol at the idea that Chicago of all teams will trade for a sexual predator after what came out about the organization this offseason</div></div>

I understand your point of view regarding the optic of acquiring Mailloux with what has come out about Chicago. However, to call Mailloux a sexual predator is a little overtop. Yes, the kid made a mistake and was punished under Swedish law for that offense. My understanding of the Mailloux incident was that he showed a picture of the girl with whom is shared an intimate moment with to his teammates. I don't think he even posted the picture online. And also, I don't recall anywhere in the story that he sexually assaulted her, etc.. Not defending Mailloux or his actions but the Chicago organization (and Bowman) turned a blind eye to formal complaints about an employee who was a true sexual predator.
Forum: Armchair-GM7 sept. 2021 à 9 h 1
Sujet: Discuss line combinations
I agree with most of the lineup. Here are my lines and pairings:

Drouin-Suzuki-Caufield (Drouin is the playmaker that will feed his linemates)
Hoffman-Dvorak-Anderson
Toffoli-Evans-Gallagher
Lekhonen-Paquette-Armia (don't think Poehling makes the club out of camp. I think he needs another season in Laval to dominate like he did last year in 28 games)

Edmundson-Petry
Romanov-Savard
Chiarot-Wideman (Wideman starts the year on the third pair to give the opportunity. If he doesn't move the puck well or isn't creating some offense, Kulak will draw in and Chiarot will move to the right side)

Once Byron is back in December/January, he'll rotate in and out of the lineup on the fourth line. Then, I think depending on how the Habs are doing in the playoffs race, I think Lekhonen will be traded before the deadline, especially if Montreal is out of the playoffs.
Forum: Armchair-GM22 juill. 2021 à 10 h 40
Sujet: dadonov plus other things
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sensonfire</b></div><div>We could have had Byron on waivers during the regular season and we didn't claim him.

So, this is Dadonov with retention to a division rival for a 4th round pick.

Hard pass :(</div></div>

I did the retention first and forgot to adjust after I'd signed everybody and completed other trades. As you can see with the space left, Habs could take on the full Dadonov cap hit. So no problem there.

As for Byron and this rhetoric that "he was on waivers last year, we could have grabbed him for free, why do we want him know" is complete BS. In case you don't know how waivers work, once you pick up a guy - he has to stay on your NHL roster for at least 30 days, whether you play him or not. And when his on your roster, his daily cap hit counts toward the team total (I'm sure you know that already). With that said, by the time Byron was put on waivers the first time, Ottawa had already committed to playing the kids with a few vets sitting in the stands. It didn't make sense for their roster at the time.

Now, with news this week that Dorion has confirmed that both Dadonov and Tierney will be traded prior to camp opening - it seems clear to me that Dadonov now becomes a cap dump. If I'm Ottawa, I'd rather have Byron at $3.4M for two yrs than Dadonov at $5M for two. Byron is a much more versatile player than Dadonov. He's great 5v5 and an excellent PK player. HIs work ethic alone is something the young guns would appreciate in Ottawa. Dadonov is a PP specialist imo. I think the trade works for both teams needs. Habs get someone that could provide extra offense if paired with Suzuki/Caufield and Sens get a versatile bottom 6 winger - which where Dadonov would probably end up playing if Sens can't find a suitor.
Forum: Armchair-GM15 mai 2021 à 16 h 56
Sujet: Playoff lines
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Shanesaw9</b></div><div>Swith Armia and Anderson.

Anderson's most common linemate this season was KK with a GF% of 54 together. He had a GF% of 47 with Suzuki and 33 with Toffoli.

Suzuki's best linemate this season has been Armia with a GF% of 67. Suzuki's GF% with Toffoli is only 42, however Toffoli's best linemate is also Armia with a GF% of 71. Suzuki and Toffoli are also Armia's best linemates. Since Armia has been on that line it has been successful.

I think this stems from Armia playing a puck control game and making plays with his hands, where as Anderson just plays a North South speed game.

So:
Toffoli - Suzuki - Armia (Offensive Line)

Perry - KK - Anderson (Checking / Crash the Net line)</div></div>

That could work as well. But my logic was simple - Armia hasn't gotten a point in the last 7 games of the season, which he's played primarily with Toffoli and Suzuki. Although, I agree with your statement about Armia's puck control, it hasn't produced a lot of offence for him. Suzuki has started producing again for two reasons imo, he's skating again and has started to shoot the puck more. Both Suzuki and Anderson clicked for the first 10-12 games of the season and I think the Suzuki can get Anderson going again. Armia has had chemistry with KK before. Maybe playing with his countryman can get KK going again. And Armia's puck control will mean KK can hopefully get a few more shots to the net instead of having to chase down the puck all the time.

As for Toffoli and Perry, I truly believe it doesn't matter who they play with. Those guys are gamers and Stanley Cup champions and find a way in the big games. They may not score every game but I think when the Habs will need a goal to tie or take the lead in a crucial moment, they'll deliver.
Forum: Armchair-GM26 avr. 2021 à 18 h 3
Sujet: Just tryin over here
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>Dont see Zona trading their 1C for healthy scratch winger</div></div>

I didn't realize that Dvorak was the #1C for the Yotes. Looking at his stats, didn't strike me as someone who's a 1C tbh. I was looking more at length of contract vs cap hit.

It's just tough trying to find a spot in the NHL for Drouin. I really think the spotlight in MTL is too much for him as a Quebecer. If he could land on a team where he wasn't the go-to guy, he would flourish imo.

But, unfortunately, he will always be plagued by the lack of effort he shows to reach his full potential!!!!

For the record, Drouin has yet to be a healthy scratch this year (or any in MTL). The last two games he missed has been due to injury.
Forum: Armchair-GM23 avr. 2021 à 10 h 34
Sujet: Welcome to the fold Seattle
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Wreckless</b></div><div>Good links! Thanks for those.

Seattle can’t buy anyone out, I agree. But a mutual contract termination is not a buyout.

There is no possible recapture penalty for Montreal anymore. Rules were amended for Nashville last year:

https://awinninghabit.com/2020/07/07/montreal-canadiens-shea-weber-cap-recapture/</div></div>

Thanks for the update on recapture penalty. I wasn't aware that had been amended by the league.

And, you are right, a mutual termination is not a buyout. But I just don't see Weber accepting that. I think that if he felt he could still contribute, he'd just play out the contract. Not sure he would voluntarily agree to a termination then resign for 5 yrs to make his money back. Best scenario for Habs is that he can still be effective next two years and for the last three of his contract becomes a player/coach. Whenever he doesn't dress, he becomes the defense coach on the bench. That way, Habs maximize is health/effectiveness on the ice while keeping the veteran presence in the room.
Forum: Armchair-GM23 avr. 2021 à 9 h 19
Sujet: Welcome to the fold Seattle
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Wreckless</b></div><div>« We’ll see you in court. »</div></div>

Cool story bro!

But, the reality is this. Seattle cannot terminate a contract of any player taken in the expansion draft - mutual or not. It is an NHL rule for expansion. A player that is drafted in expansion must be on the team for at least a year. Furthermore, if Weber retires/terminated within the next two seasons, the recapture penalty will fall on both Nashville and the team owning his rights at the time. The only instance where the recapture penalty is solely on Nashville is after the 2022-23 season is completed.

Please refer to the following site for explanation/calculation of recapture penalty on Weber:
https://www.prohockeyrumors.com/2018/07/the-salary-cap-implications-of-a-shea-weber-early-retirement.html#:~:text=To%20combat%20teams%20continuing%20to%20front-load%20contracts%2C%20the,negating%20the%20years%20that%20lowered%20his%20cap%20hit.

And this is the link explaining the no buy out rule for expansion draft picks:
https://www.nhl.com/news/seattle-kraken-2021-nhl-expansion-draft-rules-same-as-vegas-golden-knights-followed/c-302586918
Forum: Armchair-GM21 avr. 2021 à 9 h 7
Sujet: Ducharmes team
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Hockey247</b></div><div>i can add picks tbh. both have been on waivers this season so i assumed both have similar values.</div></div>

I don't disagree with the Ghost/Byron trade, but using the rationale that because both were on waivers this year they have similar value is incorrect. The reason both players were put on waivers throughout the season was so both teams could accrue cap space on days they were not playing. Both teams assumed (and rightfully so) that because of their contracts and cap hit, they would never be claimed. Furthermore, the real reason both went unclaimed at different stages of the season is simple - any team claiming them would have to keep them on their roster for 30 days before sending them back to the taxi squad. Most teams competing for the playoffs were already near the cap. And those that had the room, chose to play their young guys. Byron is a serviceable top 9/bottom 6 forward that can play any forward position and is a great PK guy. IMO, Ghost is a one dimensional d-man. Not sure he's a player that would be in demand.
Forum: Armchair-GM18 avr. 2021 à 14 h 33
Sujet: Seattle Kraken Mock Draft With Trades
To also add to the previous comments about UFA's. As it has been pointed out already, Seattle is well within the rules (and their right) to draft any player that is a UFA. And yes, by drafting such a player would give them an opportunity to try and sign him before free agency opens officially, which would be after the entry draft in late July. What hasn't been posted in a comment yet (I don't believe) is that a UFA that gets selected by Seattle does not have to sign with them, making it a useless pick by Seattle.

I can see several teams not protecting UFA's but having a verbal agreement in place with the player/agent that as soon as free agency opens, they sign on the dotted line.

I would suspect that if Seattle had a UFA in mind, they would reach out to that player's representatives to find out about the possibility of signing after getting selected in the expansion draft. Otherwise, I don't see why Ron Francis would take that gamble. Impossible to know what will happen of course but, like the Vegas expansion draft, I predict several teams making side deals with the Kraken to "lose" certain players off their roster!
Forum: Armchair-GM17 mars 2021 à 12 h 14
Sujet: Different take
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HabsFuture</b></div><div>you forgot about Caufield ;)</div></div>

Yes I did in the sense I didn't sign him to his entry level contract but no I didn't as it pertains to him being in the NHL next year. Although he may be tearing it up in college, I don't see him having remotely the same impact in Montreal next year. IMO, he'll need one full year in Laval to learn to be a pro and if miraculously, he tears it up in AHL, you can call him up during the season. I think Habs fans should prepare themselves for a slight bust in Caufield. I highly doubt he will be able to score 20 goals consistently at the NHL level. Obviously, it's way too early to right him off but the amount pressure they will put on him will be too much to bear. I just don't see anything in his game (beside his shot) that leads me to believe he'll be a star in the NHL. But hey, I hope I'm wrong!
Forum: Armchair-GM15 mars 2021 à 16 h 37
Sujet: After season before expansion draft
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OldNYIfan</b></div><div>I don't know why Arizona would trade Chychrun, who is one of the two defensemen the Coyotes have whom they would protect from Seattle in the expansion draft, but I do know that Montreal aren't about to trade Cole Caufield.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Howisjulienstillhere</b></div><div>Why? Let Romanov be the top 4 d next year. This team needs caufield</div></div>

I don't normally reply to comments on my posts for a variety of reasons. First, most of the time users of this website do not read thoroughly any description provided in the Team explanation dialogue box or the descriptions within the trade boxes. Secondly, it is of my opinion that about only 10% of users here are knowledgeable about hockey and have the basic understanding of the workings of the NHL as it relates to trades and/or signings.

Now, to respond to both of yours comments. First, I clearly stated that Arizona doesn't have to trade Chychrun. The point of this post is to gauge the value needed from Montreal to get such a player from Arizona. I feel like I overpaid in terms of prospects/picks in this scenario. To get a player like Chychrun, MTL would have to overpay.

Although the sample size is small, Romanov is clearly not ready for top 4 duties yet. There was a point in the first period on Saturday night where Romanov had no idea where to position himself in his own d-zone. He's got tremendous upside but should not be rushed at all. Getting a player like Chychrun would allow us to keep Romanov on third pair. We would just need to find a veteran RD to play with him so that he can progress on his natural side. Another unfortunate habit he's developing in the last 10-12 games is skating around the ice looking for the big hit!!! He's even crossed over to his partner's side in the neutral zone attempting one of these hits. I think patience is needed with Romanov before he becomes the next Mete. I bring up Victor Mete because that's exactly what MTL did to him. Because of the poor job by MB in the summer of 2017, MTL had no LHD capable of top 4 minutes. Then comes this young, small D that can skate and everybody wet their pants because "finally" MTL has a partner for Weber. Mete couldn't handle the load and because Habs were desperate, failed to notice the flaws in his game. He has no shot, cannot defend his zone physically and provides no offence. The only thing he's really good at is skating, which should allow him to be a 6-7th defenseman in the NHL for the next 4-5 yrs at the most. Watch any game he's played in this year and you'll see a kid trying to do too much just to show that he thinks he belongs. If he kept it simple and was more efficient with the puck, it might be easier for Ducharme and staff to keep him in the lineup. But right now, every game he plays makes hard to justify keeping him in there. With the Chiarot injury, I'd rather have Ouellet play or even give another shot to Fleury on the right side!

Now, as for Caufield, I don't understand why so many on here think he's going to be great at the NHL level? While looking at a player's performance in the World Juniors is not an indication of future success, it should still be used to provide insight on one's potential for success at the next level. And, while I feel that US college hockey is certainly more competitive than 10 yrs ago, I wouldn't call it an elite league. Especially, if you compare it to Major Junior. Success in college rarely (I know there are exceptions) translates to the NHL. In two WJC, Caufield only managed 7 pts in 12 games and was a -3 while playing in the top 6. The other 5 players in the top 6 played in both tournament and produced double digit points. And, as for his performances in Wisconsin, I would venture a guess and say that the level of competition is nowhere near what it is at the WJC. At 5'7 and 160 lbs, he is not the type of player needed in MTL. We've had small forwards for the longest time. Don't see why Habs bend over backwards to make room for him. Next year, we already have Anderson, Gallagher and Toffoli at RW. And potentially, Armia and Perry could be resigned. Most likely they won't but if one of them is, there's no room for Caufield in the lineup. Habs will need to focus on LH left wingers with speed, size and scoring ability. I realize there have been (and currently are) small forwards that have had plenty of success in the NHL but those players had more tools in the toolbox than Caufield. Again, with a small sample size from the WJC (as I don't see any Wisconsin games), Caufield's only weapon is a great shot. He's not a very good skater (nor is he fast), not sure he'll be reliable defensively and I fear the first big hit he takes in the show will permanently scar him! Now, the reason I include him in the trade is because everybody else thinks he's a great, can't miss prospect. I don't believe it. But if it gets us a 22 year old d-man like Chychrun, sign me up!!!!