Quoting: Not_Isles5513
I like the player, but I think the bigger issue is that they have passed on the BPA in back to back drafts. Also trading the draft capital they did for Dach and Newhook was even worse than their drafting imo.
I can agree that the trades look bad, but Dach was on pace for a 58-point season on a team so thoroughly devastated by injuries. It will be hard to evaluate that trade over the short term if he finds a bit more growth in the Canadians organization and hovers around that 60 point mark over his career. Unless Nazar breaks through into the NHL like a bat out of hell, or Gavin Hayes does likewise, that trade could end up being a wash long-term.
I actually think the Canadiens are going to win the Newhook deal even if he never exceeds third-line production. Losing the high second round selection stings a bit but towards the back third of the first round is when you start consistently finding middle-six to third-line talents.
We, especially as fans that are so much more zoomed in on the salary cap and the draft, need to be very careful about making sure we aren't overvaluing draft picks and prospects right out of the draft. It's new toy syndrome. If we look back to the 2018 draft between picks #20 and #40, I can pick out five players (Miller, Sandin, Samuelsson, Romanov, McLeod) in that range that meet or exceeded third line/bottom pairing quality. In 2017, there were also five (Thomas, Chytil, Yamamoto, Oettinger, and Robertson; jury still out on Frost) players in that range that exceeded that same benchmark. Only Thompson, Kyrou, and DeBrincat clear that same hurdle in 2016. Everyone else picked in that range is either a bottom-of-the-roster piece or won't be an NHL regular. I think Montreal did fine moving the Florida first for Newhook, the additional second was a bit gratuitous.