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Cap dump and big 2023 draft

Créé par: GiggywithGibby
Équipe: 2022-23 Ducks d'Anaheim
Date de création initiale: 25 juill. 2022
Publié: 25 juill. 2022
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
Name of the game is to take on bad contracts in exchange for picks. Using the assumption that ~5 million cap space this year is worth a late 2nd round draft pick to teams, all player trades are made prior to the season beginning. Once the trade deadline rolls around, everything not bolted down is for sale, Lucic, Shattenkirk, and Hornqvist all avaliable for rental at 50% retention. Looking for picks/prospects coming back, and will take one veteran defenseman coming back that is on too rich of a contract, looking at you Toronto and Muzzin.

The trade for Arizona's 1st is to any team for a top 10 selection in 2023, Arizona was used as a stand in because they cut the same kind of deal with the Sharks in 2022 for the #11 draft pick.

This team weaponizes its cap space by taking several large contracts off the books for teams looking to keep their playoff windows open in exchange for picks and/or prospects. Those NHL ready, or near NHL ready prospects jump to the top of the lineup, then Anaheim goes big at the 2023 draft by selecting two players in the top 10, and multiple second rounders. Columbus, New Jersey, Detroit, and even the Habs should take serious steps forward this year, leaving Anaheim to compete with Chicago, Arizona, Seattle, and maybe Buffalo/Philly for the bottom of the barrel.

Next season when the large contracts fall off, Anaheim has significant cap flexibility, maybe makes a splashy free agent signing, and the team takes a massive leap forward for the 2023-2024 season, hopefully resulting in a first round exit in the playoffs. The team can then make use of the final years of Gibson's prime and try get him a cup. After the 2023-2024 season, Henrique and Silfy, contracts come off the books if they weren't shipped out at the deadline (50% retention of course), and the youth should have firmly established themselves as Anaheim's core.

As far as the lineup and special teams formatting goes, its all up in the air, part of taking on the bad contracts is there being mismatches and overlaps across the lines, I did not spend significant time on that, rather I focused on looking at what other teams needs, how Anaheim can facilitate that, and what trades make sense for both teams.

The thing I truly want to be able to find, either in the 2023 draft or through an acquisition, is a star left winger, something along the lines of Jason Robertson or Matthew Knies in Toronto. Hopefully Fowler and Lundestrom can make strides forward this season to their ceilings.
Signatures de joueurs autonomes
RFAANSCAP HIT
33 500 000 $
Transactions
1.
ANA
  1. Hörnqvist, Patric
  2. Choix de 2e ronde en 2023 (FLA)
Détails additionnels:
What Florida gets: 5.3 million off the books, cap compliance

Reasoning: This is a cap dump move. Hornqvist was once a great player, but age has caught up to him. In a year when the Panthers seemed to be able to score when they wanted, in whoever's barn they wanted, seemingly from wherever on the ice they wanted, Hornqvists point per game nearly halved from the season before. He is too expensive for that point production, and Florida is over the cap by 3.3 million as of this posting.

They have a few prospects at right wing that could fill the void for near league minimum contracts, maybe its time to give Aleksi Heponiemi or Serron Noel their shot at the bigs.
FLA
    What Anaheim gets: A late 2023 2nd and a guy who can get buts in seats coming from the presidents trophy winning team.
    2.
    ANA
    1. Zucker, Jason
    2. Choix de 2e ronde en 2023 (PIT)
    Détails additionnels:
    What Pittsburg gets: 5.5 Million off the books, cap compliance

    Reasoning: Crosby and the core in Pittsburg are aging, and there are only a few more kicks left at the can before they fall off and their window truly closes. It doesn't look like Zucker ever worked out in Pittsburg, not being able to stay healthy, relegated to the forth line. His point production is good on pace for third line, but he has only played half of each season since he got to Pittsburg. Simply put, 5.5 million is to much to pay for what this guy brings to the team, and that money could be used elsewhere to acquire a piece at the trade dealine to try and go deep in the playoffs.

    2023 2nd pick pays 5.5 million in cap space, which the penguins can use to get someone before the season begins, or to sit on and buy at the deadline with. This year having cap room could be a huge benefit to a team that is just one piece away.
    PIT
      What Anaheim gets: A feel good story bringing an Orange County native home, and a second round pick in 2023
      3.
      ANA
      1. Kylington, Oliver [Droits de RFA]
      2. Lucic, Milan
      Détails additionnels:
      What Calgary gets: 4.25 million in cap space, utility from an unsigned 9th Defenseman, an early 2023 4th, and a serviceable bottom 6 forward on a budget.

      Reasoning:
      Lucic has been a workhorse for Calgary, but at 22 points in a season, 5.25 mil is an excessive amount of cap space for a 4th line axe murderer.

      To complicate matters, they just picked up Huberdeau and Weeger in a trade, but both are UFAs at the end of the season, so Calgary needs to have a strong performance this year in order to convince them to stay.

      Lucic, and his cap hit, need to go. The going rate for ~5 million in cap space is a second round pick, but Calgary is overflowing with 25 year old defensemen. Kylington's RFA rights will get Lucic gone, a 2023 4th, and a budget replacement forward perfect to slot back into the bottom 6.

      Grant put up 49 shot blocks, 69 hits, and 29 points on a terrible ducks team last season, he should fit into nicely into Sutter's system. At 6'3" and 210 lbs, he is almost as large as Lucic.
      CGY
      1. Grant, Derek
      2. Choix de 4e ronde en 2023 (ANA)
      Détails additionnels:
      What Anaheim gets: A NHL ready defensive prospect and Milan Lucic, King of the Lumber, who has very little real money owed against his 5,25 mil cap hit.
      4.
      ANA
      1. Gustavsson, Filip
      2. Choix de 1e ronde en 2023 (MIN)
      Détails additionnels:
      What Minnesota gets: A strong upgrade at backup goaltender, a high 2nd round pick.

      Reasoning: Minnesota rode their stout goalie tandem deep into the post season last year, but Talbot has forced his way out, and Wallstedt isn't ready for the bigs yet. Gustavsson had only 18 games last season on the Sens, and was playing at a decidedly AHL level for them with a sub .900 SV% and 3.55 GAA in. Stolarz meanwhile played 28 games posting a 0.917 and 2.67 GAA on a Ducks team that was considered to have an AHL level defense to help him out. If Minnesota wants to roll the clock back, they are going to need to stand on their goalies shoulders again, and Flower is getting up there in years, he will likely need a sturdy backup. Stolarz is young, ready, and 6'6".

      Stolarz was an absolute stud for us, but with Dostal waiting in the wings and Gibson locked up as our starter, Stolarz is stuck as a fantastic backup on a team in the middle of a rebuild.

      Minnesota moves down around 20 spots in the 2023 draft and gets a serious upgrade in their backup netminder. The more success Minnesota has in the post season, the better this deal looks, as it could end up being that the picks are less than 10 spots apart.
      MIN
      1. Stolarz, Anthony
      2. Choix de 2e ronde en 2023 (ANA)
      Détails additionnels:
      What Anaheim gets: A hopefully serviceable backup goalie and a late first round pick.
      5.
      ANA
      1. Choix de 1e ronde en 2023 (ARI)
      Détails additionnels:
      Arizona is a placeholder here, since they pulled a similar deal with the Sharks in 2022. Anaheim moves up from the Minnesota first round pick to a top 10.

      What (TEAM) gets: a first round pick and two seconds, all in 2023
      ARI
      1. Choix de 1e ronde en 2023 (MIN)
      2. Choix de 2e ronde en 2023 (COL)
      3. Choix de 2e ronde en 2023 (FLA)
      Détails additionnels:
      What Anaheim gets: a top 10 pick in 2023
      Rachats de contrats
      Enfoui
      Repêchage1e ronde2e ronde3e ronde4e ronde5e ronde6e ronde7e ronde
      2023
      Logo de ANA
      Logo de ARI
      Logo de BOS
      Logo de PIT
      Logo de ANA
      Logo de MIN
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      2024
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      Logo de BOS
      Logo de ANA
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      Logo de ANA
      Logo de ANA
      Logo de ANA
      2025
      Logo de ANA
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      Logo de ANA
      TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
      2382 500 000 $68 088 750 $0 $1 700 000 $14 411 250 $

      Formation

      Ailier gaucheCentreAilier droit
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      2 037 500 $2 037 500 $
      AG
      RFA - 1
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      1 456 250 $1 456 250 $
      AG, C
      M-NTC
      UFA - 2
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      1 450 000 $1 450 000 $
      AD
      UFA - 1
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      3 650 000 $3 650 000 $
      AG, AD
      UFA - 3
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      5 000 000 $5 000 000 $
      AD, C
      UFA - 5
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      5 250 000 $5 250 000 $
      AD, AG
      M-NTC
      UFA - 2
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      1 295 000 $1 295 000 $
      AG, AD
      RFA - 2
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance850 000 $$850K)
      C, AG
      RFA - 1
      Logo de Flames de Calgary
      5 250 000 $5 250 000 $
      AG, AD
      M-NTC, NMC
      UFA - 1
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      1 800 000 $1 800 000 $
      C, AG
      RFA - 2
      Logo de Panthers de la Floride
      5 300 000 $5 300 000 $
      AD
      M-NTC
      UFA - 1
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      762 500 $762 500 $
      C, AD
      UFA - 2
      Logo de Penguins de Pittsburgh
      5 500 000 $5 500 000 $
      AG, AD
      M-NTC
      UFA - 1
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      425 000 $425 000 $
      C, AD
      UFA - 2
      Défenseur gaucherDéfenseur droitierGardien de but
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      6 500 000 $6 500 000 $
      DG/DD
      M-NTC
      UFA - 4
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      850 000 $850 000 $
      DG/DD
      RFA - 2
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      6 400 000 $6 400 000 $
      G
      M-NTC
      UFA - 5
      3 500 000 $3 500 000 $
      DG/DD
      UFA - 2
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance850 000 $$850K)
      DD
      RFA - 1
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      750 000 $750 000 $
      DG/DD
      RFA - 1
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      3 900 000 $3 900 000 $
      DD
      M-NTC
      UFA - 1
      Logo de Wild du Minnesota
      787 500 $787 500 $
      G
      UFA - 1
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      750 000 $750 000 $
      DG
      UFA - 1
      Équipe de réserve
      Logo de Ducks d'Anaheim
      894 167 $894 167 $ (0 $$00 $$0) (Bonis de performance2 500 000 $$2M)
      C, AG
      RFA - 3

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      25 juill. 2022 à 23 h 8
      #1
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      Jackets already have a goaltender for the future in tarasov so they pass. You can also get first round equivalents from taking on hornqvist and zucker
      Friendly_Cannon, Ajp_18 et benjgc a aimé ceci.
      25 juill. 2022 à 23 h 42
      #2
      CGY
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      I've looked at ANA as a fit for Lucic for a while. He's a fine bottom 6 player, he's just overpaid.

      CGY has to move some D. I just think they'd like to turn Kylington into a top 9 forward. If they have to add futures to move Lucic, then they will.
      OldNYIfan et GiggywithGibby a aimé ceci.
      26 juill. 2022 à 0 h 28
      #3
      Banni
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      U aren't even in the ball park. Because Minnesota hangs up beyond easily. Minnesota isn't paying for a G and he's not worth more than a 3rd for backup. Doesn't matter if you add a 2nd round pick because Minnesota isn't moving their 1st round pick. Not in this 2023 draft, and not with Brackett
      26 juill. 2022 à 0 h 39
      #4
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      Quoting: ItWasIn
      I've looked at ANA as a fit for Lucic for a while. He's a fine bottom 6 player, he's just overpaid.

      CGY has to move some D. I just think they'd like to turn Kylington into a top 9 forward. If they have to add futures to move Lucic, then they will.


      Yeah, I have seen several Calgary AGM's that move Lucic out with a second. I think that's too steep since he is owed less real money, and that will be of interest to Anaheim. But I didn't feel like making only "cap dump for a pic" trades made for a very exciting post. Grant is highly serviceable and on a much cheaper contract, and has similar physicals to Lucic though he hits a bit less, he blocks more shots, and puts up more points. I thought a diet Lucic and a high 4th would help sweeten the deal.
      ItWasIn a aimé ceci.
      26 juill. 2022 à 0 h 47
      #5
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      Quoting: Wildnochance
      U aren't even in the ball park. Because Minnesota hangs up beyond easily. Minnesota isn't paying for a G and he's not worth more than a 3rd for backup. Doesn't matter if you add a 2nd round pick because Minnesota isn't moving their 1st round pick. Not in this 2023 draft, and not with Brackett


      Who is Brackett, did you get spell checked from Bedard? Did I miss the part when Minnesota is going to tank this year to try and get in on the sweepstakes? If you make it as far as you did last year, you are talking about moving down 10 spots in the draft from late 20 to late 30.

      If you are tanking, why bother signing Flower. You guys have almost 15 mil in dead cap for the next two seasons, so I doubt you find an option as good as Stolarz on that cheap of a contract.
      26 juill. 2022 à 3 h 15
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      Quoting: GiggywithGibby
      Who is Brackett, did you get spell checked from Bedard? Did I miss the part when Minnesota is going to tank this year to try and get in on the sweepstakes? If you make it as far as you did last year, you are talking about moving down 10 spots in the draft from late 20 to late 30.

      If you are tanking, why bother signing Flower. You guys have almost 15 mil in dead cap for the next two seasons, so I doubt you find an option as good as Stolarz on that cheap of a contract.


      Brackett is in reference to the Wild's Director of Amateur Scouting Judd Brackett. Who is widely considered to be one of the best head/lead scouts in the business. He was hired by Guerin after Jim Benning forced him out of the Canucks front office like the moron he is 3 years ago.

      Since then he's taken and transformed the Wild's prospect pool from the mid-teens (16th) to a top 5 prospect pool in the span of 3 years with his drafting.

      The man has only had what are considered to be homerun picks in each of the last 3 drafts in terms of 1st round selections. He's added Rossi, Wallstedt, Lambos, Ohgren, and Yurov with those picks.

      The fundamental point we're trying to make here. Is that we'd rather have Gustavsson and that 1st rather than Stolarz and a 2nd. It's not rocket science.

      Do we trust Brackett to make that pick 20 spots lower? Absolutely. But at the end of the day, it's still 20 spots lower in the largest stacked draft since 2015. A 20 spot difference is still going to mean the difference between a surefire top-six caliber player and a middle-sixer.

      That matters.

      Furthermore, Stolarz is already 28 years old. Which is a typical age for a guy to break into the league as a goaltender. Sure, he's better right now. But he's still going to be an UFA next offseason who's going to command $2M+ on his next contract. Which ain't great for a team that's fighting $12M+ in deadcap the next few years.

      Gustavsson is only 24, a whole FOUR years younger, and has only played 18 NHL games to date. He has shown flashes where he has looked as good as or downright better than Stolarz in terms of skill and potential. He's still going to be a RFA next offseason, but we can likely expect to extend him at either $1M or under on a 2-3 year extension. I would much rather have Gustavsson learn and backup under MAF for the next two years while we wait for Wallstedt to develop down in Iowa. Gustavsson simply bridges the gap to Wallstedt too beautifully to trade him. At the time MAF's contract is up in two years Gustavsson will be 26 and Wallstedt 22. Which lines up perfectly.

      Finally, Gustavsson was traded straight up for Cam Talbot. This would imply that Gustavsson carries as much value as Talbot. And Talbot carries more value than Stolarz, period.

      So can you honestly sit there and continue to think that the difference in value is a 1st and a 2nd?

      I don't.
      26 juill. 2022 à 3 h 57
      #7
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      love all the moves from a Ducks perspective but think the Minne one is hard to swallow. Maybe depends on Fluery's health, Gustavsson's/Stolarz' performances and where Minne see themselves in the playoffs.

      I hope Pat does get active though, be a real disappointment to not add some picks with so many closing compete windows in the East and so much cap space
      26 juill. 2022 à 4 h 7
      #8
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      Quoting: RazWild
      Brackett is in reference to the Wild's Director of Amateur Scouting Judd Brackett. Who is widely considered to be one of the best head/lead scouts in the business. He was hired by Guerin after Jim Benning forced him out of the Canucks front office like the moron he is 3 years ago.

      Since then he's taken and transformed the Wild's prospect pool from the mid-teens (16th) to a top 5 prospect pool in the span of 3 years with his drafting.

      The man has only had what are considered to be homerun picks in each of the last 3 drafts in terms of 1st round selections. He's added Rossi, Wallstedt, Lambos, Ohgren, and Yurov with those picks.

      The fundamental point we're trying to make here. Is that we'd rather have Gustavsson and that 1st rather than Stolarz and a 2nd. It's not rocket science.

      Do we trust Brackett to make that pick 20 spots lower? Absolutely. But at the end of the day, it's still 20 spots lower in the largest stacked draft since 2015. A 20 spot difference is still going to mean the difference between a surefire top-six caliber player and a middle-sixer.

      That matters.

      Furthermore, Stolarz is already 28 years old. Which is a typical age for a guy to break into the league as a goaltender. Sure, he's better right now. But he's still going to be an UFA next offseason who's going to command $2M+ on his next contract. Which ain't great for a team that's fighting $12M+ in deadcap the next few years.

      Gustavsson is only 24, a whole FOUR years younger, and has only played 18 NHL games to date. He has shown flashes where he has looked as good as or downright better than Stolarz in terms of skill and potential. He's still going to be a RFA next offseason, but we can likely expect to extend him at either $1M or under on a 2-3 year extension. I would much rather have Gustavsson learn and backup under MAF for the next two years while we wait for Wallstedt to develop down in Iowa. Gustavsson simply bridges the gap to Wallstedt too beautifully to trade him. At the time MAF's contract is up in two years Gustavsson will be 26 and Wallstedt 22. Which lines up perfectly.

      Finally, Gustavsson was traded straight up for Cam Talbot. This would imply that Gustavsson carries as much value as Talbot. And Talbot carries more value than Stolarz, period.

      So can you honestly sit there and continue to think that the difference in value is a 1st and a 2nd?

      I don't.


      Thank you for the insight on the matter, you'll have to forgive me for not knowing who Brackett was, as the Wild are not a team I follow, and a "Brackett NHL" search didn't bring up anyone obvious because I thought I was looking for a prospect.

      My assessment was based on looking at teams that went deep last season and may be weak at the backup goalie position. Based on Gustavson's stats, and Minnesota's deep run last year, they were one of the potential suitors for the deal.

      That said, Stolarz is an excellent player for the cap hit he carries, and will be of huge benefit to the right team who is looking to keep the their playoff window open and is cap strapped. If Minnesota went as far as they did last season, and Anaheim finishes where I expect them to, the picks would be closer to 10 spots apart. Many of the teams that ended behind the Ducks this year will take a step forward, and with the Ducks giving more ice time to the kids, Anaheim probably finishes 27th.
      26 juill. 2022 à 4 h 15
      #9
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      Quoting: JontheDuck
      love all the moves from a Ducks perspective but think the Minne one is hard to swallow. Maybe depends on Fluery's health, Gustavsson's/Stolarz' performances and where Minne see themselves in the playoffs.

      I hope Pat does get active though, be a real disappointment to not add some picks with so many closing compete windows in the East and so much cap space


      Yeah, Minnesota appears not the be the right fit. I think Columbus is the best fit for the deal, as Korps was terrible last season and I think they need someone who can take some solid game time to let him rest. With the Jonny and Laine signings, I figure their window is now. Their AGMs we're at least didn't hate it, but we're less convinced they had a team capable of a deep run. I hate to loose Stolarz, but I just don't know what we do with him long term, he was a successful rehab project, but we need to start rolling Dostal out.
      26 juill. 2022 à 5 h 36
      #10
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      Quoting: GiggywithGibby
      Yeah, Minnesota appears not the be the right fit. I think Columbus is the best fit for the deal, as Korps was terrible last season and I think they need someone who can take some solid game time to let him rest. With the Jonny and Laine signings, I figure their window is now. Their AGMs we're at least didn't hate it, but we're less convinced they had a team capable of a deep run. I hate to loose Stolarz, but I just don't know what we do with him long term, he was a successful rehab project, but we need to start rolling Dostal out.


      yep, Stolie is great but he's 28 and will always be the middle man - unless something shocking happens with Gibson after all. Dostal takes starting roll in 2/3 years from Gibby
       
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