Quoting: CHAR
Your assessment that ANA will favor quality I think is spot on. That's why they'll use their assets to move up from #22 or maybe even #10. For example I'd do #22 and #42 for #16 in a hot second. The type of quality at #29 is no where close to #16 supposedly (what do I know though).
In using this
draft pick value resource, I've noted that teams that trade back do so at a surplus value of about 1.00vcs (value chart score). The combination of #22 and #42 has enough buying power to maybe get the Ducks to #17, but that all depends on if teams in that window are even interested in trading back at all. Out of curiosity, adding #53 to that deal as well can really only push the Ducks up to #14 if the Jets were hyper-interested in trading back. I suspect the Kings are privy to trade their selection and the Sabres might trade their selection up if a name they really like slides out of the top-10. I don't know if there's a fit for the Ducks to trade up without it being marginal (ie: with the Capitals or Penguins). Maybe the Stars? Nashville's pool seems pretty mediocre and trading back doesn't necessarily help that.
From what I've read about this draft, the third-tier talent pool is the large and spans from about #18 to #40. That was more or less where my thought process was in making that move for Anaheim: maximize who they select from that window instead of hoping for stragglers with their seconds. Either way, predicting draft-day trades is like having a chimp bet on the stock market. Nobody knows what's going to happen.
Quoting: Bobcaygeon97
Dude! Wicked job on the team explanation. Seriously, well done my friend.
As an Oilers fan I have a couple suggestions not criticism.
1) way to much for Kassian, a buyout makes more sense and saving that pick and using it on something that has real value.
2) I’d like to see a Foegele trade for something similar in return, I see a lot of trades with Foggy but nothing real coming back, a suggestion would be Soucy, Sissons or Labanc but that would involve a prospect for that later.
3) I can think of 3 goalies I’d rather have that are the same price point or cheaper & better than Varlomov. Soupy - Kuemper - Husso - Gibson - Skinner……ya, I think Skinner would be better.
Having said that, great job. I have zero issues with anything you did here.
You're massively undervaluing Varlamov. He's been an almost statistical replica of Kuemper over the past three seasons. Besides, it's a one-year target. Jarry as a UFA the following summer is the real prize. Husso is too raw (can't see him not signing in Toronto anyways) and Gibson's reputation costs to much in terms of assets and cap for the gamble he would be to acquire. I don't hate the idea of Campbell or Kuemper himself, but there's still a salary cap to contend with.
Quoting: Islesforthecup
Use the kuemper deal as a blueprint so yes youre way off
I hadn't realized exactly how close the two were statistically over the past three seasons. Granted that Varlamov is older, unlikely to extend in Edmonton long-term, and has a GSAA three-quarters that of Kuemper's, I'd be more interested in doing a first round pick plus Berezkin/Chiasson straight up for a fully-retained Varlamov than having to add a conditional pick to boot. Fair?
Quoting: SevenLeg
If there was a feature to "like" ACGMs, this would be it. Very well detailed and it seems like the kind of moves the Oilers should make.
Edit: Minus the Kassian trade. Should include Kassian in a package or buy him out.
Buyout isn't an option given how finite the cap space is this year and the following two. I think scaling the value back is probably fair enough.
Saskleaf, Bobcaygeon97 et Tintin a aimé ceci.
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