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Islesforthecup

Membre depuis
13 nov. 2020
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Islanders de New York
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Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 16 heures
Sujet: No one saw this coming
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>coga16</b></div><div>Its bc of his model how its pulling the data...I dont think you really comprehended his post of why his card is looking that way,</div></div>

I fully understand whats going on what i dont think you understand is that it might be skewing girards stats slightly but the model (which btw isnt jfreshs he just provides visualization) is built to try and isolate individual impacts regardless of teammates. It isnt perfect but its pretty good. Another thing it doesnt seem like you understand is that jacks comment is an inference he drew from the numbers. Not everyone will draw the same conclusion from the same data. I like what jack does bc i cant personally watch every team enough but hes not the second coming of jesus.
Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 16 heures
Sujet: No one saw this coming
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>coga16</b></div><div><blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">so i'm looking at the combos and it seems like the main issue here is he has negative chemistry with jack johnson (39.7% xGF) and byram, whereas johnson + byram's other pairings have all been fine, so the model sees girard as the problem.JJ you've done it again</p>— JFresh (@JFreshHockey) <a href="https://twitter.com/JFreshHockey/status/1499177281155223564?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">March 3, 2022</a></blockquote>



or the creator of said charts is saying it himself that his model is sewering girards card bc of his negative impacts wtih the Jack Johnson pair.
Like I said undestand the context</div></div>

It also doesnt explain why hes literally the worst on the pp. Johnson doesnt play the pp so theres obviously something else that is going on here
Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 16 heures
Sujet: No one saw this coming
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>coga16</b></div><div><blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">so i'm looking at the combos and it seems like the main issue here is he has negative chemistry with jack johnson (39.7% xGF) and byram, whereas johnson + byram's other pairings have all been fine, so the model sees girard as the problem.JJ you've done it again</p>— JFresh (@JFreshHockey) <a href="https://twitter.com/JFreshHockey/status/1499177281155223564?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">March 3, 2022</a></blockquote>



or the creator of said charts is saying it himself that his model is sewering girards card bc of his negative impacts wtih the Jack Johnson pair.
Like I said undestand the context</div></div>

Byrams also a problem right? Also that was posted on march 2nd whereas the pic i posted is up to date.
Heres something else to think about. If johnson and byrams other pairings are fine but when playing with girard they tank maybe girard actually is the issue????
Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 17 heures
Sujet: No one saw this coming
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>coga16</b></div><div>I think you dont really have a full understanding of who Girard is as a player, his actual skill sets and his play style. This reads as a lot of blanket statements and a lot of stereotype assumptions bc hes of smaller build.</div></div>

Is that so?
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Overrated <a href="https://t.co/iZ4Ar2sGi0" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">pic.twitter.com/iZ4Ar2sGi0</a></p>— Ethan Shuter (<a href="/users/islesforthecup" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@islesforthecup</a>) <a href="https://twitter.com/islesforthecup/status/1560285819864326145?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">August 18, 2022</a></blockquote>

Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 20 heures
Sujet: No one saw this coming
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheRealisticGuy</b></div><div>Of course it will backfire, no one like Kadri with 7 years
But let’s say they do it, this trade makes the team better
You replace Nelson with Kadri but you’re adding Sam Girard and you also added Romanov at the draft. This team got more scoring and a way better dcore than last year and you keep both goaltender on top of that</div></div>

No actually it doesnt make the team better. Girard benefits massively from the system in COL as well as playing with elite teammates. Try putting girard in the NYI system which is built on dump and chase, you know what will happen? He'll get eaten alive. Not to mention he will be playing with a lot less talented players and wont have the freedom in the offensive zone like he has in COL. Hes significantly overrated and getting him at the cost of nelson would be a terrible move for NYI.
Forum: Armchair-GMHier à 9 h 10
Sujet: Underrated Superstars
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Finski</b></div><div>Making you guys into one of the oldest (if not the oldest) franchise in the league. Not acquiring new assets, but rather playing the old NJD roster...</div></div>

I mean back to back ECFs. One of the best and youngest d cores in the league. Pelech and pulock extensions. Did a very good job drafting. Plus 2 jim gregorys in his 4 years here so im not sure why you think hes been bad. There are a lot of potential reasons that the team underperformed last year im not going to get into them but rn im not too worried about the teams performance for the next couple of years. If they miss the playoffs again this season then theres going to be problems but until that happens im pretty happy with this team.
Forum: Armchair-GMmar. à 19 h 26
Sujet: Underrated Superstars
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Logan_Ollivier</b></div><div>Barzal is going to deserve a hefty hefty raise. But I am sure you believe he'll sign for 8 million or something way below market value. On top of that, have multiple bad deals on the books is going to help so much. Lee may be best served as a 3rd liner already and has 4 years left. Palmieri is a bottom 6 forward now and has 3 years left. The list goes on. Lou got some lucky outlier seasons with Trotz and it's coming crashing down and it's going to be so ugly. I love it.</div></div>

Lmaoooo. Barzal will get 8 years 72-74 million. If wahlstrom signs 3×4 and they sign a backup for 2m which is the going rate rn (comrie, samsonov) they are good.
Lee has played 416 games over the last 6 seasons and scored 162 goals for an average of 32 goals every 82 games. The analytics back that up as well. Hes a 1st liner good playdriver offensively but terrible defensively.
Talk about outlier seasons????? How about a historic roadtrip to start and then half the team out with covid
Forum: Armchair-GMmar. à 18 h 33
Sujet: Underrated Superstars
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Logan_Ollivier</b></div><div>Oh okay we are going to go down this road. I figured you'd not want to get into detail about this. But here goes.

You have 11 million in cap space with only 19 players currently on the roster. Dobson needs a new deal. At best it's a 2 year bridge deal around 5 million. That's 6 million left for Kiefer Bellows and Romanov. So if they go for 3 each. You are out of space. And next season you have Barzal and Wahlstrom to resign with only Varlamov coming off the books. Your team wasn't good enough to make the playoffs and right now you have 5 forwards who are about to turn 30, or are over 30 with at least 2 years term and make over 5 million. None are going to do anything but decline. Some sooner than others but all have played their best hockey. So what's the great plan here? Give Kadri 8 million? That definitely seems like a Lou thing to do. Give an over 30 player major money and term.</div></div>

Jesus christ. 3m for bellows????? He gets max 1m. Romanov also probably doesnt get 3. As for dobson he gets something like 3×4 or 8×7. Next year cap goes up 1m varlys 5m comes off the books and mayfields spot goes to grant hutton which with paniks 250k is another million. So we have 7m for a backup and raises for barzal and wahlstrom. Thats plenty of space.
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