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Fiala - Finding the Goldilocks zone

Créé par: MNCountryClub
Équipe: 2022-23 Wild du Minnesota
Date de création initiale: 18 mai 2022
Publié: 10 juin 2022
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
High, Medium and Lowball offers.

I’m sure the values are a bit skewed - ie not all highs, mediums and lows are equal. Is what it is.
Transactions
1.
MIN
  1. Greig, Ridly
  2. Choix de 1e ronde en 2022 (OTT)
OTT
  1. Fiala, Kevin [Droits de RFA]
Détails additionnels:
High
2.
MIN
  1. Järventie, Roby
Détails additionnels:
7th OA
OTT
    Medium
    3.
    MIN
    1. Bernard-Docker, Jacob
    2. Choix de 2e ronde en 2022 (OTT)
    3. Choix de 2e ronde en 2023 (OTT)
    OTT
      Low
      4.
      MIN
      1. Räty, Aatu
      2. Choix de 1e ronde en 2022 (NYI)
      NYI
        High
        5.
        MIN
        1. Bellows, Kieffer [Droits de RFA]
        Détails additionnels:
        13th OA
        NYI
          Medium
          6.
          MIN
          1. Holmström, Simon
          2. Choix de 2e ronde en 2022 (COL)
          3. Choix de 2e ronde en 2023 (NYI)
          NYI
            Low
            7.
            MIN
            1. Kaliyev, Arthur
            2. Choix de 1e ronde en 2022 (LAK)
            LAK
              High
              8.
              MIN
              1. Grans, Helge
              2. Choix de 3e ronde en 2023 (PIT)
              Détails additionnels:
              19th OA
              LAK
                Medium
                9.
                MIN
                1. Vilardi, Gabriel [Droits de RFA]
                2. Choix de 2e ronde en 2022 (LAK)
                3. Choix de 2e ronde en 2023 (LAK)
                LAK
                  Low
                  10.
                  MIN
                  1. Holtz, Alexander
                  2. Choix de 2e ronde en 2022 (NJD)
                  NJD
                    High
                    11.
                    MIN
                    1. Gritsyuk, Arseni [Liste de réserve]
                    2. Choix de 1e ronde en 2023 (NJD)
                    Détails additionnels:
                    Top ~7-10 protected
                    NJD
                      Medium
                      12.
                      MIN
                      1. Zacha, Pavel [Droits de RFA]
                      2. Choix de 2e ronde en 2023 (NJD)
                      Détails additionnels:
                      ‘22 2nd
                      NJD
                        Low
                        13.
                        MIN
                        1. Perreault, Jacob
                        2. Choix de 1e ronde en 2022 (ANA)
                        ANA
                          High
                          14.
                          MIN
                          1. Tracey, Brayden
                          2. Choix de 1e ronde en 2022 (BOS)
                          ANA
                            Medium
                            15.
                            MIN
                            1. Pastujov, Sasha
                            2. Choix de 2e ronde en 2022 (ANA)
                            3. Choix de 2e ronde en 2023 (ANA)
                            ANA
                              Low
                              Rachats de contrats
                              Repêchage1e ronde2e ronde3e ronde4e ronde5e ronde6e ronde7e ronde
                              2022
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                              10 juin 2022 à 11 h 58
                              #1
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                              Necas and the 23 1st
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                              10 juin 2022 à 11 h 59
                              #2
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                              Spot on for the Devils
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                              10 juin 2022 à 12 h 4
                              #3
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                              Quoting: Canesfan21_
                              Necas and the 23 1st


                              I wanted to include the Canes and that was gonna be my high end return, but I wasn’t sure for the medium and lows.
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                              10 juin 2022 à 12 h 19
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                              Quoting: Devil
                              Spot on for the Devils


                              I think I’ve got to agree. It’s kind of mind boggling to me that Holtz is the high end prospect, I think he’s worth more than NJD would want to give up.
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                              10 juin 2022 à 12 h 39
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                              Isles best offer is Holmstrom and a 2023 1st. I'd trade Bellows and 13th overall if Brad Lambert is gone.
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                              10 juin 2022 à 12 h 42
                              #6
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                              Quoting: jnowariak
                              I think I’ve got to agree. It’s kind of mind boggling to me that Holtz is the high end prospect, I think he’s worth more than NJD would want to give up.


                              It's boils down to the same reason we dealt Zucker to make a roster spot for Kaprizov.

                              There are only so many roster spots open in a top six.

                              If they add Fiala, they have...
                              Sharangovich-Hughes-Bratt
                              Fiala-Hischier-Holtz*/Slafkovsky/Cooley*

                              So if they draft either Slafkovsky or Cooley with the 2nd OVA they're going to be needing to figure out who goes where and have too many pieces to try and plug into that spot. Holtz therefore becomes somewhat redundant, especially when his ceiling is basically Fiala to begin with and your potentially trading him for the finished product as it is.
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                              10 juin 2022 à 12 h 44
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                              Quoting: slapshot723
                              Isles best offer is Holmstrom and a 2023 1st. I'd trade Bellows and 13th overall if Brad Lambert is gone.


                              Your own beat writer at the Athletic thinks it'll probably take the 13th OVA and one of Wahlstrom or Raty to get it done.
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                              10 juin 2022 à 12 h 49
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                              Quoting: RazWild
                              Your own beat writer at the Athletic thinks it'll probably take the 13th OVA and one of Wahlstrom or Raty to get it done.


                              To be fair, Kevin Kurz is a bit dense.
                              10 juin 2022 à 12 h 50
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                              Quoting: RazWild
                              Your own beat writer at the Athletic thinks it'll probably take the 13th OVA and one of Wahlstrom or Raty to get it done.


                              He's brand new to the Isles beat.
                              10 juin 2022 à 12 h 51
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                              Quoting: slapshot723
                              Isles best offer is Holmstrom and a 2023 1st. I'd trade Bellows and 13th overall if Brad Lambert is gone.


                              According to you maybe, but there’s just not enough credible information that suggests Holms + 1st is the Isles highest offer. The point of this GM is to explore the spectrum of possible returns. Capping it at that would be disingenuous with what we as fans know.
                              10 juin 2022 à 12 h 53
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                              Quoting: drmantalban
                              According to you maybe, but there’s just not enough credible information that suggests Holms + 1st is the Isles highest offer. The point of this GM is to explore the spectrum of possible returns. Capping it at that would be disingenuous with what we as fans know.


                              Where would you put Holmstrom/13 OA in this? Above/below the Bellows deal? Personally (for obvious reasons) that's the sweet spot for what I'd be happy to send out as the headline part of the deal, with room to add another B tier prospect and a 2nd or 3rd rounder for additional value.
                              10 juin 2022 à 12 h 54
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                              Quoting: jnowariak
                              I think I’ve got to agree. It’s kind of mind boggling to me that Holtz is the high end prospect, I think he’s worth more than NJD would want to give up.


                              Quoting: RazWild
                              It's boils down to the same reason we dealt Zucker to make a roster spot for Kaprizov.

                              There are only so many roster spots open in a top six.

                              If they add Fiala, they have...
                              Sharangovich-Hughes-Bratt
                              Fiala-Hischier-Holtz*/Slafkovsky/Cooley*

                              So if they draft either Slafkovsky or Cooley with the 2nd OVA they're going to be needing to figure out who goes where and have too many pieces to try and plug into that spot. Holtz therefore becomes somewhat redundant, especially when his ceiling is basically Fiala to begin with and your potentially trading him for the finished product as it is.


                              My Future Lines if they add Fiala (for Gritsyuk and 2023 first)
                              Slafkvosky-Hughes-Holtz
                              Fiala-Hischier-Bratt
                              Foote-Mercer-Sharangovich

                              Loaded top 9
                              10 juin 2022 à 12 h 55
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                              Once a Kings Fan Too
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                              Some entirely reasonable offers from the SoCal teams.

                              I think Los Angeles is happy with Turcotte and the 2022 first for Fiala, maybe with an add like Grans (highball) or a third (medium). Kings won't be including Kaliyev because he's the only quality shooter we have in the entire system (other than Martin Frk, who is an AHL lifer). Anaheim would certainly offer the #22 overall and Tracey. I wonder what the Ducks will do if Minnesota asks for the #10.
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                              10 juin 2022 à 12 h 57
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                              Quoting: dannibalcorpse
                              Where would you put Holmstrom/13 OA in this? Above/below the Bellows deal? Personally (for obvious reasons) that's the sweet spot for what I'd be happy to send out as the headline part of the deal, with room to add another B tier prospect and a 2nd or 3rd rounder for additional value.


                              I would rank Holmstrom+13th as higher than 13th+ Bellows, but admittedly I don’t know the nuances between those two prospects very well.

                              So I’d put that as like medium-to-medium high
                              10 juin 2022 à 12 h 58
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                              Good job for the Devils. I think that's exactly the range.
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                              10 juin 2022 à 13 h 0
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                              Quoting: OldNYIfan
                              Some entirely reasonable offers from the SoCal teams.

                              I think Los Angeles is happy with Turcotte and the 2022 first for Fiala, maybe with an add like Grans (highball) or a third (medium). Kings won't be including Kaliyev because he's the only quality shooter we have in the entire system (other than Martin Frk, who is an AHL lifer). Anaheim would certainly offer the #22 overall and Tracey. I wonder what the Ducks will do if Minnesota asks for the #10.


                              As much as I love Turcotte, the concussions are too much risk. I think Kupari is probably the offensive guy they’d target but I like Grans a lot too.

                              I’d bet 10 OA relative to 22 OA is what would put the ducks offer ahead. I’m just really interested in seeing what the prospect ends up being. I could see anything fro Tracey to Holtz accompanying a 1st.
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                              10 juin 2022 à 13 h 1
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                              Quoting: jnowariak
                              To be fair, Kevin Kurz is a bit dense.


                              No more so than Russo, who he came to that same conclusion to after talking it out with. 🤷‍♂️
                              10 juin 2022 à 13 h 2
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                              Quoting: RazWild
                              No more so than Russo, who he came to that same conclusion to after talking it out with. 🤷‍♂️


                              Was that in the what’s Fiala worth article? I just remember scrolling twitter just this morning, seeing a tweet he made, and just thinking, “what a goon.”
                              10 juin 2022 à 13 h 3
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                              Quoting: OldNYIfan
                              Some entirely reasonable offers from the SoCal teams.

                              I think Los Angeles is happy with Turcotte and the 2022 first for Fiala, maybe with an add like Grans (highball) or a third (medium). Kings won't be including Kaliyev because he's the only quality shooter we have in the entire system (other than Martin Frk, who is an AHL lifer). Anaheim would certainly offer the #22 overall and Tracey. I wonder what the Ducks will do if Minnesota asks for the #10.


                              Makes sense, good feedback. I was really waffling between Kaliyev and Turcotte, but decided to keep Turcotte off bc I was worried the convo would devolve into concussion talk. But I think what you suggested is a good compromise.

                              As for ANA, that’s probably the team I feel least confident in understanding their needs, wants and plans. I took a stab bc I can see them being a buyer of some sort this summer, but i was guessing on a lot.
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                              10 juin 2022 à 13 h 3
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                              Quoting: drmantalban
                              I would rank Holmstrom+13th as higher than 13th+ Bellows, but admittedly I don’t know the nuances between those two prospects very well.

                              So I’d put that as like medium-to-medium high


                              I'd say Bellows has a lower ceiling but a higher floor than Holmstrom - he looks like at worst he's going to be a good 3rd liner who can be physical and score a few points if you give him the ice time - it's just that Barry Trotz was notorious for jerking around young players' ice time if they made any mistakes, and I think that stalled his development a little bit.

                              Holmstrom has some big upside to me though - the Islanders AHL team in Bridgeport is coached by Brent Thompson - as I like to joke, the only way Brent Thompson can develop a good forward is working together with his wife (his son is Buffalos' Tage Thompson), so the fact that Holmstrom actually put up decent numbers (12-31-43 in 68 GP) in Bridgeport this season as a 20-year-old is very intriguing.

                              At the end of the day, if it means Raty & Wahlstrom stay in NY, I think you could drag both out of Lou plus 13 OA, and some fixings around the side(an extra 2nd, perhaps? Or a side of Sam Bolduc?). Raty feels special enough to me that I'd prefer keeping him in the org, and moving Wahlstrom feels like selling low on a guy that really got buried in the second half of last season for some unspecified Trotz reason.
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                              10 juin 2022 à 13 h 4
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                              Quoting: Devil
                              My Future Lines if they add Fiala (for Gritsyuk and 2023 first)
                              Slafkvosky-Hughes-Holtz
                              Fiala-Hischier-Bratt
                              Foote-Mercer-Sharangovich

                              Loaded top 9


                              Really good and really really fun to watch.
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                              10 juin 2022 à 13 h 10
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                              Quoting: slapshot723
                              He's brand new to the Isles beat.


                              He started getting to know the Isles organization the moment he knew he was going to take the position as their new beat writer, which was before the season started. The only reason he didn't start right away was because both he and Arthur had to get their affairs in order.

                              Just because he's new to it, doesn't mean he wasn't prepared and ready to take the job.
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                              10 juin 2022 à 13 h 10
                              #23
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                              Quoting: dannibalcorpse
                              I'd say Bellows has a lower ceiling but a higher floor than Holmstrom - he looks like at worst he's going to be a good 3rd liner who can be physical and score a few points if you give him the ice time - it's just that Barry Trotz was notorious for jerking around young players' ice time if they made any mistakes, and I think that stalled his development a little bit.

                              Holmstrom has some big upside to me though - the Islanders AHL team in Bridgeport is coached by Brent Thompson - as I like to joke, the only way Brent Thompson can develop a good forward is working together with his wife (his son is Buffalos' Tage Thompson), so the fact that Holmstrom actually put up decent numbers (12-31-43 in 68 GP) in Bridgeport this season as a 20-year-old is very intriguing.

                              At the end of the day, if it means Raty & Wahlstrom stay in NY, I think you could drag both out of Lou plus 13 OA, and some fixings around the side(an extra 2nd, perhaps? Or a side of Sam Bolduc?). Raty feels special enough to me that I'd prefer keeping him in the org, and moving Wahlstrom feels like selling low on a guy that really got buried in the second half of last season for some unspecified Trotz reason.


                              That feels like a pretty fair compromise and likely a competitive offer. 13th OA + Bellows and/or Holmstrom + sweetener. Obviously as a Wild fan, I’m hoping for the moon. But the pragmatic side of me appreciates the value there. Feels close. Not overwhelming or underwhelming for either side.
                              10 juin 2022 à 13 h 11
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                              Quoting: jnowariak
                              Was that in the what’s Fiala worth article? I just remember scrolling twitter just this morning, seeing a tweet he made, and just thinking, “what a goon.”


                              Yes, and Russo confirmed it during his own article when he went over possible trade destinations for Fiala last week.
                              10 juin 2022 à 13 h 12
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                              FLAT OUT NO for the first Ottawa package. Greig is a no go

                              Interested in the other 2
                               
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