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dannibalcorpse

we miss leo k
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24 févr. 2018
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Islanders de New York
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Forum: Armchair-GM5 mai à 14 h 3
Sujet: Bust for bust
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>aedoran</b></div><div>This morning I compared TOI and p60 and Zadina averaging about 3 more minutes a game and his p60 is about half of Wahlstrom's. I don't know why I didn't think of that last night</div></div>

Wahlstrom's game has some flaws but I'll never understand why both Trotz &amp; Lambert buried him - especially down the stretch last year, when the Isles were basically out of the playoff picture pretty early in the year. Wahlstrom averaged 13:21 per night through the ASB last year, and put up a decent 10-8-18 in 36 GP. After the ASB, he saw his TOI cut to 10:48, and surprise! He only put up 3-3-6 over the last 37 GP, and was scoreless over his last 10 GP when he was getting 9:17 per night - a full 83 seconds less each night than Ross friggin' Johnston got in that time frame. You can say a lot of good things about Trotz as the Islanders coach, but that felt like a real kick in the ass on the way out the door.
Forum: Armchair-GM27 avr. à 12 h 24
Sujet: Wiggle Wiggle
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>If Murray is going to sit for the season, do you think he's going to be against waiving his NMC? This is Mrazek all over again. And before that Marleau. Every time TO has to make a move or sign someone, all you guys say the same thing. And every time you've been wrong.</div></div>

It cost Toronto the equivalent of a late 2nd/early 3rd rounder (draft value difference between #25 &amp; #38) to move Mrazek and bringing up Marleau is interesting because it cost them #13OA to dump his deal. Saying Murray is only going to cost a 3rd is light compared to the value Toronto gave up in those cap dumps. As far as his NTC, he's already flexed it once when Ottawa tried to trade him to Buffalo - so clearly he values having that control over his destination, and acting like he'll just take a plane ticket to play for a lottery team in Chicago is a leap I'm not gonna make.

I get that your gimmick around is being carrying the "anti-Leafs bias" chip on your shoulder but is there anything concrete you can point to that backs up your feelings on this? Because the cost of dumping unwanted contracts has been pretty well set over the past couple seasons, and I don't know why Matt Murray's deal isn't going to be subjected to that. He's a backup goalie making nearly $5M next year - what team is taking a guy like that without getting some sort of sweetener?
Forum: Armchair-GM27 avr. à 12 h 0
Sujet: Habs get the players they need
Look, maybe something in Dom's model has gone terribly wrong, but <a href="https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2023/01/03121447/Screenshot-2023-04-03-at-10.49.45-AM.png" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">GSVA didn't hate him</a> that much this year. His offensive numbers also took a hit because he really bounced around the lineup and didn't really settle in with any group to build chemistry - in 800+ minutes at 5v5 this year he didn't spend more than 200 minutes with any other forward - and had 6 linemates who he spent at least 100 minutes with.

Not saying you move heaven &amp; earth to get him, but if he's retained down to $2.25M I can see him being a useful third liner/PP specialist. He definitely seemed to make some sort of adjustment this year to actually be a little bit better of an all-around player.
Forum: Armchair-GM27 avr. à 11 h 32
Sujet: this would be good
-Bailey will cost assets to trade; based on the lineup you've built here I'd just buy him out and keep whatever picks/prospects you'd be sending out with him.

-Aho doesn't make sense for a rebuilding Chicago team. At an $800K AAV, he actually makes a ton of sense for an older Islanders team with a ton of higher-AAV veterans on their roster. I'm keeping him unless someone offers me something insane for him. If anything, trade Salo for some sort of draft capital or another post-hype forward prospect - he's probably 5th-6th on the LHD depth chart at this point behind Pelech-Romanov-Aho-Bolduc-Wotherspoon(?)

-Ross most likely spends another year being paid slightly too much to be the 13th forward on this team. I would love to move on from him, but Lou won't. No one would pay this much for him, though - I'd say the high water mark would be a late 4th/early 5th(picturing the Ryan Reaves/Nic Deslauriers trades from recent years.)

I will also say I think you're lowballing a lot of your signings here. Engvall gets a pay cut from $2.25M to $2.2M? Garnet Hathaway only asks for a $100K on what's likely to be his last chance at a decent deal? Adin Hill only gets an extra $25K this year after a .915/2.50 GAA season in Vegas? I think at least one of those guys is out of the picture if you're offering them what they want (fwiw, I'd target Engvall at $3-3.5M and just not spend $1.5M on another bottom-6 grinder or $2.2M on a backup goalie when Sorokin will likely make 60+ starts again.)
Forum: Armchair-GM27 avr. à 11 h 22
Sujet: Wiggle Wiggle
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>You all are likely going to be disappointed once again. Exactly like everyone was when Mrazek didn't cost the Leafs a straight up 1st.</div></div>

What team can you name that:

A: Needs a goalie to complete a tandem
B: Has ~$4.7M in cap space this summer
C: Is OK devoting that cap space to a backup/1B-type goalie that's unlikely to make 40+ starts
D: Is also OK spending about $6M in real dollars for that $4.7M cap hit
E: Isn't on Murray's 10-team NTC

When you line up how many things that need to go right to get Murray off the Leafs' cap for 2023-24, I can't see how you expect it to be any less than the 3rd rounder OP has offered here. It cost Ottawa a 3rd &amp; a 7th last summer to dump Murray's deal even after they retained 25%; I honestly don't see anything in Murray's numbers that show he's rebuilt much of any value (last season: 20 GP, .906 SV%, 3.05 GAA; this year: 26 GP, .903 SV%, 3.01 GAA.) 3rd-round value feels like the market rate for moving a contract and a player like him in the current league cap environment.
Forum: Armchair-GM26 avr. à 16 h 27
Sujet: 2023-24 NEW YORK ISLANDERS
-Value is awful on the Karlsson trade. Personally I'm of the mindset that he's with the Sharks for at least another season or two, when it gets to the point where retaining 50% on his deal won't be so daunting. This is retaining 40%, and I don't think keeping that extra 10% off the table makes it that much less of an obligation that the deal needs to compensate for. On top of that, you're throwing a $5M anchor in Josh Bailey as part of the return going back. If we go by the Nikita Zaitsev cap dump from earlier this year, it'll cost a 2nd rounder to move Bailey's contract; that means that for 4x$4.6M in retention PLUS Erik Karlsson you've basically given the sharks next year's 1st, a competent 4th/5th LHD in Sebastian Aho, and a bottom-6 winger prospect. There's zero chance this would be the construction of a Karlsson deal.

Beyond that, you've built a 20 man roster with room for one healthy scratch - that's not gonna fly with a team this old. This year's team had 35 different skaters up for at least 1 game - so you're going to need a little more cap flexibility in order to give a banged up guy a night or two off.
Forum: Armchair-GM26 avr. à 15 h 52
Sujet: Wiggle Wiggle
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>Or it won't cost a 1st at all. Because once again, he's actually a decent goalie <strong>when healthy</strong>. Unlike Mrazek who is trash. Maybe it will cost a 5th to move him and that's it.</div></div>

Just gonna highlight the reason why it's going to be hard for Toronto to unload Murray - this is the 4th straight year he's played less than 40 games. During that time, his best single-season SV% is .906 with last year's Sens and his best GAA is 2.87 with the 2019-20 Penguins. At this point in his career, he can't be trusted on to be much more than a 1B, if not a straight up backup - and not a ton of teams are going to be lining up to spend $4.7M in cap space on a backup.

And to your earlier point about the UFA goalie crop being thin this summer, not only will I echo what <a href="/users/GiggyWithGibby" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@GiggyWithGibby</a> said about the amount of goalies that are available this summer with comparable/better numbers, but will also add the fact that there's not a ton of teams that are going to be proactively looking for a goalie. The only current playoff teams I can see that are losing a goalie who played 30+ games this year are Seattle, Los Angeles, and Carolina. Seattle probably doesn't plan on replacing Martin Jones with Grubauer &amp; Driedger signed for next year; LA probably brings back Korpisalo based on his acquisition cost at the deadline; and Carolina will basically be able to have their pick of guys like Andersen, Raanta, Varlamov, Cam Talbot, &amp; Tristan Jarry as guys with better recent track records than Murray.

And focusing on the Mrazek deal as "costing a 1st" misses the fact that Toronto received back an early 2nd in the deal, too - the difference in value between the picks is equal to a late 2nd/early 3rd on its own. So maybe you just pack up Murray with that 3rd rounder that Ottawa sent along with him and get someone to eat that cap hit; but I can't see it costing much less than that at this point - especially considering that he's got a little bit of control over his destination.
Forum: Armchair-GM26 avr. à 14 h 42
Sujet: Season Opening Roster
-Both sides pass on the first trade. Edmonton doesn't need Edmundson, and if the Habs are trading Eddy they should try to do so in a deal where they're not adding picks/prospects.

-Interesting concept but again, I don't think either side would benefit from this trade. The Rangers need top-6 bodies next year - guys like Pezzetta &amp; Evans are usually freely available in UFA. And if I'm Montreal, I hang onto that 2025 1st rounder for now - teams are going to discount its value because of the distance from being able to use it + the conditional nature of it, so keep it in your pocket until you have a better idea when it might be necessary. I'd also say that the Habs might be a good bet to be back to contention in 2024-25, so having an extra 1st rounder to play around with at that deadline feels more valuable than adding another young winger to a team with a decent pipeline of them.

-I don't think Carter waives for Montreal, but this is the type of trade the Habs should be making this summer. Dvorak should be dangled out there for older, similarly-paid players to see if a contender wants to swap out for a younger model while also including a prospect and/or a pick.