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One Trade Fixes It and No Its Not Tkachuk

Créé par: OldNYIfan
Équipe: 2022-23 Maple Leafs de Toronto
Date de création initiale: 19 juill. 2022
Publié: 19 juill. 2022
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
Lost in the mania of many Leafs fans to trade Jake Muzzin due to his cap hit is the fact that there were four teams* that were statistically tied for 13th through 16th in GAA among the playoff teams last season, and all Toronto has done so far this summer is lose Ilya Lyubushkin from its blue line. So personally, I'm not a fan of the Maple Leafs' trading Muzzin, and I think that Dubas' primary focus should be on improving the defense rather than weakening it.

I'm not sure that the Flames would be thrilled by this offer, but it's worth considering. If some addition to balance the deal in Calgary's eyes is necessary, assume that a prospect or pick or exchange thereof could be worked out.

I've heard that Sandin has been unwilling to sign an extension at roughly Liljegren's number, so I'm assuming that the figure shown is what would keep him in Toronto. To do so, Justin Holl would have to be moved, but that would be all that is necessary to be cap compliant with the team as it currently exists. I assume that he would bring a middling pick from someone, hence his presence on the LTIR list (for those who couldn't have figured this out for themselves).

No one currently on the main roster is waivers-exempt, but every forward on the Marlies is except Denis Malgin, so a 22-man roster is workable simply by shuttling young prospects back and forth with the AHL affiliate. Some of the potential promotions, or at least auditions, are shown on the imaginary Taxi Squad. (Note that there's enough cap space to bring up even the most cap-costly of the youngsters.)

Yes, I know that there's a weakness at RW without Nylander, but there's a weakness on defense the way that the roster is constructed now and trading Muzzin would only make it worse.

* All of whom lost in the first round
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RFAANSCAP HIT
22 000 000 $
Transactions
TOR
  1. Andersson, Rasmus
Détails additionnels:
make whatever adjustment you'd like
CGY
  1. Nylander, William
Détails additionnels:
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 10
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Flames have no interest in that
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 13
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@palhal
@SaskLeaf
@GenXHockey

Guys, as always, your comments appreciated, as acid as they might be.
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 14
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
Flames have no interest in that


I thought it might be appealing, now that you've lost Gaudreau and everyone assumes that you're losing Tkachuk. What are your reasons for declining?
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 15
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This makes no sense for the leafs at all. They literally need more forwards and now they need another
19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 16
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Quoting: OldNYIfan
I thought it might be appealing, now that you've lost Gaudreau and everyone assumes that you're losing Tkachuk. What are your reasons for declining?


What does Nylander do for Calgary? Your argument is kinda just "make the trade just for the sake of making the trade"
19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 17
#6
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Finally someone understands how to build a hockey team.

But Kyle "Billy Beane" Dubas considers defence to be a cost center and a waste of resources, and will focus on getting more offence.
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 17
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From Leafs perspective: How well did the Hall for Larsson trade workout for Edmonton?

From Flames perspective: Might just be an american players thing but if they are having top offensive players want out maybe getting Nylander might not be very smart especially with Sutter as the coach and Nylander's track record of taking nights off and slacking on the defensive end.

Flames would probably rather move a LD like Kylington.
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 19
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Quoting: JaredOfLondon
This makes no sense for the leafs at all. They literally need more forwards and now they need another


They don't need another. They have Robertson or one of the other three Marlie forwards shown on the Taxi Squad.

Saying it makes no sense for the Leafs at all is saying that your defense as it stands now is acceptable. It wasn't last season and it won't be this season as is. You can argue that the cost of obtaining Andersson is too high, but to say that it makes no sense at all to add Andersson to that defense is simply closing your eyes to reality.
19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 22
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Quoting: OldNYIfan
They don't need another. They have Robertson or one of the other three Marlie forwards shown on the Taxi Squad.

Saying it makes no sense for the Leafs at all is saying that your defense as it stands now is acceptable. It wasn't last season and it won't be this season as is. You can argue that the cost of obtaining Andersson is too high, but to say that it makes no sense at all to add Andersson to that defense is simply closing your eyes to reality.


The Leafs already need someone in the top 6, none of those Marlies have been able to make the jump yet. This trade puts another whole to fill one on the D-end, but then you have 2 holes in your top 6 F assuming Robertson or someone isn't good enough to fill that role.
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 23
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Quoting: OldNYIfan
They don't need another. They have Robertson or one of the other three Marlie forwards shown on the Taxi Squad.

Saying it makes no sense for the Leafs at all is saying that your defense as it stands now is acceptable. It wasn't last season and it won't be this season as is. You can argue that the cost of obtaining Andersson is too high, but to say that it makes no sense at all to add Andersson to that defense is simply closing your eyes to reality.


Yeah, they do need another, especially if Robertson isnt 100% ready.
And the defence as it stands now has been fine, it hasnt cost them anything and they've been one of the better defensive teams in the league for years.
And upgrad would be nice, but not at the expense of an 80 point winget with no other replacement. Like j said, zero sense for the leafs
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 24
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Did you "Nancy kerrigan" Justin holl to make the cap work?
19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 24
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
What does Nylander do for Calgary?


"What does Nylander do for Calgary"?!?!? Seriously?

I expected something a little more insightful from you than that.

If you guys lose Tkachuk, I'd be willing to bet that you miss the playoffs in 2023, no matter who you get to replace him.
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 26
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Quoting: VladislavTretiak
Finally someone understands how to build a hockey team.

But Kyle "Billy Beane" Dubas considers defence to be a cost center and a waste of resources, and will focus on getting more offence.


Then explain the rielly contract, the brodie contract and the muzzin trade
19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 27
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Quoting: littlejerryseinfeld
Then explain the rielly contract, the brodie contract and the muzzin trade


You need to reinforce your defence. You were so easy to play against in the playoffs last spring.
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 28
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Quoting: JaredOfLondon
Yeah, they do need another, especially if Robertson isnt 100% ready.
And the defence as it stands now has been fine, it hasnt cost them anything and they've been one of the better defensive teams in the league for years.
And upgrad would be nice, but not at the expense of an 80 point winget with no other replacement. Like j said, zero sense for the leafs


They still have a need for a top 4 RHD and Andersson would fill that need, so there is some sense in the trade from that perspective. Of course they would be putting in a hole in their top 6 which already has one which is why it wouldn't make sense but saying zero sense suggests that the Leafs don't have a need to fill. I guess if you mean by "zero sense" that the trade makes no sense in the sense that they are filling a whole by making a bigger one, then you would be right.
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 29
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Quoting: littlejerryseinfeld
Did you "Nancy Kerrigan" Justin holl to make the cap work?


No, as I said in the Team Explanation, the only thing necessary to bring Toronto into cap compliance is trading Holl and I'm confident "that he would bring a middling pick from someone" and didn't want to get into the distraction of picking a team and assigning a draft pick or prospect and then having a bunch of nerds discussing irrelevance.
19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 29
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Quoting: OldNYIfan
They don't need another. They have Robertson or one of the other three Marlie forwards shown on the Taxi Squad.

Saying it makes no sense for the Leafs at all is saying that your defense as it stands now is acceptable. It wasn't last season and it won't be this season as is. You can argue that the cost of obtaining Andersson is too high, but to say that it makes no sense at all to add Andersson to that defense is simply closing your eyes to reality.


Yep, I still think either Kerfoot or Nylander have to be traded to make the cap work for the Leafs this season. Now I don't think Calgary would do that trade, and the Leafs are now in the situation on who would take the cap difference between one of those traded Leafs. If the Flames can afford it, maybe they would take Kerfoot (third rounder) or Nylander (second rounder) as a kinda of a replacement for Gaudreau this season, if they don't go the UFA route.
My suggestion trade Nylander. for a pick Keep Holl, pay Sandin a little more so he won't be offer sheeted. That gives the Leafs a little cap to obtain a winger. Too bad the Leafs wasted cap on Murray and and Jarnkrok, and they would have been in a better position. IMO Robertson and Steeves make camp at LW, not Clifford.

Either way Leaf fan, the forwards on paper are worse with Mikeheyev, and Case. Worse with Luybushin on defence, worse in net without Campbell.
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 39
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Quoting: OldNYIfan
"What does Nylander do for Calgary"?!?!? Seriously?

I expected something a little more insightful from you than that.

If you guys lose Tkachuk, I'd be willing to bet that you miss the playoffs in 2023, no matter who you get to replace him.


The issue for the Flames getting Nylander while probably weakening their defense is Nylander's contract situation (but perhaps Kylington even though he isn't a RHD could replace him), however, people truly underrate Nylander from all the Nylander+a ton of assets for Tkachuk trades you see. When the difference between the two in production is just last season (they both had career years but Tkachuk's line had great, unreal 5v5 stats while Nylander's on line 2 wasn't which is why he spent time on line 3). Of course the physical aspect that Tkachuk brings which Nylander lacks is what attracts people the most but what has that done for the Flames in the playoffs? That being said a players success/failure one one team won't necessarily translate over to another.

Nylander should be a trade target for the Flames just not this year, and the Leafs should not trade Nylander until they can see if they can extend him/evaluation of the team.
19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 40
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Quoting: VladislavTretiak
You need to reinforce your defence. You were so easy to play against in the playoffs last spring.


I'm not a Leafs fan, but your point was wrong is what I am saying
19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 41
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Quoting: GMBL
The Leafs already need someone in the top 6, none of those Marlies have been able to make the jump yet. This trade puts another hole to fill one on the D-end, but then you have 2 holes in your top 6 F assuming Robertson or someone isn't good enough to fill that role.


But how do they expect to fill a hole at forward when they start $1.5 million in the red right now?

Trading Holl occurs in both scenarios. In the wishful thinking one, somehow a good top-6 forward is obtained while the defense goes unimproved, and I don't see how adding up front contributes much to a team that was great on offense to begin with. In my scenario, the same good top-6 forward is obtained using exactly the same assets as in the wishful thinking scenario and serves as a partial replacement for Nylander -- admittedly, a serious downgrade -- but the defense is upgraded significantly.

This year's defense, as is, is the same as last year's defense that has already proven inadequate. I don't think that standing pat (let alone trading Muzzin out of it, by the way) and hoping that an additional year's experience for Sandin and Liljegren is going to work.
19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 46
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Quoting: littlejerryseinfeld
I'm not a Leafs fan, but your point was wrong is what I am saying


I respect our differences of opinion
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 46
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Quoting: OldNYIfan
But how do they expect to fill a hole at forward when they start $1.5 million in the red right now?

Trading Holl occurs in both scenarios. In the wishful thinking one, somehow a good top-6 forward is obtained while the defense goes unimproved, and I don't see how adding up front contributes much to a team that was great on offense to begin with. In my scenario, the same good top-6 forward is obtained using exactly the same assets as in the wishful thinking scenario and serves as a partial replacement for Nylander -- admittedly, a serious downgrade -- but the defense is upgraded significantly.

This year's defense, as is, is the same as last year's defense that has already proven inadequate. I don't think that standing pat (let alone trading Muzzin out of it, by the way) and hoping that an additional year's experience for Sandin and Liljegren is going to work.


They should trade Kerfoot, to become cap compliant, ideally they get a RHD that is physical while they are at it. Hakanpaa in Dallas seems like a good fit for the Leafs but not sure what it would cost since Dallas already needs a RHD. Another guy that the Leafs can potentially get is Severson but acquiring him at 50% as a rental is probably going to be costly but will cost much less than trying to acquire a player of Nylander's caliber. There is no trade that the Leafs would win if they trade Nylander most likely. Perhaps Shattenkirk is an option as well.

Moving out Muzzin would give them some more flexibility but yeah they would need Liljegren or Sandin to make up the difference. Technically though Giordano and Lyubushkin weren't main parts of the D last year in the sense that they probably didn't get a chance to settle vs if they played a full season.
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 47
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Quoting: OldNYIfan
They don't need another. They have Robertson or one of the other three Marlie forwards shown on the Taxi Squad.

Saying it makes no sense for the Leafs at all is saying that your defense as it stands now is acceptable. It wasn't last season and it won't be this season as is. You can argue that the cost of obtaining Andersson is too high, but to say that it makes no sense at all to add Andersson to that defense is simply closing your eyes to reality.


That's just coming to a conclusion without understanding why the goals against was what it was. The team had the 27th ranked goaltending and the 2nd best expected goal differential. Which clearly shows that defence wasn't the problem, it was entirely goaltending. Campbell wasn't very good in the 2nd half, Mrazek wasn't good at all, Kallegren was good enough to win but wasn't overly great and Woll was similar. Had they even had average goaltending they would have likely been close to the president's trophy. The defence wasn't an issue in the playoffs, Tampa beat them by the thinnest of margins boosted by some horrendous reffing in the final two games. Will Murray and Samsonov be better than Campbell and Mrazek? It really can't get much worse and the team is basically the same otherwise. Defence isn't the problem and hasn't been for a couple of seasons.
19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 48
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Quoting: OldNYIfan
"What does Nylander do for Calgary"?!?!? Seriously?

I expected something a little more insightful from you than that.

If you guys lose Tkachuk, I'd be willing to bet that you miss the playoffs in 2023, no matter who you get to replace him.


I would wager they are unlikely to make the playoffs regardless of Tkachuk. Their best player left and it will have a major impact on the team.
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19 juill. 2022 à 19 h 52
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Quoting: VladislavTretiak
You need to reinforce your defence. You were so easy to play against in the playoffs last spring.


You clearly didn't watch the playoffs because A) Toronto was the hardest series Tampa played until the final. And B) the team that won plays basically the same style of game the Leafs do. So this is just another nonsensical make up a reason that doesn't fit anything but the result. TO could lose a 7 game series where they out hit, out fight, and outscore the opposition but lose 4 one goal games and people like you will say defence is the reason they lost.

JT doesn't have his tieing goal called off in game 7, maybe they win. Had the refs not given TO a 5-3 penalty kill in the 3rd period of a 1 goal game in game 6 and maybe it doesn't go 7 games. It wasn't the defence and that is just a tired and lazy narrative.
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