Quoting: jasalex
Glad you saw my point. We will be fine no matter which way it falls. It is a business that we as fans need to accept. Yes it is the perfect storm for offer sheets for Serachev, Cirelli and Cernak. However there have only been 4 offers the last 10 years and all were matched. I just think there is an unwritten rule among GMs. Yes they are sharks but why else so few? The cap is a negative but the high value for Segachev, Cirelli and Killorn off set that. There will be many teams knocking on their doors.
Quoting: wabit
The thing with OS is they don't happen and/or get signed by the player. I do agree it's an ideal situation with TB players to get them.
For the Wild trade I think it needs some tweaking, but it's in the ball park. I'd also rather see a straight trade for Cirelli rather than an OS. It gives more contract options for the team as far as term/money. It also doesn't burn the bridge with TB for future trades. Plus I don't think Guerin is the GM that will make an OS (Fenton would have).
If there ever was a time to take that leap and risk slightly burning a bridge with a GM, now is the time.
- TB can't afford to pay them what they're truly worth.
- Even if they managed to create some space by trading others away, they'd still need those RFA's to take very team friendly deals. Not likely. They're willing to take a discount but not get low balled.
- Not only does OS'ing teams have a solid chance of convincing the players to accept but they wouldn't need to overshoot to a drastic # either. in the 6M's would not only ensure it gets done and all sides happy, but it would be measly 1st and 3rd as compensation. Barring that 1st turning into a top 3 pick, and maybe even then, the OS'ing team is getting the best player in the deal.
If a trade can be worked out instead that isn't much of a reach and doesn't burn any bridges in the mean time, by all means, that is the best way to go about it. IMHO, any team that can keep OS'ing a player in their back pocket during negotiations, gets a distinct advantage though. That advantage would make any negotiations from TB's side really sour. That's why I would think an OS ensures a non lottery protected 1st rounder. Probably the best return they'd get.
Maybe nothing happens. I guarantee if I were GM, I'd be all over all 3 guys with OS's. You may never get another chance of it happening with this high of odds ever again.