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F50marco
Membre depuis
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Canadiens de Montréal
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6.1
MESSAGES
SUJETS
MENTIONS "J'AIME"
ÉQUIPES VIA FAUTEUIL-DG
Forum:
Armchair-GM
il y a 1 minute
Sujet:
UFA frenzy dilemma
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ht42</b></div><div>I really think Montreal will gonna get rid of Dvorack to bring back Monahan for their 3rd line centerman.
Also, they can also make the big shot with Stamkos. They likely gonna target a free agent who can bring somes leadership for the team on a short time. Also, Stamkos have already a solid natural fit with St-Louis and Lecavalier, and also a close childhood friend who can convince him to sign with the Habs is PK Subban...........
Another bold prediction : I think they will try to keep Primeau, but I think that they will not gonna be sure about his real potential futhermore. I think a team like the Flyers (who will gonna need a 2nd goalie next season) can be very interrested on him. That's bring me the quote that the Habs can decide to sign Fleury for a final season of his career for becoming the back-up of Montembeault (and that's can help Monty A LOT for his confidence).</div></div>
I would not be mad if the Habs went after Monahan at this price BUT I do think they should make a concerted effort to get someone for the top 6 more, even at the cost of overpaying, than adding to the bottom 6. Honestly I'm all for overpaying on shorter term contracts right now. If Marchessault or Stamkos want 11M for 2 years, I'd do it in a heartbeat.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
il y a 7 minutes
Sujet:
UFA frenzy dilemma
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OldNYIfan</b></div><div>Teravainen and Marchessault would seem to me to be the best forward fits, but I have no idea what they would sign for. (The former looks low and the latter looks high.) Pesce is the best defensive signing and I think that you have his numbers right.</div></div>
Its anyone guess but my thinking was if Marchessault entertained coming to MTL, it had to be quite a lucrative offer. I doubt many teams could offer higher than this on 4 years. For Turbo, I looked at his injury history and figured he'd want a longer term contract over cashing in as high as possible on a shorter one for some cost certainty. So I brought the AAV down a little but made the deal go into his late 30's to compensate.
Also keep in mind, some of these are inflated on purpose for the "MTL tax". No one in their right mind should be giving Stamkos 10M a year at his age but I think what he still has to offer would be worth overpaying for if I were MTL.
Pesce may be one that Im undervaluing if Im being honest. With the RHD shortage on the market, their will be a bidding war. I think a serious team may have to go 7x7 frankly. MTL especially due to the forementioned "MTL tax".
Forum:
Armchair-GM
il y a 17 minutes
Sujet:
Roster improvements
I'd be ok with this ONLY if it was at the TDL next season and no other deals yielded a better offer with retention for other players on the team such as Savard, Dvorak, Armia etc.. Unfortunately the Habs only have a single retention slot available so they have to make it count and there simply is no rush to move JA out with 50% retention for 3 more years as of this off season. By the TDL we'd have way more info on who'd be the best to move with last retention spot. Making the gamble now is an unnecessary one.
If it were next off season though? I'd accept in a heartbeat. We'd have 3 full retention slots again.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>GuyGuyGuy</b></div><div>It was a first but some retention, wich was the reason he refused</div></div>
Actually we don't even know. That's the problem. The "rumor" was intentionally vague. All it said was a team had been rumored to offer in a deal a 1st for Anderson and Hughes declined. There was no mention of what the amount of retention was or even if there were other negative assets added to the deal potentially. I don't think the amount of retention is even an issue for KH. It was simply losing a retention spot for 4 years while knowing there were a ton of other pending UFA players that would have needed to be moved before JA's contract was up that held it up.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
il y a 11 heures
Sujet:
For littlejerryseinfeld
The gap between higher cap/lower term and lower cap/higher term is not close enough to me for Minny to accept. 7M over 2 years is WAYYYY worse than 2.1 over 4 more years. I don't think either team is too worried about actual salaries here. Its just the cap difference is too monumental.
Lee's contract is a burden. Gaudreau's is an annoyance.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
il y a 11 heures
Sujet:
cantadians
Its important to remember that cap space isn't an issue until its needed so depending on what the Habs do in free agency, which is likely nothing of major significance, there is not going to be a need for cap space any time soon. So why do this exactly? The whole point of moving cap dumps with 1sts is because in order to sign/ trade for big expensive names, you need to create cap space. MTL isn't the most desirable place to play for most UFA's so chances are they aren't going to add a lot of big names that way. By trade? Who would they realistically add making more than what Suzuki makes that isn't in the mid 30's?? I don't see it. All the guys they're targeting are mid range cap hits and any prospect they have won't need a huge raise anytime soon.
The value is probably spot on, it would take a 1st each to move both guys at current cap hits but the Habs have so little reason to do so. Both guys despite being really bad this year are at the very least "character guys" that their teammates love and respect. So they aint hurting the Habs development. Just their standings but they are rebuilding so that's a good thing, I guess.
ON THE FLIPSIDE, If the Habs land Celebrini this year and then entice a big name in free agency to sign here (Stamkos, Marchessault, etc) moving the Habs playoff expectations drastically closer, I think I would make a concerted effort to move out one of those two at just about all costs. Buy out being the most likely if a 50% retention trade offer wasn't enough to get someone to bite. While the Habs don't need cap space necessarily, they are starting to get to the point of needing roster spot flexibility. Gally and Anderson are essentially taking up the same 4th line RW spot and for a team looking to finally contend and that may be the straw that breaks the camel's back.
Back to reality, I think Anderson will be moved next offseason (when they have more retention slots available) with significant retention for little to no return. Its clear as day he does not fit this team and this coach anymore and not giving in to moving him out with incentives is only hurting your team more when other youngsters are not getting ice time as a result. Sometimes paying to get rid of someone is a necessary move.
As for Gallagher, there is no move to be made there, not even with max retention. Either he rides into the sunset with MTL as a 4th liner for the remainder of his contract or he gets bought out at some point. My gut is they keep him as long as he provides <em>some</em> value to the team. Then in the final year of his contract is bought out unless they really aren't lacking for cap space and don't mind keeping him around the team to finish it out. Also he has a high chance of being LTIRetired at some point here too so that could be valuable to the Habs looking to exceed the cap ceiling in a playoff run.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
jeu. à 15 h 59
Sujet:
Trying to fill out a roster
I think if the Habs needed the cap and roster space for a center, they'd probably do this for Dvorak. Center depth is weak so moving him is only necessary if they intend to replace him with someone better. If not they have little reason to move him. They'd just have to go get another Dvorak type center again so its defeats the purpose.
Anderson on the other hand, if there is a move to be made, I'd be interested in. I think Habs mgmt would welcome moving him for pennies on the dollar right now and frankly even with sweeteners to move him out if need be. ONLY if its to remove his cap entirely though. They're not retaining on him and if they take someone back, that contract has to be off their books soonish. If those criteria can't be met, they might as well buy him out then.
Forum:
NHL Signings
9 mars à 17 h 5
Sujet:
Calgary Flames signed Kevin Rooney (1 Year / $1,300,000 AAV)
Makes absolutely no sense so there must be more to it than what we know. Ownership/management must personally love this guy and they just want to be extra nice I guess? There really is no other justification.
Forum:
NHL Trades
8 mars à 21 h 6
Sujet:
(SJS/VGK) - Hertl, 2025 3rd (SJS), 2027 3rd (SJS) for Edstrom, 2025 1st (VGK)
Good god. If there ever was a need for the Jesse Pinkman "He can't keep getting away with this" gif, now would be it.
<div class="tenor-gif-embed"><a href="https://tenor.com/view/he-cant-keep-getting-away-with-it-gif-19335672" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">He Cant Keep Getting Away With It GIF</a></div>
Forum:
NHL Trades
8 mars à 20 h 54
Sujet:
(OTT/FLA) - Tarasenko for 2024 4th (FLA), 2025 3rd (FLA)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>Look at the supply today vs the supply when they traded him. Huge difference. And yes, I am saying he should have absolutely netted them a 2nd, which I do not consider a small difference from the 3rd or 4th round. It's a sizable difference.</div></div>
That 2nd is looking like an early 3rd at this point with the way Florida is playing. Late 2nd this year vs an unknown 3rd next year and a potential late 3rd this year, if not 4th. I don't think its that big at all. Ultimately, there's no way to know if you or I are right. Its all just feeling. They got what they got. Maybe it could have been better, maybe not. Both are very possible.
Forum:
NHL Trades
7 mars à 15 h 3
Sujet:
(OTT/FLA) - Tarasenko for 2024 4th (FLA), 2025 3rd (FLA)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>And what of the team(s?) that wasn't able to pick up one of those options? You covered all the finites except supply. Which it could be argued is the most important finite of all in such a scenario, economically speaking.
We're not talking about two 1sts in value more. We're talking about one or two rounds higher on one pick. I'm pretty confident they could hold out just a little bit longer. It's not like the quick trigger helped their return any.</div></div>
I mean, what, moving a 4th to a 3rd instead? Maybe instead of both picks, one 2nd was given instead? Yeah I guess. In the grand scheme of things its small bananas with some risk. Considering there is also a chance they get less then they got because they are the ones that are desperate. Yeah they could have gotten slightly better. They also could have gotten even worse. They hedged their bet early and didn't risk losing him for a 5th rounder right before the deadline when Florida says take it or leave it. Which they would have had to take no questions asked.
Tarasenko's NMC makes it impossible to know. For all we know, Florida was the only team he wanted to go to that also wanted him. (And potentially could fit him in under the cap). I can only guess that the reason Ott moved him asap was because the teams that fit all the criterion, I previously mentioned was equal to 1. Maybe 2.
There was definitely more supply than there were Tarasenko destination options. Once again based on what we can assume was a pretty specific amount of teams he'd go to.
Forum:
NHL Trades
7 mars à 12 h 42
Sujet:
(OTT/FLA) - Tarasenko for 2024 4th (FLA), 2025 3rd (FLA)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>Generally less things being available raises the price, not lowers it.</div></div>
In a world of endless demand for a product, sure. That isn't the NHL. Finite cap space, finite picks and prospects, finite roster spots and the most important is finite amount of teams he'd waive to go to. If those teams all go out and spend on other options today, they are now going to spend more for Tarasenko tomorrow for some reason because why?
Forum:
NHL Trades
7 mars à 12 h 36
Sujet:
(ANA/MTL) - Perreault for Mysak
Oh wow. I like it as a MTL fan. Mysak is going to be a bottom 6 NHLer at the absolute best. Probably is more likely to be a forever tweener. Perreault is certainly boom or bust at this point but has a higher ceiling so its decent gamble. Habs need more high end guys and less of what they have in Laval right now.
Forum:
NHL Trades
7 mars à 12 h 31
Sujet:
(VGK/WSH) - 2024 2nd (VGK), 2026 4th (VGK) for Mantha
Solid trade for all involved but of course the rich got richer. Damn you Vegas!
Good on Wash though for not panic moving Mantha this past off season and reaping the rewards now.
Forum:
NHL Trades
7 mars à 12 h 28
Sujet:
(OTT/FLA) - Tarasenko for 2024 4th (FLA), 2025 3rd (FLA)
This is what happens when the player has all the power. Can't fault OTT here, this may have literally been the best they were going to get.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>Sure, but have some spine. Hold for a couple days maybe. Geez. They just rolled over and showed their belly.</div></div>
I disagree, I think had they waited, they might have had an even worse return. Waiting to last minute for a better offer would not have helped them here IMO.
Forum:
NHL Trades
7 mars à 12 h 24
Sujet:
(SEA/NYR) - Wennberg for 2024 2nd (NYR), 2025 4th (DAL)
Not the player I would have targeted if I were NYR but the price was not that high. Late 2nd and a 4th. Likely a less costly consolation prize choice but regardless Wennberg doesn't scream playoff player to me and that is what NYR should have been after IMO.
Forum:
NHL Trades
7 mars à 12 h 21
Sujet:
(COL/PHI) - Johansen, 2025 1st (COL) for Walker, 2026 5th (PHI)
Ugggh so jealous. This is exactly the type of trade i wanted the Habs to make with Col. Both teams win here. Both got what they wanted and I think the price was fair. Basically Walker for a 2nd and dump Ryjo for a 2nd (Combine the two 2nds to make a 1st) which is pretty much what CF as a whole was saying.
Forum:
NHL Trades
7 mars à 12 h 18
Sujet:
(ANA/TBL/EDM) - Henrique, Carrick, 2024 7th (ANA) for Taylor, 2024 7th (TBL), 2025 5th (TBL) for 2024 1st (EDM), 2025 4th (EDM), 2025 5th (EDM)
Not the players I would have targeted personally if I were EDM but they certainly aren't bad options. Curious to see if they do anything else of note.
Forum:
NHL Trades
7 mars à 12 h 16
Sujet:
(CGY/PHI/VGK) - Hanifin for for Miromanov, 2024 5th (VGK), 2025 1st (VGK), 2025 3rd (VGK)
He should have cost more but I guess that was the market. This has been an odd TDL so far.
Forum:
NHL Trades
7 mars à 12 h 7
Sujet:
(COL/BUF) - Byram for Mittelstadt
Man, this one surprised me. Not what I was expecting at all. I think this trade didn't need to happen. Mittlestadt doesn't seem like the player COL should have been after (Im assuming he's gonna want to get paid on his next contract here) and Buffalo probably didn't need to go get another young dman whose got some risk with injuries.
Listen, both teams got good players but I feel like they both could have waited. This was NOT a TDL type move. This should have been a draft move if anything.
Forum:
NHL Trades
7 mars à 11 h 53
Sujet:
(WSH/TOR) - Edmundson for 2024 3rd (NYI), 2025 5th (CHI)
I got to say, I'm not digging the Leafs moves thus far. They didn't really overpay or anything for Eddy or Bush for that matter but man they better have something more pertinent in the works. Eddy/Bush cannot be your solution defensively.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 mars à 12 h 42
Sujet:
Buffalo Trade
I don't think Buffalo would do this. They could easily get more if they for whatever reason decided to trade Tuch.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 mars à 12 h 37
Sujet:
jonh514
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jonh514</b></div><div>Clarke seems like the right piece. Nice trade idea... Too bad it will never happen!</div></div>
IMHO An absolute disaster of a trade from the Habs perspective. I was sort of on board at quick glance because I thought it was the 2024 1st which has a chance of being quite high.... but for the 2025 1st, why one earth would we do that? Are we to expect NJ to be a worse team next year with the addition of solid goaltending?. It literally the one thing holding them back from being a legit playoff team..... Really really narrow minded gamble from the Habs perspective here. The goal you're trying to achieve can be done without even doing this, so why are we exactly?
Want Askarov? Fine, go get him. Habs already have all the assets to get him if they really do and having a tandem of Monty/Askarov would be amazing with Fowler coming in once Monty's contract is done. or sooner if needed. Habs mgmt is already poised to make significant improvements to the team next year in order to try and be more competitive. So, you are right, this trade won't happen in reality and frankly Im glad it won't.
This is not even to mention that it would be in bad taste to move the recently signed local boy right after locking him up long term, for....... picks and prospects.
Forum:
NHL Trades
28 févr. à 20 h 46
Sujet:
(CGY/DAL/NJD) - Tanev for Grushnikov, 2024 2nd (DAL), 2026 4th (DAL), 2026 3rd (DAL) for Brady
Pretty fair to me. I thought a team was gonna pony up a 1st for him but this seems like what he should go for.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
26 févr. à 13 h 48
Sujet:
All Aboard
Pettersson mock trades can't even realistically happen yet IMHO. We're just throwing random values at the wall and seeing what sticks amongst us fans but there are too many variables that are dependent on factors we don't officially know yet.
Pettersson falls into two categories: either he is a player you never trade because its impossible to replace him through trade and even drafting another Petey is almost impossible OR you know he isn't resigning and you are forced to sell for less that true value, giving other teams a bit of an edge in negotiations. (This is under the assumption there is no scenario where Vancouver sits EP out until he signs which i don't think they would)
If Van can't resign him, what incentive do teams have to pay top dollar? On the flipside, if Van can resign him and its simply an ongoing negotiation, then the value to acquire is probably higher than would make reasonable sense for any team to give up.
The only caveat is if another team has a similar player in a similar situation and swapping both players would solve all parties involved, problems. Rare but could happen.
So we can discuss what we think his value is but its a pretty big pendulum swing based on things we don't even know for sure yet.
As for the trade, I'd be on board to do this from a MTL perspective ONLY if we know what EP's contract demands are first. If we go into it, having to start negotiations AFTER the trade, we basically have to sign him to whatever he wants and have zero leverage. See Bergevin's Josh Anderson trade for an example of how NOT to do negotiations.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
26 févr. à 11 h 31
Sujet:
Pettersson for Bedard
Bedard is untradeable. The cost to acquire such a player would defeat the purpose of acquiring him in the first place.
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