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PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood

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Maple Leafs de Toronto
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Forum: Armchair-GM16 févr. 2022 à 11 h 54
Sujet: Solving the Scoring Problem Forsberg Style
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>PuckLuck_77</b></div><div>Can't make an average team? He's not playing right now because of an ACL injury that has him out for the year, not because he's been outplayed. He'd be playing over Durzi if he was healthy. I just think Durzi has higher potential, and is also 2mil cheaper than Walker.

Walker is an effective puck-moving defenseman with some offensive flair. He QB'd the Kings second power play when he was healthy. I think he's fairly worth a 2nd. If he wasn't coming off the injury, I think he'd be worth a little more.</div></div>

He's a #3 RD in LA, what is he going to be on a good team? He's maxed out his potential by now as well. I think you should temper your expectations. Run of the mill depth players on below average teams, are not good players on better teams. At best doing a change of scenery trade may be your best outcome. Find some other formally touted player to trade for and hope. I think every team is going to keep a 2nd and hope that turns into more than a 27 year old bottom pairing defenceman with no upside.
Forum: Armchair-GM16 févr. 2022 à 11 h 49
Sujet: Preparing for a Playoff Run Next Year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>pharrow</b></div><div>A. they aren't in the strongest conference.
B. WSH and BOS are very sketch top 10 teams if you even want to call them that. Hell they aren't even in the top 6 of their conference.
They are both going backwards, they are both old as dirt, and they both have massive holes throughout their roster.
Jesus, you take teams who are only playoff teams because the rest of their divisions are bad, and you try to call them top 10 teams.
OTT isn't a good team this year, that does not mean they won't be a good team next year. FFS, they are loaded with high end prospect talent that should be making Jumps into the NHL next year.
Hell just the improvement to their blue line next year should boost the team significantly.</div></div>

Okay I know this isn't your strong area so I'll walk you through it.

As we currently sit, 8 of the top 12 teams in Points percentage (this is the most accurate way to gauge success at this point since it does take into account the different number of games teams have played) are all in the eastern conference. The 4 teams in the west in the top 12 are Colorado, Minnesota, St Louis and Calgary. Their records are boosted because they in fact do play in the weaker conference since the Pacific is almost entirely in the bottom half of the league and after Nashville there isn't a team in the Central thats at all good.

Meanwhile Ottawa is 27th in points percentage. That is an awfully big gulf to span there.

Numbers are really not that hard to understand if someone wants to.
Forum: Armchair-GM16 févr. 2022 à 11 h 35
Sujet: Defence upgrades and grit depth forwards
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>leafs101</b></div><div>i'm not arguing that they don't lead it and do the heavy lifting, but there's only so much lifting they can do, depth matters.

i added to my last comment since you responded too, that should address some of this

St louis had huge depth contribution - Robert Thomas as a rookie, Maroon scoring that OTW goal, etc etc. Same with the other teams you mentioned. Stars lead it, but need help from the rest of the lineup.

You NEED star power to win, but star power ALONE and the just an average team otherwise is not enough.</div></div>

Of course depth matters, however the difference between the various depth players around the league is quite small. Finding the right fit can see a depth guy go from a 4th liner to a top 6 player. Look at Hyman as an example, is he really capable of making a major difference on his own? Not in the slightest but good chemistry with Matthews and Marner and he gets 5.5 million, is he any better than Bunting? Maybe the difference is so small.

So getting extra depth guys at major costs that don't really change the team and absolutely come with a risk of being less than what we have already isn't wise.

In my mind TO should load up for this playoff. But my idea of loading up isn't changing the entire defence, it's upgrading Holl if you can and adding another NHL defenceman (possibly in the same move if possible). Have Holl slide down to the 3rd pair with Sandin after adding Severson or Klingberg and now you have 8 NHL defenceman. One of our Lefties get hurt and you have Dermott on the bottom pair? I can live with that. Or two guys get hurt and you have Schenn instead of Biega as your #8, that's good news. Spending big for guys who aren't really that much of an improvement or not one at all like Hakanpaa, Schenn, Mayfield, Lyubushkin, etc etc won't move the needle and cost more than it's worth. Sometimes less is more.
Forum: Armchair-GM16 févr. 2022 à 11 h 2
Sujet: Defence upgrades and grit depth forwards
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>leafs101</b></div><div>I tend to be inbetween the "physicality doesn't matter" and "its more important than skill" schools of thought. Of course you win or lose on your skill, but having physicality means your skill players aren't taking beatings without your team dishing it back. It means their players can't get into the crease so easily. And I do think you're underestimating Manson as a solid defensive defenceman who doesn't take so many penalties in that fashion. That said, Severson is also a solid option - might cost a lot more though.

And look, say what you will, but cup winning teams often do add big heavy defencemen and it often works - see Savard to Tampa.</div></div>

That is connecting dots that have nothing to do with each other. When a team wins the cup, many point to some depth addition as the reason they won and that is entirely nonsense. Savard was of little importance. The Lightning won thanks to their stars. It's always the stars who do the heavy lifting and very few stars go around hitting everyone.

I also think "grit" and "hitting" are looked at as being the same and have little to do with each other. Good players fight through anything, Crosby gets targetted in the playoffs and just fights through it to win. Same with the Tampa stars. If TO is going to succeed in the playoffs. Matthews will need to enforce his will on every series, be the best player and want it more than anyone else. When that happens, all you really want is for everyone else to do your job. The team has proven they are a top team and their system calls for certain things.

They need to stay within that and then keep doing it consistently. If you really watch what leads to their breakdowns it's always transition where they took a bigger chance than they needed to. Limit that and they'll be a force. They are better defensively than Florida and Tampa from a GA/G point of view, how do they really improve that without damaging what makes them such a strong team? Changing 66% of their right side for tough guys who have little puck skills doesn't really help and could harm the teams possession in a big way.
Forum: Armchair-GM16 févr. 2022 à 10 h 44
Sujet: Defence upgrades and grit depth forwards
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>leafs101</b></div><div>Hakanpaa is better than I think you seem to think. 6'6 220, mobile, actually uses his large frame unlike Holl. Main thing was that he has 3 years left, and could make a good partner for Sandin long term. Manson I somewhat agree, for me it was a toss up between pursuing him or Severson for that reason. But he's defensively sound, reliable, and brings physicality for the playoffs</div></div>

I absolutely hate that there is some wisdom in getting big heavy defenceman who can't skate for a deep playoff run because by the 3rd round clutching and grabbing takes hold and everything goes. That's just ridiculous, why bother calling penalties in the regular season if it doesn't matter come the playoffs.
Forum: Armchair-GM16 févr. 2022 à 10 h 8
Sujet: Preparing for a Playoff Run Next Year
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>pharrow</b></div><div>why because they have a few more points this year.
OTT has a lot more talent yet to hit the ice, and it's much higher end talent than what will hit the ice for DET.
OTT is much further along in their rebuild than DET.
Hell DET can't even keep talent. Looks like Bertuzzi is half foot out the door from everything I've seen.</div></div>

There is also the New Jersey, Columbus, The Islanders, Buffalo and Philadelphia between them and Boston who have 20 more points in 1 more game. This is a major gulf with lots of teams inbetween them. Hell even Montreal with Price would be significantly better than what they are this year. Ottawa has some talent no doubt but they sure seem pretty far away from the top teams in the east and I just don't see how they jump up that much in one year. I think at best them looking more competitive on a regular basis will be their next step. They are not close yet.b