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If CGY is blowing it up

Créé par: Meeqs
Équipe: 2022-23 Avalanche du Colorado
Date de création initiale: 19 juill. 2022
Publié: 19 juill. 2022
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Signatures de joueurs autonomes
UFAANSCAP HIT
12 250 000 $
Transactions
CGY
  1. Behrens, Sean [Liste de réserve]
  2. Bowers, Shane [Droits de RFA]
  3. Compher, J.T.
  4. Olausson, Oskar
  5. Choix de 1e ronde en 2023 (COL)
  6. Choix de 2e ronde en 2025 (COL)
Repêchage1e ronde2e ronde3e ronde4e ronde5e ronde6e ronde7e ronde
2023
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
2024
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
2025
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
Logo de COL
TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
2182 500 000 $81 552 500 $25 000 $3 562 500 $947 500 $
Ailier gaucheCentreAilier droit
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
7 000 000 $7 000 000 $
AG, C
NMC
UFA - 7
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
6 300 000 $6 300 000 $
C
NMC
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
9 250 000 $9 250 000 $
AD, C
UFA - 3
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
4 500 000 $4 500 000 $
AG, AD
UFA - 5
Logo de Flames de Calgary
4 850 000 $4 850 000 $
C, AD
UFA - 2
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
6 125 000 $6 125 000 $
AD, AG
NMC
UFA - 8
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
912 500 $912 500 $ (Bonis de performance212 500 $$212K)
AG, C
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
908 333 $908 333 $ (Bonis de performance850 000 $$850K)
C, AG
RFA - 1
2 250 000 $2 250 000 $
AG, AD
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
1 250 000 $1 250 000 $
AG
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
1 250 000 $1 250 000 $
C, AG, AD
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
1 050 000 $1 050 000 $
AD, AG
UFA - 3
Défenseur gaucherDéfenseur droitierGardien de but
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
4 100 000 $4 100 000 $
DG
UFA - 2
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
9 000 000 $9 000 000 $
DD
UFA - 5
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
3 400 000 $3 400 000 $
G
UFA - 3
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
5 000 000 $5 000 000 $
DG/DD
UFA - 5
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
4 500 000 $4 500 000 $
DD
NTC
UFA - 4
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
2 000 000 $2 000 000 $
G
UFA - 2
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
894 167 $894 167 $ (Bonis de performance2 500 000 $$2M)
DG/DD
RFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
6 000 000 $6 000 000 $
DD
M-NTC, NMC
UFA - 1
Logo de Avalanche du Colorado
987 500 $987 500 $
DG/DD, AG
UFA - 2

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19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 22
#1
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He won't be traded but I would want Girard + Newhook as a base
19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 26
#2
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
He won't be traded but I would want Girard + Newhook as a base


All things considered, I would actually trade Newhook in this situation. Would you accept Toews instead of Girard? I'd do Toews + Newhook for Lindholm and, like a 2024 2nd.
19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 27
#3
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
He won't be traded but I would want Girard + Newhook as a base


If they're fully rebuilding there is no reason to keep him, if they're going to try and stay competitive then I agree.

I'm not surprised fans on here would prefer a more 'known' quantity in Newhook and I'd be open to a deal like that but it would be a very different package, and I do think the package above is overall better personally.

I would also be open to a deal around Girard as well but I don't feel like that makes any sense for CGY personally, although it would set up their defense for a quicker retool.

Lindholm isn't valuable enough to get both imo.
19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 28
#4
Billy739
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I dont think they're blowing up
I just think they got screwed filiing for Arbitration

42 goals and 104 pts is not the season you want Arbitration evaluating when determining Term and Cap.
Subban had a great year here, we figured 6-7m and he got 9m on a max term

Given Tkachuk's production and Arbitration Judge's history of overpaying (hence players like Dylan Strome not being QO'd in early to mid 20's)
At the low side CGY is looking at 9m +
If they Subban level overpay you're looking at 11m easy

Its why teams are willing to dump , sell or just no qualify a lot of players going to Arbitration.
Unless they're a top talent its not worth overpaying and even if they are long term its unsustainable
19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 28
#5
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Quoting: NMAvsFan
All things considered, I would actually trade Newhook in this situation. Would you accept Toews instead of Girard? I'd do Toews + Newhook for Lindholm and, like a 2024 2nd.


Toews will never be moved by COL. COL also has 0 use for picks
19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 29
#6
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Quoting: Billy739
I dont think they're blowing up
I just think they got screwed filiing for Arbitration

42 goals and 104 pts is not the season you want Arbitration evaluating when determining Term and Cap.
Subban had a great year here, we figured 6-7m and he got 9m on a max term

Given Tkachuk's production and Arbitration Judge's history of overpaying (hence players like Dylan Strome not being QO'd in early to mid 20's)
At the low side CGY is looking at 9m +
If they Subban level overpay you're looking at 11m easy

Its why teams are willing to dump , sell or just no qualify a lot of players going to Arbitration.
Unless they're a top talent its not worth overpaying and even if they are long term its unsustainable


They could retool and it wouldn't surprise me but I do think it would be foolish to do so. I guess we'll see what the return for Tkachuk will be when they trade him and that will be a pretty clear indicator
19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 29
#7
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I don't think Calgary will "blow it up" even with the loss of Gaudreau and the ongoing Tkachuk saga. They just don't do tear-downs.
19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 31
#8
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Quoting: Meeqs
Toews will never be moved by COL. COL also has 0 use for picks


I don't think they have "0 use for picks" - they can always use them to get more players. But I do agree that it is unlikely Toews will be moved. I think it's bad asset management to let him walk in FA but that's likely what they do.
19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 31
#9
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Quoting: NMAvsFan
I don't think Calgary will "blow it up" even with the loss of Gaudreau and the ongoing Tkachuk saga. They just don't do tear-downs.


That team was average a best before losing Gaudreau. Now that they are very likely losing Tkachuk I don't see them being able to come back from that.

I'm not ruling out they continue to make bad choices, just that I think this would be an intriguing option should they choose the sensible one
19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 32
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Quoting: NMAvsFan
I don't think they have "0 use for picks" - they can always use them to get more players. But I do agree that it is unlikely Toews will be moved. I think it's bad asset management to let him walk in FA but that's likely what they do.


Any player they draft now wont be NHL ready while they are in their current window, thusly they are simply trade assets and nothing more.
19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 33
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Quoting: NMAvsFan
All things considered, I would actually trade Newhook in this situation. Would you accept Toews instead of Girard? I'd do Toews + Newhook for Lindholm and, like a 2024 2nd.


No. Toews has 2 years left and is older than Lindholm. Girard is young enough and has enough term to fit into a short rebuild
19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 36
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Quoting: Meeqs
If they're fully rebuilding there is no reason to keep him, if they're going to try and stay competitive then I agree.

I'm not surprised fans on here would prefer a more 'known' quantity in Newhook and I'd be open to a deal like that but it would be a very different package, and I do think the package above is overall better personally.

I would also be open to a deal around Girard as well but I don't feel like that makes any sense for CGY personally, although it would set up their defense for a quicker retool.

Lindholm isn't valuable enough to get both imo.


Lindholm is certainly valuable enough to get both. He is on one of the best value contracts in the league.
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19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 37
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
No. Toews has 2 years left and is older than Lindholm. Girard is young enough and has enough term to fit into a short rebuild


I'd still probably do it, then.
19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 39
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Quoting: Meeqs
Any player they draft now wont be NHL ready while they are in their current window, thusly they are simply trade assets and nothing more.


That's what I'm talking about, using them in trades. And even if they do make the picks, those are players other teams might want. Having more draft capital and prospects is not a bad thing.
19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 41
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
He won't be traded but I would want Girard + Newhook as a base


Id do that for Lindholm
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19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 43
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
Lindholm is certainly valuable enough to get both. He is on one of the best value contracts in the league.


He certainly has been, but with only 2 years left before UFA its not quite as valuable as it once was. Also with both of his elite linemates gone I think we see a pretty painful drop off next season if they can't find any high level replacements.

I am one of the biggest Lindholm fans, so no need to preach to the choir here. Girard is just also extremely valuable, and with an even better contract and younger I think they are pretty similar in value. I could see something small added to Girard if he was moved now but nothing as substantial as Newhook.

I think as the year goes on Lindholms value will drop a good bit, just due to lack of talent around him and the term on his contract diminishing. Similar to what we see now with JT Miller
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19 juill. 2022 à 17 h 43
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Quoting: NMAvsFan
That's what I'm talking about, using them in trades. And even if they do make the picks, those are players other teams might want. Having more draft capital and prospects is not a bad thing.


Better to just make the right trade the first time than a trade that will require a 2nd one to make sense.
19 juill. 2022 à 18 h 7
#18
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Quoting: Meeqs
Better to just make the right trade the first time than a trade that will require a 2nd one to make sense.


Uh, they can use draft capital and prospects to make other trades to address other needs
19 juill. 2022 à 18 h 17
#19
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Quoting: NMAvsFan
Uh, they can use draft capital and prospects to make other trades to address other needs


Make the right trade and they wont have any other needs tbh
19 juill. 2022 à 18 h 20
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Quoting: Ledge_And_Dairy
He won't be traded but I would want Girard + Newhook as a base


I could see that with Calgary adding prospect/pick.
19 juill. 2022 à 18 h 36
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Quoting: TJTwolf
I could see that with Calgary adding prospect/pick.


Cgy honestly doesn't have anything else that is that valuable to COL. I know fans like to add on mid round picks and prospects to 'even out the value' in a vacuum but it doesn't actually work that way.

Lindholm just doesn't have that kind of value to get both, and while moving one of the 2 could make sense, it doesn't for both. Lindholms value also wont be going any higher, so you can just wait CGY out until Lindholm regresses without the 2 elite wingers boosting him up. There wont be another team that will beat the offer Col could make with 1 of those pieces.

And again I am the biggest Lindholm fan, just not irrationally or ignorantly so. His value now isn't that different than JT Millers was last TDL, although the teams have different needs
19 juill. 2022 à 18 h 38
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Quoting: Meeqs
Make the right trade and they wont have any other needs tbh


So, you only need to make one trade to address all your needs at any given time?
19 juill. 2022 à 18 h 43
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Quoting: Meeqs
Cgy honestly doesn't have anything else that is that valuable to COL. I know fans like to add on mid round picks and prospects to 'even out the value' in a vacuum but it doesn't actually work that way.

Lindholm just doesn't have that kind of value to get both, and while moving one of the 2 could make sense, it doesn't for both. Lindholms value also wont be going any higher, so you can just wait CGY out until Lindholm regresses without the 2 elite wingers boosting him up. There wont be another team that will beat the offer Col could make with 1 of those pieces.

And again I am the biggest Lindholm fan, just not irrationally or ignorantly so. His value now isn't that different than JT Millers was last TDL, although the teams have different needs


I'd say you disagree with everyone on the value then. Personally I see your offer above as way worse for the Avs. But then opinions vary!
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19 juill. 2022 à 18 h 50
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Quoting: TJTwolf
I'd say you disagree with everyone on the value then. Personally I see your offer above as way worse for the Avs. But then opinions vary!


I mean message board aren't known for being filled with experts. Doesn't matter to me if anyone agrees, occasionally someone creates something really clever which is really what I look for.

Also I do think the offer I presented is the best for both CGY and COL which is why I made it. If CGY is moving Zebulon then they're rebuilding and the trade above gives them the best futures value which aligns with both teams needs.
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19 juill. 2022 à 18 h 50
#25
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Quoting: NMAvsFan
So, you only need to make one trade to address all your needs at any given time?


If you're the Avs and only have 1 hole atm then yeah kinda.
 
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