PARAMÈTRES D’AFFICHAGE
Basculer en mode sombre
Thème automatique
COTES DES PARIS
Cotes activées
LANGUE
EN
SE CONNECTER
S'INSCRIRE
FORUMS
ARCHIVES ▾
ARCHIVES
Masses salariales des années antérieures
Articles
Simulateur de repêchage d'expansion de 2017 - Vegas
Simulateur de repêchage d'expansion de 2021 - Seattle
CBA ▾
CBA
FAQ - Convention collective
Historique des masses salariales
Rémunération maximale du contrat d’entrée
FAQ - Rachats de contrat
FAQ - Liste des blessés à long terme
FAQ - Offre Hostile
FAQ - Ballottage
FAQ - Liste de réserve
FAQ - Repêchage d'expansion
COTES
CALCS ▾
CALCS
Calculateur de rachat de contrat
Calculateur de ballottage
Calculateur d’offre qualificative
Calculateur d’arbitrage
Calculateur d'offre hostile
Calculateur d'impôt sur le revenu
OUTILS - FANTASY HOCKEY ▾
OUTILS - FANTASY HOCKEY
Sommaire
Alignements détaillés
Gardiens partants
Mises à jour - Statuts des joueurs
Historique des blessures
OUTILS ▾
OUTILS
Tableau de repêchage
Comparables de contrats
Équipes affiliées
Essais professionnels
Cas d’arbitrage
Entraîneurs
Directeurs généraux
Joueurs appartenant à la formation au moment du gel - COVID
JOUEURS ▾
JOUEURS
Joueurs autonomes
Joueurs actifs
Joueurs inactifs
Contrats 35 ans et +
Contrats d’entrée
Reports du contrat d'entrée
NTC-NMC
Gains en carrière
Comparables de contrats
Essais professionnels
Coût par point
Coût par arrêt
Transactions
Signatures
Mouvements de personnel
Historique des blessures
Historique du ballottage
Salaire retenu
Historique des rachats de contrat
ÉQUIPES ▾
CONFÉRENCE DE L'OUEST
PACIFIQUE
Ducks d'Anaheim
Flames de Calgary
Oilers d'Edmonton
Kings de Los Angeles
Sharks de San Jose
Kraken de Seattle
Canucks de Vancouver
Golden Knights de Vegas
CENTRALE
Coyotes de l'Arizona
Blackhawks de Chicago
Avalanche du Colorado
Stars de Dallas
Wild du Minnesota
Predators de Nashville
Blues de St-Louis
Jets de Winnipeg
CONFÉRENCE DE L'EST
MÉTROPOLITAINE
Hurricanes de la Caroline
Blue Jackets de Columbus
Devils du New Jersey
Islanders de New York
Rangers de New York
Flyers de Philadelphie
Penguins de Pittsburgh
Capitals de Washington
ATLANTIQUE
Bruins de Boston
Sabres de Buffalo
Red Wings de Detroit
Panthers de la Floride
Canadiens de Montréal
Sénateurs d'Ottawa
Lightning de Tampa Bay
Maple Leafs de Toronto
INTERACTIF ▾
OUTILS INTERACTIFS
Fauteuil - DG
Repêchage simulé
Simulateur de transactions (propositions de transactions)
RECHERCHER
FAUTEUIL - DG
REPÊCHAGE SIMULÉ
SIMULATEUR DE TRANSACTIONS
ÉQUIPES ▾
Ducks d'Anaheim
Coyotes de l'Arizona
Bruins de Boston
Sabres de Buffalo
Flames de Calgary
Hurricanes de la Caroline
Blackhawks de Chicago
Avalanche du Colorado
Blue Jackets de Columbus
Stars de Dallas
Red Wings de Detroit
Oilers d'Edmonton
Panthers de la Floride
Kings de Los Angeles
Wild du Minnesota
Canadiens de Montréal
Predators de Nashville
Devils du New Jersey
Islanders de New York
Rangers de New York
Sénateurs d'Ottawa
Flyers de Philadelphie
Penguins de Pittsburgh
Sharks de San Jose
Kraken de Seattle
Blues de St-Louis
Lightning de Tampa Bay
Maple Leafs de Toronto
Canucks de Vancouver
Golden Knights de Vegas
Capitals de Washington
Jets de Winnipeg
JOUEURS ▾
Joueurs autonomes
Joueurs actifs
Joueurs inactifs
Contrats 35 ans et +
Contrats d’entrée
Reports du contrat d'entrée
NTC-NMC
Gains en carrière
Coût par point
Coût par arrêt
Transactions
Signatures
Mouvements de personnel
Historique des blessures
Historique du ballottage
Salaire retenu
Historique des rachats de contrat
Comparables de contrats
Essais professionnels
OUTILS ▾
Tableau de repêchage
Comparables de contrats
Cas d’arbitrage
Essais professionnels
Entraîneurs
Directeurs généraux
Joueurs appartenant à la formation au moment du gel - COVID
Équipes affiliées
OUTILS - FANTASY HOCKEY ▾
Sommaire
Alignements détaillés
Gardiens partants
Mises à jour - Statuts des joueurs
CALCS ▾
Calculateur de rachat de contrat
Calculateur de ballottage
Calculateur d’offre qualificative
Calculateur d’arbitrage
Calculateur d'offre hostile
Calculateur d'impôt sur le revenu
COTES
CBA▾
FAQ - Convention collective
Historique des masses salariales
Rémunération maximale du contrat d’entrée
FAQ - Rachats de contrat
FAQ - Liste des blessés à long terme
FAQ - Offre Hostile
FAQ - Ballottage
FAQ - Liste de réserve
FAQ - Repêchage d'expansion
ARCHIVES ▾
Masses salariales des années antérieures
Articles
Simulateur de repêchage d'expansion de 2017 - Vegas
Simulateur de repêchage d'expansion de 2021 - Seattle
FORUMS
SE CONNECTER
S'INSCRIRE
EN
Basculer en mode sombre
Cotes activées
UpsideDownQue
Membre depuis
11 août 2017
Équipe favorite
Avalanche du Colorado
Messages dans les forums
8306
Messages par jour
3.7
MESSAGES
SUJETS
MENTIONS "J'AIME"
ÉQUIPES VIA FAUTEUIL-DG
Forum:
Armchair-GM
lun. à 15 h 26
Sujet:
Surprisingly
I think they will carry at least one healthy scratch that can play D so they arent 1 injury away from being short a defender, especially since they are on the road to start the season. Malinski or Shueneman would be my guess
Kiviranta probably gets 775k instead of 925k. As a PTO maybe he can negotiate a higher AHL salary but he doesnt have leverage to get anything more than that at the NHL level
Forum:
Armchair-GM
sam. à 21 h 42
Sujet:
Opening Night Roster
Avs decline. They just signed malinski they wouldn't trade him in the same summer. I'd give a 4th for Timmins though, maybe a 3rd if it was a couple years away
Forum:
Armchair-GM
20 sept. à 15 h 17
Sujet:
Starting Lineup Option with 2 Veteran Signings and Vladar Traded
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>Ok yes it is a +1 to +8 on xGA but the thing is it changes the weight of values. If you face less low danger shots the weight of high and mid danger shots takes up a larger portion of the percentage. This may or may not effect the overall xGA but it will effect the overall GA, which in turn will effect the GSAx</div></div>
That is already accounted for. If the xG model is accurate then it affects the weight of xGA and the actual GA probability equally. They cancel each other out when calculating GSAx, so the final GSAx stat is completely up to the goalies ability
Forum:
Armchair-GM
20 sept. à 14 h 9
Sujet:
Starting Lineup Option with 2 Veteran Signings and Vladar Traded
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>They do have a small chance of going in, no ones arguing that but we are speaking hypothetically here. When a goalie faces 13 LD shots a game for 20 games vs 8 in that same amount period that is a difference of 100 shots. Even at 1% that is still +1 on GSAx. LD shots range from 1-8% in probability of going in so in theory over a 20 game sample size that is a +1 to +8 difference in GSAx.
Now I am not taking anything away from Georgiev here as he did have a very solid year but of the 55 goalies that played at least 1000 minutes at 5v5 he lead the league with 680 LD shots against and Vladar finished 55th with 168.
As for his LD GSAx, he let in 6 LDGA at 5v5 and 6 on the PK. I personally avoid using special teams as they can vastly swing numbers from the norm all across the board (ie a high penalty game vs Edmonton vs a high penalty game vs Philly could completely distort the truth). So looking at 5v5 I think thats a rather small sample size to justifiably say it will absolutely continue to trend downwards.</div></div>
Its not necessarily a +1 to +8 difference in GSAx. It's a +1 to +8 difference in xGA, and depending on how many actual goals the goalie let's in on those shots then the GSAx can be up to +1 to +8. If the goalie saves every single one of those low danger shots then he deserves that GSAx. If he makes the expected number of saves for those low danger shots then his GSAx would be 0. If you trust the xG model to provide an accurate probability of a goal for each shot location then GSAx is completely up to the goalies ability
Why are you so sure that more low danger shots against leads to a higher GSAx? Do you think xG models overestimate the probability of low danger shots resulting in goals?
For the Georgiev comparison it doesn't even make sense cause he also had a negative GSAx on shots from low danger areas so it's not like he's getting free GSAx stat padding from that. He was just good enough at medium and high danger chances which more than made up for that
Forum:
Armchair-GM
20 sept. à 12 h 38
Sujet:
Starting Lineup Option with 2 Veteran Signings and Vladar Traded
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>xGA is literally just the sum of the percentage of each shot against. How exactly does it account for some goalies making more easy saves than others?</div></div>
Easy saves still have a small percentage change of going in, so it's not like every low danger shot is free stat padding for GSAx. If that was the case then every goalie would have positive GSAx on low danger shots (which obviously isn't true - and if it was then the xG model would be updated to better reflect the percentage chance of low danger shots going in). It's literally the entire reason they weigh the shots against by their xG values to compensate for that
Plus for Vladar last season he actually had a negative GSAx on low danger shots. So if he faced more low danger shots and kept playing the way he was then his GSAx would have been even worse
Forum:
Armchair-GM
20 sept. à 1 h 14
Sujet:
Starting Lineup Option with 2 Veteran Signings and Vladar Traded
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>Why are you just repeating back to me what xGA is? I know what it is an I explained it quite thoroughly in my post. What I don't think you get is low quality shots still add up. It's like the old saying "every penny counts." Vladar faced 5 less low danger shots than Georgiev a game last year. those 5 easy saves add up over 10-20 games.
<a href="https://www.espn.com/nhl/player/gamelog/_/id/3942459/dan-vladar" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">Here</a> is a list of all of Vladar's games from last year. You don't need to watch the whole game through either, just go to youtube type in "Flames vs Team X" and the date of the game and watch the ~10 minute highlight real. Hell you could choose all 6 games where he had more than 3 goals against and you will still see that most of the goals were not on him</div></div>
xGA already accounts for that. I'm not sure what your point is
Forum:
Armchair-GM
20 sept. à 0 h 27
Sujet:
Starting Lineup Option with 2 Veteran Signings and Vladar Traded
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>Eye test is almost always king and it should absolutely be noted that Georgiev had a negative GSAx the 2 seasons prior to being traded to Colorado. I find it to be a very volatile stat that can be hard to predict goalies success.
As for Vladar, out of all goalies that played at least 1000 minutes at 5v5, he faced some of the lowest SA in the league on average last year, as well as the lowest LDSA/60 and the 3rd lowest HDSA/60 (8.63/60). Whereas Georgiev for example had a middling HDSA/60 and one of the highest LDSA/60 (13.77)
GSAx is xGA-GA. xGA is determined based on xG of all Fenwick shots, which is essentially shots given a % chance of going in. A goalie that faces very few low quality shots will not add a lot of low value xGA to their total and those small numbers add up over a season.</div></div>
xGA already accounts for the danger level of the shots against, that's the whole point of assigning an expected goal value to each shot location/timing/rebound/etc. That's a huge reason why GSAx is the best goaltending stat available. Comparing low/med/high danger shots against is already accounted for when comparing GSAx which isn't the case when comparing raw SV% numbers for example
Eye test is good if you watch every single game and have tons of experience as a goaltending scout. For the vast majority of hockey fans they don't fit that description and watching a few games here and there isn't a big enough sample size to value that opinion over advanced stats accumulated over a goalies entire career
Georgiev had a negative GSAx for 2 seasons but also had a positive GSAx the previous 3 seasons. Overall in his career he was a + GSAx goalie which Vladar has never been. There was a risk when they traded for Georgiev that he wouldn't bounce back and would continue to underperform like he did his last 2 years with NYR, luckily for Colorado he did bounce back, but with Vladar there is no history of him performing well at the NHL level so that's not a risk I would be willing to take for that acquisition cost and cap hit
Forum:
Armchair-GM
19 sept. à 19 h 28
Sujet:
Starting Lineup Option with 2 Veteran Signings and Vladar Traded
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>KingofRnR</b></div><div>Comps are Georgiev, Nedeljokovic, Adin Hill, Vanecek, etc. who all performed and were similar ages when they were Traded for 2nds or the Equivalent and had similar performance and signed similar $2-3mil contracts
Goalie Market isn’t hot right now, but when Training Camp Starts and Injuries happen, it should go up. DeSmith was Traded to VAN today, so what available options out there are any better right now!?
I’m not high on Foudy tbh, a Right Shot Centre Prospect would just be a good organizational depth pickup imo (Nolan Patrick is currently available for Free). I’d actually prefer Calgary Born Logan O’Connor, but we have a bunch of Right Shot Bottom-6 Forwards available to us already
</div></div>
Georgiev had a career +4.01GSAx in 129GP when he was traded (+0.0311GSAx/GP)
Nedeljkovic had a career +12.25GSAx in 29GP when he was traded (+0.4224GSAx/GP)
Hill had a career -1.38GSAx in 49GP when he was traded (-0.0282GSAx/GP)
Vanecek had a career -10.34GSAx in 79GP when he was traded (-0.1309GSAx/GP)
Vladar currently has a career -13.61GSAx in 55GP (-0.2475GSAx/GP)
Vladar is the weakest by far out of all of those goalies you listed. Hes still somewhat young so maybe he can develop into a better goalie but based on what hes done so far I dont think hes in the same tier as those guys at all
As for other goalie options: Halak is still available as a UFA, Stolarz if Knight comes back in time, Rittich, Daccord if Driedger is healthy, Delia, Lyon, Lankinen depending on Askarov, 2 of Tokarski/UPL/Comrie depending on how Levi does, Stalock if Dostal gets the backup role, etc
Not all of those guys are better than Vladar (even though a lot of them were last season), but if the acquisition cost is significantly less (or free via waivers) then they would be better options imo
Forum:
Armchair-GM
19 sept. à 19 h 1
Sujet:
Starting Lineup Option with 2 Veteran Signings and Vladar Traded
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ledge_And_Dairy</b></div><div>He's played 2 seasons in the NHL, both as a backup and GSAx is far from a perfect stat. Maybe go watch some of his games before making a judgement on him, the team failed him way more often than he failed the team.</div></div>
Tbh that could be the case. I think Markstrom has always played against Colorado in the games ive watched so im just going off of what the stats say. Maybe Ill watch a couple Vladar games this season
But for now GSAx is by far the best goalie stat available and its not making him look very good
Forum:
Armchair-GM
19 sept. à 18 h 25
Sujet:
Starting Lineup Option with 2 Veteran Signings and Vladar Traded
Vladar has a negative GSAx in every season he's played and has a 2.2M cap hit. I know there's the Vladar to Colorado rumour on twitter but I am not interested in him at all and especially not if we're giving up a 3rd + Foudy. What makes you think he's worth a 2nd rounder in value?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
14 sept. à 17 h 52
Sujet:
Avs need a backup maybe
I think they are looking for a more short term G solution. Vladar with a 1.7M cap hit next year limits them from signing Toews
Forum:
Armchair-GM
14 sept. à 14 h 1
Sujet:
Fitting Hanifin
I think it would cost quite a bit more, especially if you want to dump Scandella too
Forum:
Fauteuil - DG
14 sept. à 13 h 30
Sujet:
Avs need a backup goalie
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TheDuminator</b></div><div>G will be playing behind Toews & Bow... so he is expendable and saving 5M worth a lot in the Toews signature next season</div></div>
He can play both sides and plays over 21 mins per night so hes getting top 4 minutes. They may have to move him or Manson (probably Manson) next offseason to make room for Toews but it doesnt make sense to move him now when they have the cap space for him
Forum:
Fauteuil - DG
14 sept. à 13 h 21
Sujet:
Avs need a backup goalie
Avs aren't moving a top 4 D to get a backup goalie. If they want to trade for a healthy backup they can get one for a late round pick (or free from waivers) and keep their D core intact
Forum:
Armchair-GM
13 sept. à 17 h 32
Sujet:
4C and 3RD
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HockeyManiac95</b></div><div>Given we just got Tatar, I don't think the Avs need to target these guys anymore.</div></div>
Why? Tatar is a pure winger he doesnt do anything to fix the 4C or 3RD/LD weak points on the roster
Forum:
Armchair-GM
13 sept. à 0 h 44
Sujet:
Out of Training camp roster prediction
Dont you think Howard needs another season or two in college? He scored 0.5P/GP in the NCAA last season and is an undersized 19 year old - doesnt make sense for him to go pro yet imo
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 sept. à 21 h 14
Sujet:
Is This Better Than The Current Leafs
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Avsfantrumpetman</b></div><div>I say this not as an attack, but just matter-of-fact. Duchene could not handle being the face of the franchise in Denver. He struggled mightily in Ottawa with high expectations. He only thrived when he got to Nashville. I truly think that playing in Toronto would wreck that man. I doubt you would get more than 40 points out of him and he would likely miss time.</div></div>
I dont know about that. In Colorado he was the best player on the team for multiple years. In Ottawa he disappointed a bit in his first season when he was traded mid season and had to learn new systems, but the following year scored 58P in 50GP. Then struggled on CBJ in the reg season as a rental but performed with 10P in 10GP in the playoffs. In NSH he's had up and down years but recently has been very good. I know theres bad blood with him and the Avs but im trying to be objective and im not really following how his history suggests he would crumble under the pressure in Toronto
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 sept. à 20 h 58
Sujet:
Avs in April
Why sell at the deadline at all? I would much rather keep him for depth and hope he can contribute in the playoffs than make the team worse just to get a mid round pick that will likely have no impact on the future of the team
Improving cup odds during their window >>>>>>>>> mid round picks
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 sept. à 20 h 4
Sujet:
What a Hole
Tatar fills the role Jarnkrok would have filled (and uses the cap he wouldve used). COL isnt a fit for him anymore
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 sept. à 15 h 55
Sujet:
Nylander
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Cub19</b></div><div>Landeskog would fit perfectly on the third line with colton. Toews is gone after this season
Manson is injury prone hence why he getting traded.
Timmons comes back</div></div>
The D core would be terrible there is no point in spending so much on wingers when you have that big of a weakness on D
What would your D core be next year?
Byram-Makar
? - Timmins
? - Malinski
The bottom 4 would be awful compared to what it is now
Forum:
NHL Signings
12 sept. à 14 h 47
Sujet:
Colorado Avalanche signed Tomas Tatar (1 Year / $1,500,000 AAV)
Huge fan of this
Forum:
Armchair-GM
11 sept. à 23 h 55
Sujet:
Nylander
Nylander would have to be a rental if Landeskog comes back - doesnt make sense to extend him when they have Lehkonen, Nichushkin, Rantanen, and Landeskog as top 6 wingers
Plus they would need the money to extend Toews if they moved Girard so the D core isnt completely gutted
Forum:
Armchair-GM
7 sept. à 17 h 53
Sujet:
Opening night lines
If Tatar is willing to sign for cheaper than 2.1M then why wouldn't COL just target him as a UFA instead of trading for Jarnkrok? As far as I know Tatar has no connection to Toronto as a city and Denver seems like a better option for Tatar for lower taxes, better chance at winning, potentially larger role on the team with Drouin as the top 6 F to beat out, less media pressure (especially for a player who historically underperforms in the playoffs), etc
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 juill. à 21 h 37
Sujet:
Possible Nylander Deal
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>turtlemountain</b></div><div>Avs accept I think. Not sure I love the extra cap hit but Beaucage has no value</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HockeyManiac95</b></div><div>Avs totally accept. A decent 3rd liner, not too expensive (and probably close to what we spend on a ufa for that spot), and traded for a prospect that we can easily replace!</div></div>
Agreed - I'd also be interested in bringing Timmins back if the leafs want to move him anyway. Combining the first 2 trades to be Beaucage + 4th (or even 3rd) for Lafferty + Timmins would be nice for the Avs imo
Forum:
Armchair-GM
2 juill. à 21 h 47
Sujet:
Toews 4C
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>McRanteskog</b></div><div>I don’t think Cogliano and Meyer faced equal opposition. I remember stretches of time where Cogliano filled in on the third and second line (at the peak of injuries), whilst Meyer battled amongst lesser players on the fourth line</div></div>
That's true but he also had better linemates to work with at those times. Even looking at just after January 1 when he was only averaging 10 mins at even strength per game he was still only at a 43.5 xGF%
1
2
Suivant
Page 1
Remerciements à
Guillaume Lambert-Héon
pour l'aide à la traduction de l'anglais au français
SalarySwish
| NBA Salary Caps by CapFriendly
Conditions d’utilisation
Politique de confidentialité
Règlements du forum
À propos de nous
FAQ - Convention collective
Nous contacter
Follow @CapFriendly
CapFriendly
CapFriendly
© 2023 CapFriendly.com