9 jun 2017
Deuxième équipe préférée
Canadiens de Montréal
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I don't think Holland is motivated to trade Puljujarvi. His high asking price is more indicative of a desire to keep the player, and he certainly doesn't appear to be concerned that he hasn't had a serious offer yet. In fact, I suspect his response to media questions regarding any discussions with other GMs was targeted directly at JP and his agent. Publicly acknowledging that there have been no discussions with other GMs serves Holland's agenda. There is some wisdom with this approach.
Puljujarvi provides Edmonton the same low-risk high reward potential that seems to be fueling all the AGM trade scenarios involving him. The huge changes among management and coaching staffs essentially render the Oilers a different organization than the one that mismanaged JP during his ELC. He has a real shot at the 1RW position in Edmonton. Chiasson, Archibald, and Haas are not viable top-six NHL forwards. James Neal is no longer a top six forward, Athanasiou hasn't been able to fit in with either McDavid or Draisaitl, and Yamamoto looks to be solidly locked on Draisaitl's line. Currently Kassian is his only competition. In comparison, JP is already a more responsible 200-foot player and he has more potential to produce offense. Further, Puljujarvi offers Gulutzan another big-bodied forward to provide net-front presence on the power play, and JP's wicked wrist shot offers additional options with the man advantage.
Yeah, I think Holland is playing the waiting game. The potential rewards exceed the possible costs. JP is still a RFA, and he can be signed for one year and at a relatively low salary. If he excels then he can be extended at a more appropriate salary. If he can't maximize the opportunity he has, then he will simply be an inexpensive bottom six forward and his trade value won't be drastically impacted.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>PLDGEY</b></div><div>Do you think this is bad for the oilers? cap relief, serviceable D to hold a spot while your young D mature, depth C RFA and a pick.</div></div>
I think its an unnecessary exchange.
1. Edmonton doesn't need Reilly, they have an overabundance of NHL, and NHL ready left-handed defenders.
2. Kris Russell has trade value by virtue of the fact that he is still a versatile and serviceable depth defender with a real dollar salary of $1,500,000 and a contract that expires at the end of the next season. His cap hit and his 15-team trade list are the only complicating factors, and there are a number of ways Holland can overcome those two issues without bundling him with Puljujarvi.
3. The offer doesn't match the asking price Holland has openly shared. Most people think he isn't going to get that return, and his intention may be just that. There is no pressure to make a trade, it doesn't hurt the Oilers if JP isn't playing in the NHL. Moreover, its quite possible that Puljujarvi realizes his best opportunity for returning is with Edmonton.
I think Ken Holland's top priority will be trading Kris Russell, followed by trading James Neal. If he can do either, or both, Alex Chiasson will remain an Oiler, as will Riley Sheahan.
Last season Edmonton had an incredible power play and among players with 90 minutes or more of power play time, six Oilers were in the top eight with respect to GF/60. Alex Chiasson was number one in the league with respect to this category. While his 5v5 stats clearly suggest he is a depth player when playing even strength, he is also an outstanding net-front presence on the power play. I'm pretty sure that Holland will ask for Montreal's 2021 3rd round pick, and after negotiating with Bergevin he might agree to their 4th round pick instead.
Sheahan made huge contributions to the NHL's 2nd ranked penalty kill, and he was beginning to offer some secondary offense toward the end of the last season. His future in Edmonton will be dependent on his salary expectations, whether Edmonton can clear a bit of extra cap space, and the performance of Jujhar Khaira during the play-in series and playoffs. It is likely he will cost a bit more than $1,000,000 because the Oilers can probably afford that amount, and they offer him an opportunity to play a meaningful role rather than sit in the press box.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Saskleaf</b></div><div>I can’t say I understood all this. Are you saying that Larsson is a one d since you don’t have a real one? Because both Nurse and Klefbom are better than him. Man that trade sucked.</div></div>
I was responding to the comment about where Edmonton is at and the quality of its defense. To be clear, the Oilers do not yet have a truly elite defenseman on their NHL roster. They have some very good defensemen, in the form of Klefbom, and Nurse, and some good defensemen in Larsson, and even Matt Benning (as long as he is deployed appropriately). Caleb Jones and Ethan Bear both appear to be on the rise and have already surpassed expectations as 4th and 5th round picks. Their emergence suggests Edmonton's defense will only continue to improve, especially when consideration is given to the younger players coming up behind them.
With respect to Larsson, he is a physical shutdown player, who at one time had some potential to contribute offense. He is not expected to be an elite top d-man, he is a great partner for Klefbom, just as he was a great partner for Andy Greene before that infamous trade. He brings a balance that gives Edmonton an effective top pair despite a lack of truly elite talent.