Modifié 16 janv. à 19 h 5
Quoting: dgibb10
I just don’t see a comp for 1.25 mill in 3rd party retention cap being a 3rd or a 4th.
But I may be missing something. We’ll have to see this deadline
I think what you are overlooking is actual salary. Salary and cap hit are two completely different things and factor into these sorts of trades differently. In these sort of third party retention trades involving rentals, salary is much more important than AAV. Being earlier doesn't make it the peak. There are more teams up against the cap right now than there was at the 2022 deadline.
The Daily Faceoff's study of historical trade data roughly comes out to these pick for salary ratios:
1st Round Pick: $800,000+
2nd Round Pick: $650,000
3rd Round Pick: $500,000
4th Round Pick: $350,000
5th Round Pick: $185,000
6th Round Pick $125,000
7th Round Pick: $100,000<
$370K puts it in the 4th round pick territory. But, historic data does not account for the current climate and situations of all teams involved. It's just an average. If AZ commanded that much to retain on Kane last year, you can bet that teams who are able to take on cap and salary will be using that as a recent comp to base their price on.
But, yeah, like you said, we'll see what happens. If CHI isn't using their retention slots for anything else and it's a pending UFA, whatever... Scratch some backs, do some favors, and build some relationships, maybe it'll be beneficial down the road.