Hawks decline. They'd want a F prospect or another 2nd in place of Ryan Johnson. Hawks don't need any more LD. And why would the Sabres want to acquire Muzzin? They don't need his cap hit to reach the cap floor.

The value seems fair but I'm not sure why the Jets go out and get UPL

As already mentioned....LHD is the last place the Hawks are looking for a prospect as they have both quality and quantity there. I still think the Murphy trade is Rosen, the Philly 2nd and Bryson for Murphy and a 3rd. Murphy is a perfect vet middle pair RHD on a decent contract (3 more yearsx4.4) to pair one of the young LHD the Sabres are blessed with. Rosen is a very good prospect (but probably not quite what his draft slot was at this point), but at some point he is a wing and Sabres only have 6 top 9 wing spot to fill and I don't necessarily see Rosen being the best (and certainly not only) option. Hawks are not moving Murphy for a 2nd (they have 4 already) and a redunant prospect at a position that is by far the deepest in their prospect pool.

I think the Leafs keep the pick TBH and let Muzzin support the Leafs until his contract is up

I might be in the minority, but I think the Isles would do that trade, especially if they can move Bailey in a separate trade. I think Olofsson could be a good fit on the other wing with Bo and Barzal.

They're not gunna move Jokiharju or UPL, that much has been made clear by the GM. I also wonder if the hawks dont just keep murphy. Even before the lottery but especially after. Some stability around the 18 year old isnt like the worst idea in the world.

I like Johnson a lot and, even with the depth CHI has at LHD, wouldn't mind taking a stab at him if he walks from BUF this summer, creating more competition to make the NHL roster. But, I wouldn't trade for him. There are more important positions CHI needs to address.

Olofsson with retention is worth more than a distant 2nd. I'm not a Jokiharju fanatic but dumping him for a 3rd and 5th is rash