gretzkyghosts

Membre depuis
19 avr 2018
Équipe préférée
Oilers d'Edmonton
Deuxième équipe préférée
Canadiens de Montréal
Anniversaire
1 jan 2001
Messages dans les forums
960
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1,24
Sujets de discussion
286
Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 16 heures
Sujet: Cirelli and Puljujarvi
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Xqb15</b></div><div>That’s a wishful thinking contract for Cirelli.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Claesson4Norris</b></div><div>I legitimately have no idea what that contract looks like. Maybe 6.5? I have no clue.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>csick</b></div><div>3 x 5.75?</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Claesson4Norris</b></div><div>I think 6×5.98 seems fair. That's the Bo Horvat contract adjusted for Cap inflation. Maybe Cirelli gets more than that? I think he's good enough that you want to go longer than 3 years.</div></div>

<a href="https://dobberhockey.com/2020/02/20/capped-prediction-model-for-free-agents/" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://dobberhockey.com/2020/02/20/capped-prediction-model-for-free-agents/</a>
Anthony Cirelli 22 F $5,752,071
Forum: Armchair-GMil y a 19 heures
Sujet: Not as bad as people think
I knew you would get nearly all negative comments.
Hutton, Rodrigues, Skinner and Vesey all had career worse years.
Only 8 NHL teams gave up fewer 5 on 5 goals than Buffalo.
Other than a couple of teams nearly all would trade their entire defense core for Buffalo's. Not many teams are 7 deep with NHL caliper defensemen. Oh BTW Miller at 27 is the oldest!
A six game losing streak after the TDL sank the team. Win 4 of the 6, and they finish the season with 78 pts and everyone is cheering.
Most likely at least 2 of Mittelstadt, Kahun, Thompson or Cozens will have a big impact on the Sabres.
With 39 pts in 114 games at age 21, Mittelstadt is hardly a bust. 21 yo have not reached their physical much less emotional maturity.
At 225 lb on a 6'6" frame Thompson is one of the largest NHL players. Remember big players take longer to develop.
I am worried that Kahun played for 3 teams in 2 years, but during that time he averaged about 0.5 pts/gm.
The team has plenty of cap space to go after a top winger. How much would Dadonov cost.

I know I am an eternal optimist but life is looking up.
BTW compare the defense Botterill inherited to this teams. You can even take out Dahlin and the difference is remarkable:
34 Casey Nelson D 11 Rochester Americans
67 Brady Austin D 5 Kladno
45 Brendan Guhle D 3 San Diego Gulls
46 Erik BurgdoerferD 2 Hershey Bears
77 Dmitri Kulikov D 47 Winnipeg Jets
4 Josh Gorges D 66 Out of hockey
38 Taylor Fedun D 27 Texas Stars
41 Justin Falk D 52 Belleville Senators
47 Zach Bogosian D 56 Tampa Bay Lightning
6 Cody Franson D 68 Omsk Avangard
29 Jake McCabe D 76 Buffalo Sabres
55 Rasmus RistolainenD 79 Buffalo Sabres

24 Lawrence Pilut D 13 Buffalo Sabres
58 John Gilmour D 4 Buffalo Sabres
4 Zach Bogosian D 19 Tampa Bay Lightning
6 Marco Scandella D 31 Dallas Stars
33 Colin Miller D 51 Buffalo Sabres
19 Jake McCabe D 66 Buffalo Sabres
10 Henri Jokiharju D 69 Buffalo Sabres
62 Brandon MontourD 54 Buffalo Sabres
55 Rasmus RistolainenD 69 Buffalo Sabres
26 Rasmus Dahlin D 59 Buffalo Sabres

While O'Reilly quit on the team, Rasmus and Jack said they want to start winning.
Forum: Armchair-GMSun at 3:27 pm
Sujet: More Eichel Trades
@ BuFfaLOFaN
@ Xqb15
@ Shibbal18
@ sabres89
@ Paul13
There really is not a value one can put on a center as valuable as Jack.
If one wanted to make a trade it should at least try to fill the needs of Buffalo.
Buffalo has 7 defensemen, 4 or 5 LW, 2 RW, 1 center (Jack) ½ of a GK.
Kakko, Kaapo a good back up to Reinhart
Trouba, Jacob not needed and would be Buffalo’s most expensive D-Man.
Strome, Ryan a center, but I do not think he is what Buffalo would want
2020 1st round pick (CAR) Good.
2021 1st round pick (NYR) Not bad make it this year’s pick.
The 2021 pick may not be NHL ready until 2024, so make it this year.
Take out Strome and Trouba add this year’s 3rd and Georgiev.
Then Buffalo get’s help on RW, GK, the future and cap.
Probably not enough but at least this fill the needs of Buffalo.
Forum: Armchair-GMSun at 11:27 am
Sujet: 20-21
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Riley816</b></div><div>Ouch. Is next year's draft any good???</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>chloewoj</b></div><div>yes thank god it is. this roster will result in another top 5 pick.</div></div>

Really?
#2 Center, GK and Special teams were the major down fall to this season.
Henrique, Greiss solve the first 2 and while I really like Larsson and Girgensons, they could not PK.
Only 8 teams gave up fewer 5 on 5 goals than the Sabres.
I would not say this is a play off team, but adding Kahun, Henrique and Cozens certainly would improve the offense and keep this team in the hunt.
I agree that Kühnhackl, Pánik, and Lazar may not be the answer to our bottom line and Johansson did not work out at #2C I do not see why he would work out as #3 C.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 10:05 pm
Sujet: Offseason
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Sabres923</b></div><div>He would be a great fit. But the Sabres are probably the worst run organization in all of sports. I don’t see them waving hopefully I’m wrong.</div></div>

You know the real problem is the team sucked after three years of Murray.
After trading away prospects and picks to fast track the rebuild, the team finished in LAST PLACE and won the lottery for Dahlin.
What does one do to a team that finished last over all, rebuild and trade away the valuable assets.
The rebuild started when Dahlin was drafted.
This is the third year, the playoffs are a must now.
But with a new GM there will be new direction and of course more confusion.

Look at this defense that Botterill inherited. Two NHL quality Defensemen the rest AHL caliper or out of the North American Hockey completely:34 Casey Nelson D 11 Rochester Americans
67 Brady Austin D 5 Kladno
45 Brendan Guhle D 3 San Diego Gulls
46 Erik BurgdoerferD 2 Hershey Bears
77 Dmitri Kulikov D 47 Winnipeg Jets
4 Josh Gorges D 66 Out of hockey
38 Taylor Fedun D 27 Texas Stars
41 Justin Falk D 52 Belleville Senators
47 Zach Bogosian D 56 Tampa Bay Lightning
6 Cody Franson D 68 Omsk Avangard
29 Jake McCabe D 76 Buffalo Sabres
55 Rasmus RistolainenD 79 Buffalo Sabres

Even taking out Dahlin, this defense has 6 NHL caliper defensemen.

24 Lawrence Pilut D 13 Buffalo Sabres
58 John Gilmour D 4 Buffalo Sabres
4 Zach Bogosian D 19 Tampa Bay Lightning
6 Marco Scandella D 31 Dallas Stars
33 Colin Miller D 51 Buffalo Sabres
19 Jake McCabe D 66 Buffalo Sabres
10 Henri Jokiharju D 69 Buffalo Sabres
62 Brandon MontourD 54 Buffalo Sabres
55 Rasmus RistolainenD 69 Buffalo Sabres
26 Rasmus Dahlin D 59 Buffalo Sabres

Botterill made a lot of mistakes this year.
I am not sure if kruger was the right choice.
He never properly addressed the #2 Center, nor RH forwards.
He totally buggered the Scandella and Frolik trades.
He may have traded for too many RHD.
Skinner, Vesey, Rodrigues and Hutton all had career worse seasons.

Just as the team seemed to come together Ullmark and Olofsson get hurt. Now part of that is not having the depth to make up for injuries.
i am an eternal optimist, we will see, but IMO the patience will bearing fruits.

Well there is my rant of the night.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 9:49 pm
Sujet: Not a sabres fan
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>arafay</b></div><div>Pilut is reportedly going back to Europe and if they don’t trade him I doubt he’s coming back as an RFA (to buffalo that is)</div></div>

IDK the details.
He has not signed yet.
He is Buffalo property forever as I understand the RFA rules.
Maybe he wants to get into condition.
I have not heard him say he is unhappy other than By Chad DeDominicis who no one in Buffalo holds in high esteem. <a href="https://www.diebytheblade.com/2020/5/27/21272177/buffalo-sabres-lawrence-pilut-is-reportedly-going-back-to-europe-ahl-nhl-khl" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://www.diebytheblade.com/2020/5/27/21272177/buffalo-sabres-lawrence-pilut-is-reportedly-going-back-to-europe-ahl-nhl-khl</a>
This appears to be the skinny <a href="https://www.foxsports.com/nhl/lawrence-pilut-player-news" rel="nofollow noreferrer noopener" target="_blank">https://www.foxsports.com/nhl/lawrence-pilut-player-news</a>
I guess, I am the eternal optimist, I hope he comes back. If not then your trade makes a lot of sense.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 9:41 pm
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 9:25 pm
Sujet: Not a sabres fan
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>arafay</b></div><div>Fair enough, I just think aho would be a good addition and his-sang has more potential than thompson.

I think it’s easier to make teams you don’t have previous biases (apparently that is a word lol) for. Almost everytime I make a team for WPG and make new trades there’s also ways some bias that comes up.</div></div>

Thanks for the comment.
I agree, sometimes a change of scenery is all that is needed.
That is why I compared:
Ho-Sang, Joshua [RFA Rights] to Pilut, Lawrence [RFA Rights] as they both have NHL experience and have produced about the same level
Aho, Sebastian [RFA Rights] potential to Thompson, Tage [RFA Rights]
Unlike many on this site, I am really high on Thompson for many reasons.
He has a great attitude.
He has a great AHL resume.
He impressed me in the Sabres Prospect Challenge last year.
He is really Huge (225 lb 6'6")
He is only 22 years old

IMO many Sabre fans are down on him as he was one of the pieces coming back from the O'Reilly trade.
He played poorly and appeared to be awkward and out of position.

Pilut appears to be ready to contribute in the NHL.
He has an excellent AHL resume.

I do not know if Ho-Sang has over come some of his demons.

These are the reasons, I would keep the devils I know.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 9:14 pm
Sujet: Eichel
<a href="/users/KakkoForMauriceRichardAward" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@KakkoForMauriceRichardAward</a>
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<a href="/users/firezfurx" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@firezfurx</a>
<a href="/users/DarkShadowZz" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@DarkShadowZz</a>
<a href="/users/Saskleaf" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Saskleaf</a>
<a href="/users/Elevatorboy" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Elevatorboy</a>
I agree this would be a GREAT trade for Buffalo.
It provides them picks for the future (four picks in this draft among the top 40)
It fills two holes at #2 center and RW.
It gives them a couple of decent prospects as well.

The only thing the Sabres would need now, would be a top Center.
This is something the team has been seeking since Pat LaFontaine left.
Let me remind everyone, Jack did not say he gave up, nor that he wanted a trade, only he was tired of losing.

The wheels fell off this season.
Hutton, Skinner and Vesey all had career worse seasons.
Injuries to Olofsson and Ullmark just when the team was coming together again.

This trade is certainly worth considering, especially if Cozens is close.

But wow, giving up Jack would really hurt, he is really good and if he could win face offs, he would be even better.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 2:01 pm
Sujet: Convinced the current roster isnt good enough
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MitchMarnerElite </b></div><div>Overpay for Montour. Danault is one of the best 2 way centers in the league whereas Montour is a pure offensive defenseman with very bad underlying numbers. If you were to do this trade it should be Montour +.</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>swinny</b></div><div>🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔. Well it seems you see the logic behind the move, so what do you suggest??</div></div>

<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LumberJacques</b></div><div>MTL need Danault a whole lot more than a RHD, plus Montour is a huge question mark at this point so I'm not sure how this makes sense for the Habs.

The others are closer.</div></div>

I am not sure where you are getting the evidence that Montour is a uni-dimensional defensemen, but he had the best +/- among all Buffalo Skaters and he had a better PDO than ANY Habs defenseman.
If he had as much PP time as Petry he would out score him as well.
Let me add, for the 20 games he was on the team last year, he was the Sabres BEST defenseman, with more pts and a better +/- than Dahlin or any of the other on the team.
I am a Sabre fan as you may know, and I fight this same battle with my fellow Sabre fans.
Botterill stole Montour for a first and a fringe NHL prospect.
I could not believe the Ducks traded him for so little.
Murray must of thought Guhle was something special because it was a huge underpayment.

Montour would definitely be MTL #2 RHD and BTW he has played the left side as the Sabres have 4 solid RHD.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 1:20 pm
Sujet: Top 10 prospects ranking- BUF
I am making a different list which includes players 23 or younger who are not in the NHL:
1. Dylan Cozens Seems to be a solid top 6 if not first line player
2. Casey Mittelstadt let's not give up on him, he is only 21 and has 39 pts in 114 NHL games. That does not sound like a bust to me, but he is still in the AHL.
3. Tage Thompson Similar to Casey. Only 22, has a great AHL resume, bulked up to 225 and only 4 NHL players are taller than he. Bigger players take longer to develop.
4. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen He may be actually be 1.a.
5. Ryan Johnson He appears to be a great skater. It appears the NHL has moved away from big bruising defensemen with all 5 skaters joining the offense now.
6. Arttu Ruostalainen I ranked him down here as he is a bit small, but he can really put up the points.
7. Mattias Samuelsson Sam Ryan, another puck moving defenseman.
8. Jacob Bryson pure guesses from here down. The Hockey writers said the Buffalo prospects may be all Mike Weber, that sort of made me feel really sad.
9. Marcus Davidsson
10. Linus Weissbach
11. Matej Pekar
12. Jonas Johansson
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 12:53 pm
Sujet: Win Now Mode
<a href="/users/firezfurx" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@firezfurx</a>
<a href="/users/Paul13" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Paul13</a>
Buffalo was 13 pts behind the Leafs this past year with a game in hand.
Hutton totally collapsed, easily lost 3 to 4 games.
Skinner and Vesey had career bad years, easily lost 3 to 4 games.
Dahlin will be a year older, smarter wiser could add 1 or 2 wins.
Kahun, Mittelstadt, Thompson and Cozens, at least one or maybe all four have an impact next year.
Give the GK Keys to Ullmark, get Skinner a better center, bring the kids along slowly, yup, I can see the team competing next year.
If Hutton, Vesey and Skinner did not disappear this year, they would have been in the preliminary round easily.

<a href="/users/dzmets" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@dzmets</a>
I am not a big fan of giving up that much for Cirelli, but if it put the team in the playoffs, sure.
I think you are a bit optimistic in the other trades, but why not who would have thought Skinner for a second, Jokiharju for Nylander, Miller for a late 2nd, and Montour for a first.
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 12:20 pm
Sujet: Keeping Eichel
I am not a fan of giving up 7th OA draft picks, but this a really good idea.
Tierney and Brown would be 2/3 of our second line. While Okposo played really well on the 4th line, @ $6,000,000 just a bit too much.
I am not a fan of trading Montour at all. You know he had the second best PDO of all skaters and best +/-?
This from a defenseman who is suppose to be uni dimensional.
But I guess you had to trade him and Johansson at bargain prices to make room for Hall.

There is one person who only give negative comments to everyone's post.
I cannot see why anyone would say this is a bad post. Adding Hall, Tierney and Brown would make this team very competitive. All we gave up was Montour, Johansson and the 7th OA, while adding 3 second round picks.

EDIT:
I made room for Hall a little differently by borrowing other people's trades:
<a href="https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1747820">https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/1747820</a>
Forum: Armchair-GMSat at 12:05 pm
Sujet: is this actually how much a team would have to give up for Eichel
<a href="/users/Saskleaf" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Saskleaf</a>
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<a href="/users/ItWasIn" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@ItWasIn</a>
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<a href="/users/Birtle34" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Birtle34</a>
<a href="/users/arafay" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@arafay</a>
I will be the first to say, as a talent exchange, Buffalo wins this transaction, by a wide margin
That being said, it is all the wrong pieces.
I do not watch the Jets, but are both Connor and Ehlers LH LW? How does that help when Buffalo already have Olofsson and Skinner?
Heinola is a decent LHD, but Buffalo is very deep on Defense and has several LHD prospects who may be nearly as good as Heinola.
I love the draft picks, but if Buffalo trades Jack that means they are looking to rebuild and a first from 2021 may not be ready until 2025!
So IMO the Sabres would want a top RW, a couple of really good prospect and a couple of picks.
So Laine, Vesalainen, another prospect, 2020 1st round pick (WPG) and 2020 2nd round pick (WPG).
Buffalo would have 4 picks among the top 40 in this year’s draft.
Unfortunately Buffalo would have TWO DONUT lines instead of one.
I think Buffalo would still say no, but at least it is the parts that Buffalo could use.

What I really hate about getting Laine, is that if we had not jumped started the rebuild, Buffalo would have a good shot at Dubois, Laine or even Matthews and Jack.
But maybe Murray would have drafted Nylander anyway in the 2nd or 3rd OA.
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 7:37 pm
Sujet: small trades Or building for the future Or trying to keep Jack
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood</b></div><div>This may be a team that could win, but I still don't see a team here that would beat the top teams in the East. Look at Tampa and Toronto for example, those teams can roll 3 scoring lines and have all stars all over the lineup. You have good players sure but Hall and Pietrangelo are getting older and you still have not a lot after your top line and top defence pair. This is exactly what has put them in this mess. Add a some FA's and hope our young guys get 80% over the summer. I think Buffalo needs to rethink how this organization is using its resources. You need to draft better, you need to develop better and then you need to get rid of anyone over the age of 25 for guys that could fit the culture and style you want to play. Then take a year or two to keep building up the talent and skill you have and hope it leads to some good depth that can be built around. Jumping the gun has only harmed you.</div></div>

I completely agree with your concept of building a team.
Start by building a competent team in Rochester.
Draft well.
Give the prospects time to develop.
Change the culture in the big club and bring in the prospects.

I wanted to build a team that could break the non play off streak.
At the same time, I give cozens time to develop,
Further more, I have 4 picks among the top 40 and an awesome top line.
So this approach fills all of my steps to winning.

Finally, you are correct, the Leafs can roll 3 lines, but Boston has only one.
Regardless, thanks for taking the time to explain your approach.
Forum: Armchair-GMFri at 5:40 pm
Sujet: small trades Or building for the future Or trying to keep Jack
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>PleaseBanMeForMyOwnGood</b></div><div>The problem with Buffalo is every 2 or 3 years it seems, this franchise thinks the are ready to contend and jump the gun by making some bold trade or signing some overpriced plug. They also just don't have the resources to develop prospects like richer teams seem to do.</div></div>

Thanks for your comment.
I guess most think the trades are unreasonable, so this is more of a dream than practical.
I agree that one cannot build a team with free agents alone.
I swapped out Sam for Taylor, Rasmus for Alex, added 2nd line center with Chris, added depth with Nick and Micheal while having 4 picks among the top 40.
I liked the addition of Okposo, but he does not have the talent of Taylor or Alex.
TBH, if this team could not make the play offs and go far, I would have to give up on the Sabres.