Rejoint: août 2020
Messages: 5,689
Mentions "j'aime": 3,553
Under no circumstances can you give him a 3, 4, maybe even 5 year deal. You either give him 6+ or 1-2.
The problem with 2 is it gives him arbitration and offer sheet rights, and he can pretty much force his way into a 1 year arbitration deal bringing him right to UFA.
A 1 year deal has some of the same concerns with offer sheets, but it would be harder to take himself straight to UFA this way. I think this one is pretty likely 1x5-6.5 or similar.
6-8 would be the best for fans and the team, because it eats up his prime years, and he can go to UFA and get another fairly large deal to retire on. The downside with 6-8 is you have to pay him A LOT to eat up those years. His agent is probably going to be using Panarin as a comparable player, so in order to get him to accept, you'd probably have to offer 9, maybe more. That's obviously a risk with whether he actually continues to be worth that much.
So choose your risk, do you want to go short term knowing he could become a UFA or get offer sheeted and you might be paying 10-11+ to keep him, or do you try to get ahead of it and give him a Draisaitl type deal, where you pay him more than he may be worth, but you're betting on him getting better.
Remember Panarin was in a very similar situation. He had a 2 year ELC, he got a 2 year extension, and then signed a massive deal as a UFA. So just because he doesn't have much leverage right now, doesn't mean the Wild are going to get a team friendly deal.