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Reason for caution

Créé par: HatterTParty
Équipe: 2023-24 Blackhawks de Chicago
Date de création initiale: 4 juin 2023
Publié: 6 juin 2023
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
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Exempté du ballottageMcDavid, Connor
12 500 000 $ (Bonis de performance250 000 $)
C
NMC
UFA - 5
Description
Things are looking up for the hawks and with bedard, they get one of the biggest pieces of any rebuild: a franchise player.

That being said, and please feel free to correct me where you feel you know better, I have reason for caution. Simply put, having watched another year of prospects and their performances, I’m still not impressed. On a positive note, Ethan de maestro is a crazy awesome revelation who has been sensational this year. I really hope to see him on the hawks in about 2-3 years. Other deep picks in the draft, like ludwinski, savoie, Greene, and even Hayes have seen varying degrees of progress as well. On a negative note the following do have me concerned:

Kevin Korchinski (LD): If there’s one thing you can trust of the Chicago sports media, it’s to sensationalize young draft picks. The same happened with Dach, and that failed miserably. Korchinski, straight up, is a one way dman. All offensive, all the time. This guy knows zero about defense and it’s showed a lot this season. The regular season really showed how good Seattle was in the WHL and how korchinski’s stats benefited from fantastic teammates. The WHL playoffs and me memorial cup, however, showed alot of defensive deficiencies. I hope and pray he finds a way to pull his two way game together, but as of now, he game has sooooo many holes in it. He’s lazy on defense, very in aggressive on offense, and shows questionable decision making. I’m genuinely a little worried about this guy.

Frank Nazar (C): this comes with the caveat of injury destroying his season. Nazar has everything you want in a potential modern NHLer. Awesome motor, good skating, and fearless play on both ends. His size and ceiling have me a little concerned though. Nazar isn’t a top line center in the making. 2B-3A seems more realistic, but crazier has happened before. Definitely need to see more for an accurate picture.

Sam Rinzel (RD): I still don’t know who was a bigger reach, rinzel or Allan back in 2021? Rinzel is a definite project player, which always rubs me the wrong way cuz it looks like they just wasted a pick. I’ll admit I wanted them to take Brad Lambert, but that’s water under the bridge. Rinzel is big, shifty, and has great reach, especially for his age. This season didn’t give much of a picture since he was still in the USHL, while the NCAA next season will be the big sell. He dominated the USHL at times, but in the middle of this, his lack of hockey IQ showed itself. Many times, rinzel made moves that you would never get away with in the NHL or NCAA. He has to keep filling out as well, which is its own challenge. Easily won’t be an NHLer for at least 4-5 more years. A true project indeed.

Nolan Allan (LD): I alluded to him above, so I’m gonna keep this short. Allan is a victim of faith, or rather the hawks faith. They selected him 32nd overall in 2021 when he projected to fall as low as the 3rd round. In other words, they REACHED. In all fairness to Allan, he is a good shutdown dman, which is as far as he will most likely get. He adds nearly zero offense to any team and lacks any real upside moving forward. This is in sharp contrast to del Maestro, who has shown fantastic progress in his offensive game despite being branded a “defensive defenseman.” I don’t know where Allan fits in the hawks, as I’d take many other LDs over him.

Colton Dach (C, LW???): well, I always knew I’d have to bring up this guy. How do you pull off a disappearing act??? ………….nobody? Call in the shadow of Kirby, his baby bro Colton. At this point, I don’t know if the Dach family just wants to antagonize me, but this family is frustrating. Colton has size, he has a shot, he has family pedigree (kinda). Yet, this guy is either in the thick of things, or just a straight up ghost. It’s very frustrating to see guys like Colton with size (like his brother) who don’t use their size efficiently or aggressively. Many will say that’s not his style, but when Colton is no where near good enough to even have top six or even middle six potential, you gotta find you niche. I hope the AHL grows him up a bit, but I am worried he won’t be more than he is already. Like korchinski, stats were inflated by a crazy good team.

Let me know how you all feel about the hawks’ prospect pool and some of the bigger prospects themselves. I have hope, but this team hasn’t grown good prospects in a long time and haven’t earned any rope.
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RFAANSCAP HIT
2800 000 $
2800 000 $
21 800 000 $
22 250 000 $
31 500 000 $
21 000 000 $
1900 000 $
CRÉÉANSCAP HIT
Bedard, Connor
3950 000 $
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TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
2283 500 000 $52 496 790 $0 $1 355 000 $31 003 210 $
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925 000 $925 000 $ (Bonis de performance505 000 $$505K)
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5 000 000 $5 000 000 $
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1 800 000 $1 800 000 $
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UFA - 1
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9 500 000 $9 500 000 $
DD
NMC
UFA - 7
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3 800 000 $3 800 000 $
G
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UFA - 1
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916 667 $916 667 $ (Bonis de performance850 000 $$850K)
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4 400 000 $4 400 000 $
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UFA - 1
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1 500 000 $1 500 000 $
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4 500 000 $4 500 000 $
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Commentaires populaires

6 juin 2023 à 15 h 36
#1
exo2769
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I don't have a ton to add. I think this is a pretty good and objective summary. I'm 100% sending Korchinski back to Seattle. 100% agreed that we need to correct the past failures and allow these kids to develop into 2-way players at the appropriate levels before bringing them to the AHL. On that note, that's why I'm ok with Rinzel's progress. I hope it continues, but gotta see it. Can't assume it. Also 100% agreed on Nazar. He'll go back at least 1 more year. I'm not as down on Allan as it sounds above. No illusions on my end that he'll be a Norris candidate. He could be a defensive Dman though. There are places in the NHL for that role for sure. It'll take time.
HatterTParty et Garak a aimé ceci.
6 juin 2023 à 15 h 48
#2
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I think a lot of prospects showed great progress this year. I'm very confident Korchinski will play another year of junior this year, if he has a spectacular camp I could see him getting Preseason + 9 games. But I think they will send him back to work on his game, defense and positioning as you mentioned. Nazar looked great in the few games he played, I still think he has a NHL future, but he'll play in NCAA again. Not sure what your deal is with Allen, he was just named to the all star team or whatever of the memorial cup. He's looked great in junior and I think he's ready for the AHL. I think in 2 seasons we'll see him in the NHL. Shut down defensemen are undervalued by fans but certainly still very important. His offensive game isn't as poor as you make it sound. Everyone else is still a prospect. Some will surprise you next year, some will have off years. Some will pan out, some wont. That's why we call them prospects. But the hawks have a great prospect pool, and will this year draft if will get even deeper.
HatterTParty a aimé ceci.
6 juin 2023 à 15 h 53
#3
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I don't think Korchinski is *that* bad defensively, he's done about as well as I expected, I don't think he was a horrible pick but he wasn't spectacular.
Same with Nazar, I don't think he was ever drafted to be a 1C, guys with that ceiling rarely fall past the top 10 (...Oliver Moore...) maybe you'd want a bit more, and obv the injury sucks, but I wouldn't be too worried about him yet
Rinzel, Allan, and Dach... yeah... I don't hate Rinzel, but Allan and Dach... when their biggest selling point is beeg/physicality, that's generally not a good sign for a high end prospect
Looking at a lot of their past drafts that seems like smth they go for a lot instead of guys with good skating or shooting or high IQ or w/e. Slaggert wasn't bad where he was taken, but Tohila, Harding, and Crevier... why... also trading for Hunter Drew is funny
HatterTParty a aimé ceci.
6 juin 2023 à 16 h 30
#4
Future Ducks legend
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I think CapFriendly needs more posts like yours. I tip my hat to you sir.
HatterTParty a aimé ceci.
6 juin 2023 à 17 h 32
#5
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I have also been watching A TON of junior and college level games this year. I agree with some of the things you said, but I look at it from a completely different angle. They are still kids, and for where they are in their development, things are looking great.

Korchinski: He doesn't concern me much. The only thing that does concern me is all this talk of rushing him into the NHL next season. He absolutely needs to go back to junior. Not only is there no reason to rush him, but he needs to hone his defensive game and mature more. If he needs a defensively geared partner in the NHL, so be it. That's usually just how it goes in the NHL anyway. But, he definitely has the offensive skill to be in the NHL right now.

Nazar: I have some concerns about him, but they can all be explained away. He needs that full season under his belt next year, for sure. I need to see way more. He was also sheltered quite a bit after he came back from injury. Which I believe was completely intentional and necessary. Smart move by both him and coach Naurato.

Rinzel: Admittedly, he was not on my radar at all last year and was definitely a reach. But, I am not concerned about Rinzel at all. He is certainly a project, but he has natural gifts that are hard to come by and I'm not just talking about his size. He is positionally sound, a great skater, and an offensive flair without sacrificing much in his own end. If there is one thing I trust Minnesota to do, it is to develop and produce quality defensemen. Also, his brother is a body builder and a strength and conditioning coach for U. of Idaho. So, not only will he have his own college helping him with building muscle, but his brother as well.

Colton Dach: I think he has serious 3rd line potential with legit top 6 upside, if everything goes right. My only real concern is with him staying healthy. He went through like 4 or 5 fairly serious injuries this past year. But, if he can bulk up and learn to protect himself better, the sky is the limit. When he was used in a shut down role in Kelowna, he might have been the best in the WHL in that role. I don't think he was invisible at all, either. But maybe we watched different games.
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