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gretzkyghosts

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Forum: Armchair-GM10 mai à 10 h 47
Sujet: Lottery Day Win
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Campabee</b></div><div>I like Barrie he is a good 2RD ...
Buffalo could have interest but probably need to downgrade the pick to a 3rd...</div></div> IDK why everyone ignores Barrie's offensive prowess.
He is an elite offensive RHD, it is interesting that now many MTL ACGM's are also dissing him, most Sabre ACGM's do the same.
Pair him with Romanov and IMO it would work well for the Canadians.
As a Sabre fan I would put Tyson on the third line with Samuelsson to give Buffalo an offensive D-man on every paring.
Buffalo would be crazy to not give up even this year's third (73rd OA) for Savard. He would be perfect mate for either Power or Dahlin.
He has playoff experience, his cap would help Buffalo reach the floor.
TBH, looking at how much Hughes was able to extract at the TDL this past year, there may be a GM willing to give up more than second for him.
Only Romanov had more hits/60 and total blocked shots and David had the lowest OZS% of all MTL defensemen who played more than 30 games.
Forum: Armchair-GM8 mai à 10 h 26
Sujet: Duncan Keith Retires After One Last Cup Win
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CementHead27</b></div><div>Why wouldn’t you want him as a 2nd RHD?</div></div> Most Sabre fans do not see a spot for him in the line up, but for an early third, I would take the chance.<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>thewookie1</b></div><div>Buffalo does not want Barrie</div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Greysuits</b></div><div>...They need stay at home defensemen to Balance out the group.</div></div>Let's agree to disagree.
If Buffalo only needed to give up the 73rd OA pick, I think they would find a spot for him either as an overpaid 3rd RHD or but highly talented 7th defenseman.
Dahlin-Jokiharju
Power-Pysyk
Samuelsson-Barrie
Each pairing would have an offensive defenseman.
Forum: Armchair-GM7 mai à 17 h 1
Sujet: If another 1st round exit
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div>You're right, Leafs have a good team. And they are playing well and very well might be the Tampa, and others East teams to make it to the Cup final. This just might be their best Cup shot, and of next year the Leafs (and some other teams) won't be able to field such a good team (on paper) due to cap limitations. I just don't think the 22/23 team posted is practical at all....some of the trades and some of the signings, never mind a 21 man roster that isn't cap compliant.</div></div> Great, I completely agree with your entire post.
Hopefully Karmanos will be able to squeeze other NHL GM's and collect more draft picks.
It is too bad they had to settle for Boychuk and Butcher and missed out on the Ladd and Gostisbehere trades.
Getting 3 second round picks I guess would have been too much to ask, Armstrong did it, great moves.
Forum: Armchair-GM7 mai à 10 h 25
Sujet: If another 1st round exit
<a href="/users/RangerWall92" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@RangerWall92</a>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div>Well it doesn't matter if it's a first round exit are a Cup win, the Leafs (and other teams) face the same cap problems...</div></div> Am I missing something here.
Vasilevskiy is certainly looking more mortal this year and Campbell is playing very well.
The Leafs totally outplayed the Bolts in game one, shall I say <strong>CRUSHED THE BOLTS</strong>.
Too many penalties and poor PK (and a goal in the last two seconds of the first period) sank the Leafs in game two but over all the play was close.
Game three could have ended in a loss but the Leafs came out flying and hung tough to win.
My son told me about 2/3 of the teams that win game 3 go on to win the series.
I am not the normal Sabre fan and secretly root for the Leafs to do well (except when they play the Sabres of course).
Why are all so many Leaf fans so pessimistic, this may be the best Leaf team to make the playoffs.
My eyes may not be as sharp as life long Leaf fans, IMO the Leafs are playing well against a very good team.

BTW, I would make that trade in a heart beat even if the pick is 32nd OA instead of 22nd as this post is presuming.
Forum: Armchair-GM7 mai à 10 h 1
Sujet: Another Trade Down Idea
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Sabresguy1987</b></div><div>This honestly scares me because of who may be available at 9 or 16.... id say drop 16 and 37 from new jersey, and add buffs 38 this year and best of 3 second round picks next year. Probs not enough tho</div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Diaspora</b></div><div>Adding 37OA in makes it much more palatable for Buffalo...</div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Czu8iks</b></div><div>I would do it, if Wright is the real deal as advertised. Sabres need to added top talent over depth. It's getting crowded with NHL ready prospect on ELC.</div></div> This make no sense for Buffalo.
Buffalo will win the over all draft lottery, Vegas will also win and their pick will be 11th OA (any lower and the pick shifts to 2023) and Washington will knock out Florida and their pick will fall to 25th OA.
The stars are all aligned and this coming draft, Buffalo will have the 1st, 11th and 25th OA.

Then I wished upon a star and:
Thompson, Skinner, Olofsson and Quinn all score 40 goals.
Dahlin and Power run first and second in Norris voting.
Tuch wins the Hart
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen wins the Vezina
Thompson wins the Ted Lindsey
Quinn gets more votes than Power and wins the Calder
Asplund noses out Girgensons and wins the Selke
Okposo wins the Mark Messier
Granato wins the Jack Adams
Forum: Armchair-GM7 mai à 9 h 37
Sujet: Carey Price LTIR Rebuild
<a href="/users/Super_Randy" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Super_Randy</a>
Yes Petry is certainly worth a first round pick and maybe more, just not to Buffalo.
Over his last 28 games he had 5 goals, 21 points and was plus 2, while the Canadians gave up 135 goals and only scored 119.
Let's agree he turned his season around and put aside his family issues.
A team that is closer to a run at the cup, or even the playoffs with sufficient cap space may give up a first, but I doubt Karmanos would do that.
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Tjm220</b></div><div>...If Montreal is retaining half of it then we have a different conversation... <strong>I agree!</strong></div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUFF36</b></div><div>Maybe, but it isn't coming from Buffalo <strong>I agree!</strong></div></div>
Forum: Armchair-GM6 mai à 11 h 33
Sujet: try this for comments
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>palhal</b></div><div>Buffalo doesn't want your cap dumps...</div></div> IMO most Sabre ACGM's would hate the deal.
When Mike Bales was Murray's GK coach Matt had his best years, maybe his fortunes could be turned around.
While Zaitsev is not a top 2 RHD he does hit and block shots and could be Buffalo's 2nd RHD but certainly 3rd.
Dahlin-Jokiharju
Power-Zaitsev
Samuelsson-?? maybe Pysyk or even Miller
I would make this trade as Murray is an upgrade over Tokarski/Anderson while he would be a good back up to Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen.
Zaitsev is over paid but Buffalo has cap space to spare.
I would never presume this trade would make the Sabres a playoff team but, it is an improvement over 2021-'22.
That second round pick would be 39th OA, giving Buffalo 5 picks among the top 41 in the upcoming draft.
Let's agree to disagree, I think both would fit into the line up and a decent pick is added.
Forum: Armchair-GM6 mai à 11 h 20
Sujet: New top line and weird Canes trade
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>sabres89</b></div><div>Not sure if lindblom is worth it. He makes 3 million...</div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Tjm220</b></div><div>He’s at least no worse than Bjork...</div></div> Let's agree Bjork was the Sabres' 13th forward.
They are both 25 yo, drafted the same year 138th v 146th OA.
They are both RFA's at the end of 2023.
Bjork scored 0.4 goals/60 with an AVV of $1,600,000 Lindblom scored 0.7 goals/60 with an AVV of $3,000,000.
Bjork PK for 0:35 min/gm, Lindblom for 0:48 min/gm
Bjork hits 0.9/60, Lindblom 4.6/60 (that would rank third among the Sabre forwards last year, behind Hayden 10.5 and Girgensons 5.9 per 60)
IMO with nearly $40,000,000 of cap space, I would rather have Lindblom as my 13th forward than Bjork as Oskar had more goals than Anders had points.
Forum: Armchair-GM6 mai à 10 h 38
Sujet: Highest possible money scenario
I enjoy reading your posts because I rarely disagree, I think we will diverge in the evaluation of the Monahan trade.
<a href="/users/Ledge_And_Dairy" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Ledge_And_Dairy</a>
<a href="/users/csick" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@csick</a>
What do you consider "along with a small compensation"?
Using Andrew Ladd as an example, Arizona received 2021 2nd #60 and 2022 2nd #45 for taking on $4,000,000 actual salary and $5,500,000 cap hit.
Girgensons scored more goals, 10 in 56 v Sean's 8 in 65 and his AVV is $2,200,000 v $6,375,000 ($6,000,000 actual salary) it would appear two seconds would be the appropriate sweetener.
The Flames have $48,562,500 committed to 10 skater and 2 GK leaving another 8 to 11 players to sign including Tkachuk, Gaudreau and Mangiapane which you have included in your line up.
I would think nearly all NHL GM's will know how close the flames are to the ceiling will expect at least the compensation I suggested above.
BTW Ladd had 7 goals in 51 games last year only one less than Sean in 14 fewer games.
Taken in a vacuum, one may excuse this as an off season for Sean but he only had 10 goals in 50 games last year.
If the compensation was this years and next second round picks, I would think the Sabres would be inclined to make that deal.
Anything less would be a no.
Forum: Armchair-GM5 mai à 17 h 9
Sujet: 100 point season
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>M0LSON</b></div><div>if ottawa Intends on moving contracts out i cant see why not throw in a sweetner like a 2nd rd? ottawa needs are a RD 2nd pairing and 2ndline winger</div></div> IMO most Sabre ACGM's would hate the deal.
When Mike Bales was Murray's GK coach Matt had his best years, maybe his fortunes could be turned around.
While Zaitsev is not a top 2 RHD he does hit and block shots and could be Buffalo best RHD maybe better than Jokiharju or at least close.
Dorian may have mucked up the Turris for Duchene trade (that may have been Sakic's Lindros trade) his other deals have certainly been very good.
Jason Karmanos has done very well since he was appointed Associate GM.
It would certainly be a battle of wills, Dorian dumping cap and Karmanos trying to extract another ounce of flesh.
Forum: Armchair-GM5 mai à 12 h 23
Sujet: After they lose In the 1st round
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>csick</b></div><div>Buffalo rejects because Samuelsson is the goat</div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>csick</b></div><div>I think something like 6th-8th overall + B prospect would be the correct value</div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>csick</b></div><div>I knew it. Lmaoo <strong>Yup rejects everything!</strong></div></div>I wish I knew half as much about the value of players as you do.
To think Murray passed on Sergachev to take Alex Nylander at a time when Buffalo needed defenseman.
But even worse, Jakob Chychrun was a friend of the Pegula's and Tim passed on picking him as well.
While I never heard anything, I think Terry fired Tim because of the bone head pick and passing on Jakob.

EDIT: I should add, I would pass on the trade as well.
Olofsson may get 35 goals next year and Samuelsson is really solid defensively.
While Little just loves Asplund, he is just a dime a dozen 4th line energy winger.

<a href="/users/Matthewslover" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Matthewslover</a>
Just a little premature in your prediction, the second game was just a little better effort from Tampa.
Forum: Armchair-GM5 mai à 12 h 14
Sujet: Adjustment without just taking on futures
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUFF36</b></div><div>Yeah I wouldn't trade Olofsson in that package, probably want them to play together. I really just wanted to see people's reaction. If the Sabres were ready I would try and get Scheifele. It would need to be a package that made us better, to me Tuch Tage Dahlin Cozens Power and Samuelsson are probably of the table.</div></div> I probably should have included Samuelsson in my list of "approach untouchable" his defense is really solid.
I am really high on Cozens and maybe there were health issues affecting his play (similar to Olofsson scoring drought), but over the last 28 games he only had 1 goal and 11 assists.
At this point I would leave him off of the "approach untouchable" list.
I should add Mittelstadt was not much better with 5 goals and 11 assist over that same period.
If, If, If, Samuelsson, Cozens, Mittelstadt, Krebs, and Jokiharju could all have break out seasons, Quinn and Peterka can make the jump to the NHL, Buffalo can find a RHD and average NHL GK, they may make it to the playoffs next season.
TBH, I was really excited about next season until I started watching "playoff" hockey.
Forum: Armchair-GM5 mai à 11 h 48
Sujet: Adjustment without just taking on futures
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>wojme</b></div><div>Being one of the main pieces of the Eichel trade, it would look bad on the organization from an asset management perspective to trade him.</div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BUFF36</b></div><div>Would think it would depend on the piece coming back. Not bad asset management when you use it to get better.</div></div> Two year ago we would have thought Eichel was untouchable.
When I saw Tuch and a couple of picks were part of the return, I was very satisfied, Krebs was the whipped cream and the cherry on the top.
IMO Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin and Power approach untouchable but obviously it would need to be a crazy deal which would not happen.
I really like the way the team is shaping up and would only trade Samuelsson, Cozens, Mittelstadt, Krebs, Olofsson or Jokiharju if the deal knocked my socks off as I do not think we have seen their ceiling.
Skinner, Girgensons, Asplund and Okposo probably will not be traded because the return will not equal to the intangibles that they bring to the ice.
Watching the Leafs and Bolts go at it the last couple of games makes it very obvious the Sabres are not close the their talent level.
<a href="/users/Mr_Nick_Ber" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@Mr_Nick_Ber</a>
I seriously doubt we will see the Sabres make any big moves this off season.
Adding Scheifele will not make the Sabres a playoff team at the expense of trading away 40 to 50 goals to add him.
From March 2nd to the end of the season Olofsson was on fire.
Over those 28 games he had 13 goals, 25 pts and was +6 (38 goals, 73 pts prorated over 82 games).
Not having a healthy Olofsson would seriously damage Buffalo's offense.
Forum: Armchair-GM4 mai à 10 h 41
Forum: Armchair-GM4 mai à 10 h 26
Sujet: Simple Offseason
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>vr1995</b></div><div>a 1st isnt nothing, its more than hes worth</div></div> I really like Asplund, but he is hardly worth a first.
If the Leafs made it the final four the trade would only move the Sabres up 13 to 10 spots (presuming the Sabres won the cup) about the value of the 44th OA.
What do you think is the future of Der-Arguchintsev?
He was drafted in 2018 and has not has proven to be a solid AHL forward.
While Asplund offers many intangibles, IMO the Sabres would be crazy to reject the trade as written, having four picks in the first round would make it a very interesting first draft day.
IDK why the Leafs would make the trade, I just do not see a spot for him in their line up.

<a href="/users/palhal" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">@palhal</a>
"You're right 10 spots in 30s in kinda of nothing, just to take on Mrzarek's 3.8m contract, and especially if a young NHLer Asplund is included.
And regarding the Marlies SAM....unless teams think he going to be an NHLer, he value in an NHL trade means absolutely nothing."
So TML 2022 first and Mrazek for Asplund?
I am good with that trade.
Buffalo gets, 5 picks among the top 41 and a GK who may bounce back.
The Leafs found UFA Kampf last year, I would presume the Sabres could find someone to fill Rasmus' skates.
Forum: Armchair-GM2 mai à 10 h 1
Sujet: Shakeup
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Czu8iks</b></div><div>I don't see Varlamov as goalie situation resolution for Sabres, so Buffalo pass. <strong>Certainly not long term!</strong></div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Sabresforlife</b></div><div>I agree with this <strong>Maybe!</strong> ... The NY press has some articles where they are basically saying he shouldn't be a starter and is too expensive to be a backup. <strong>This is of course a huge concern.</strong></div></div> I would make this trade:
First, it is for only one year,
Second, Semyon's SV 0.911 is significantly better than Anderson/Tokarski duo last year 0.898.
Let's presume a team gives up 30 shots per game over 82 games Semyon would give up 219 goals while our best tandem last year would give up 251 goals, 32 fewer goals.
Third, Semyon would be an insurance policy in case Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen is not ready for full time NHL action.
Fourth, his salary would help the Sabres to reach the cap floor, while upgrading at the weakest position.
Fifth, if Semyon plays as well next year as he has this year, there will be many teams offering a second round pick for him.

IMO this is a no brainer, Buffalo upgrades their GK while allowing Luukkonen to develop, helps to reach the cap, would get the second back at the end of the year.
Forum: Armchair-GM2 mai à 8 h 42
Sujet: habs
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>TampaBayLightning22</b></div><div>It's a free site, Just saying that the Petry trade is bad for Buffalo. And Letang is seeking far more money than what you're offering.</div></div> <div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>dannibalcorpse</b></div><div>If Buffalo needs veterans so bad, they could easily just sign one in free agency and keep Peterka. Chris Wideman, Justin Schultz, Anton Stralman, PK Subban, Justin Braun, or even their own UFA Colin Miller are all guys that will be readily available this summer for just the cost of a contract and have produced at or very close to Petry's numbers this season.</div></div> You both offer the most insightful comments on Cap Friendly.
I wish I knew as much about the value of players as you two do.
I barely know how to comment about Sabre deals, you both offer knowledgeable information on many trades.
Thank you both for your comments.
Forum: Armchair-GM1 mai à 16 h 2
Sujet: Jokiharju
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>exo2769</b></div><div>I'm with you! I think this is a lose lose trade. Joki is a fine Dman. He won't play over either Jones or Murphy so he's defaulted to bottom pair and the Hawks should develop their own Dmen.

It's also not good asset management for BUF either. You're spot on about a current NHL dman vs potential NHL dman. And about Kubalik too. He might very well end up being a UFA this summer. I'm not sure the Hawks qualify him. The 2nd is a late 2nd and TJ at $2.5M can have a healthy debate. He did just get the Eichel surgey...so I'd find it extremely unlikely BUF as an organization wouldn't allow it for Eichel but all of a sudden got real cool with it for TJ.</div></div> I think it is unfortunate when a proposed trade is dissed by both parties.
Thank you very much for your insightful comments.
I completely agree that the Jokiharju bus left a long time ago and while he plays top four minutes for Buffalo he would be a third pairing for the Hawks.

To be completely honest with you, adding Caleb, Seth and Jake to any defense is a huge upgrade.
Throw Fleury into the line up and one would think they would have a very stingy defense, instead rank nearly the worse.
I fully expected the Hawks to greatly improve and not digress.
I guess Toews, Kubalik, Dach and Johnson did not produce as well as expected.
I certainly feel your pain and hope the Hawks can rebound.
IMO they did really well to get two firsts for Hagel and a conditional second for Fleury.
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