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Smart Buch TDL Move

Créé par: tstrauss16
Équipe: 2023-24 Blues de St-Louis
Date de création initiale: 17 févr. 2024
Publié: 17 févr. 2024
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
If we want to cash in on Buchnevich at this TDL, this is what I would be looking for in return. I think a solid RD prospect, a 1st round pick, and a current roster player to balance out cap.

I made 2 scenarios to acquire Buchnevich, one being Kotkaniemi and the other being Teravainen. In both cases, the Blues are acquiring the RD and 1st round pick. I like the Kotkaniemi option more for the sake of acquiring a middle 6 center for the future. I think Thomas, Dvorksy, Kotkaniemi would be a pretty solid center core for years to come. The Blues can then move Schenn over to the wing position.

Snuggerud will join the team at the end of the regular season. I don’t think Minnesota is making it out of the regional if they match up against BC or BU (I think Minnesota is finishing 7-10). Snuggerud will make his Blues debut on 4/10 at home against Chicago. He’d slot into the 2nd line RW spot with Captain Schenn. Move everyone down one spot at RW and scratch Blais.

Lines with Teravainen
Neighbours - Thomas - Kyrou
Teravainen - Schenn - Kapanen*
Saad - Hayes - Sundqvist*
Walker - Alexandrov* - Toropchenko
Leddy - Parayko
Krug - Kessel
Perunovich - Faulk
Binnington - Hofer
Scratched: Scandella, Blais, Tucker

* Denotes when Snuggerud enters the line up as 2RW
- Kapanen becomes 3RW
- Sundqvist becomes 4C
- Alexandrov is sent to the AHL
Signatures de joueurs autonomes
LISTE DE RÉSERVEANSCAP HIT
3950 000 $
Transactions
1.
STL
  1. Kotkaniemi, Jesperi
  2. Morrow, Scott [Liste de réserve]
  3. Choix de 1e ronde en 2024 (CAR)
Détails additionnels:
Kotkaniemi is currently playing on the 4th line. Buchnevich immediately adds a Top 6 offensive threat to Carolina. I get Morrow may be a high valued prospect from Carolina’s perspective but Carolina is acquiring a high-end winger for 2 cup runs. Draft pick should be anywhere ranging from 20-32.
CAR
  1. Alexandrov, Nikita
  2. Buchnevich, Pavel
Détails additionnels:
Alexandrov is sent to fulfill the 4th line center position as a cheap option. They can also acquire a different 4C from another team but figured I’d throw him in from a positional need perspective.
2.
STL
  1. Teräväinen, Teuvo
Détails additionnels:
Morrow
1st Round Pick
CAR
    Buchnevich
    Enfoui
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    2024
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    TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
    2283 500 000 $81 931 012 $20 000 $0 $1 568 988 $
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    Défenseur gaucherDéfenseur droitierGardien de but
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    DD
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    Laissés de côtéListe des blessés (IR)Liste des blessés à long terme (LTIR)
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    DG
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    AG, AD
    M-NTC
    UFA - 1
    Logo de Blues de St-Louis
    800 000 $800 000 $
    DG/DD
    RFA - 2

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    17 févr. à 13 h 28
    #1
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    If Buchnevich was going to be young enough to re-sign when this deal was up, they may consider it. Then there goes 2 of their best pieces to get a replacement center as well though.

    All things being what they are, the canes decline the first one. We are likely looking to add to the roster, so i can see them moving turbo
    17 févr. à 13 h 29
    #2
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    Quoting: ecupirate07
    If Buchnevich was going to be young enough to re-sign when this deal was up, they may consider it. Then there goes 2 of their best pieces to get a replacement center as well though.

    All things being what they are, the canes decline


    He’d still be 30. But gauging what Lindholm got for Calgary, this is what I’d expect the Blues to get back for Buchnevich with same age and extra year on his contract.
    17 févr. à 13 h 36
    #3
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    Quoting: tstrauss16
    He’d still be 30. But gauging what Lindholm got for Calgary, this is what I’d expect the Blues to get back for Buchnevich with same age and extra year on his contract.


    Im not saying the blues are wrong for asking it. The price is just outside of the canes MO. Buchnevich will command big money on his next deal. Canes will be unwilling to pay it because the whole deal will be in his 30s and into 35+ years of age. I don’t see them moving their 2nd best prospect who is likely on the roster next season for a guy who they will only have for 1.25 seasons.
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    17 févr. à 13 h 40
    #4
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    Quoting: ecupirate07
    Im not saying the blues are wrong for asking it. The price is just outside of the canes MO. Buchnevich will command big money on his next deal. Canes will be unwilling to pay it because the whole deal will be in his 30s and into 35+ years of age. I don’t see them moving their 2nd best prospect who is likely on the roster next season for a guy who they will only have for 1.25 seasons.


    That is 100% fair. I’m sure the fit is there but the contract maybe be tough. I’d expect a 5 year $8M per on his next deal.
    17 févr. à 13 h 47
    #5
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    Quoting: tstrauss16
    That is 100% fair. I’m sure the fit is there but the contract maybe be tough. I’d expect a 5 year $8M per on his next deal.


    I would think he is going to ask 9 to only be 5 years and 8 on a 6 year deal
    17 févr. à 13 h 48
    #6
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    Quoting: tstrauss16
    He’d still be 30. But gauging what Lindholm got for Calgary, this is what I’d expect the Blues to get back for Buchnevich with same age and extra year on his contract.


    I think you’re shooting low here or you’re valuing the pieces Calgary got back higher than I would.

    Buch at 1.5 for two playoff runs is very valuable to a lot of teams. I would expect what Calgary got at next deadline for Buchnevich which may be best for all sides with how we are currently seated.
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    17 févr. à 13 h 51
    #7
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    Quoting: ecupirate07
    I would think he is going to ask 9 to only be 5 years and 8 on a 6 year deal


    I don’t think he’d command 9M. I can see 8M for sure but 9M seems a little high to me.
    17 févr. à 13 h 53
    #8
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    Quoting: AC14
    I think you’re shooting low here or you’re valuing the pieces Calgary got back higher than I would.

    Buch at 1.5 for two playoff runs is very valuable to a lot of teams. I would expect what Calgary got at next deadline for Buchnevich which may be best for all sides with how we are currently seated.


    That’s valid. I think we see what happens in the next 10 games before the deadline. Maybe even an offseason decision.
    17 févr. à 13 h 56
    #9
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    Quoting: tstrauss16
    I don’t think he’d command 9M. I can see 8M for sure but 9M seems a little high to me.


    You could be right. If Konecny is going to get a number in the high 8s to low 9s, Buchnevich will certainly too without max term
    17 févr. à 14 h 0
    #10
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    Quoting: ecupirate07
    You could be right. If Konecny is going to get a number in the high 8s to low 9s, Buchnevich will certainly too without max term


    Maybe I undervalue players’ contract values. I can’t envision Konecny making over $8M. I can see a $7.875M for 7-8 years.
    17 févr. à 14 h 10
    #11
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    Quoting: ecupirate07
    You could be right. If Konecny is going to get a number in the high 8s to low 9s, Buchnevich will certainly too without max term


    I think you're looking at like 8.5 x 5 on an extension. And realistically, he's worth it and if you can keep it only to 35 I don't see how he wouldn't be up to the last year.
    17 févr. à 14 h 12
    #12
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    Quoting: AC14
    I think you're looking at like 8.5 x 5 on an extension. And realistically, he's worth it and if you can keep it only to 35 I don't see how he wouldn't be up to the last year.


    The first 3 years yea he will be. The last 2 years he’ll be on the decline. That is the name of the game but, the Canes aren’t about that.
    17 févr. à 14 h 25
    #13
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    Quoting: ecupirate07
    The first 3 years yea he will be. The last 2 years he’ll be on the decline. That is the name of the game but, the Canes aren’t about that.


    They're going to have to be at some point this offseason.
    17 févr. à 14 h 29
    #14
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    Quoting: AC14
    They're going to have to be at some point this offseason.


    I doubt it. They haven’t shown any interest in paying to keep a guy for prime dollars into mid to late 30s. It doesn’t mean a couple of players will re-sign but it wont be premium production values during declining years.
    17 févr. à 14 h 37
    #15
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    Quoting: ecupirate07
    I doubt it. They haven’t shown any interest in paying to keep a guy for prime dollars into mid to late 30s. It doesn’t mean a couple of players will re-sign but it wont be premium production values during declining years.


    Isn’t Aho signed until 35?
    17 févr. à 14 h 41
    #16
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    Apples and Oranges. Aho will be a Hurricane though his entire prime years of his career.

    The same reason the Blues likely move Buch are the same reasons the Canes wouldn’t trade premium assets for him. Love the player, but not a great trade incentives.

    Quoting: tstrauss16
    Isn’t Aho signed until 35?
    17 févr. à 14 h 52
    #17
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    Yeah, no. You're not going to get a roster player for Buch as well as Morrow and a 1st. It's going to be a futures package OR roster pieces, not both.
    17 févr. à 14 h 58
    #18
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    Quoting: tstrauss16
    Isn’t Aho signed until 35?


    How many years of prime production are they getting on this deal? That factors heavily into this. 6 years vs 3 and add in position premium. Canes have wingers but not many top 6 center candidates
    17 févr. à 15 h 20
    #19
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    Quoting: Caniac2000
    Yeah, no. You're not going to get a roster player for Buch as well as Morrow and a 1st. It's going to be a futures package OR roster pieces, not both.


    Roster player to make cap work
    17 févr. à 15 h 26
    #20
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    Quoting: ecupirate07
    How many years of prime production are they getting on this deal? That factors heavily into this. 6 years vs 3 and add in position premium. Canes have wingers but not many top 6 center candidates


    No that’s fair. I’m just saying they could offer him a 5 year extension and still get value out of him. Even if it’s just production for 3 years and 2 years then of “performance not meeting contract standards.” In this case, Aho’s last 2 years are gonna be the same of not meeting contract performance. Regardless of the length, the final two years in both cases are trending down. They won’t have a cup window forever, and every season they had a good shot they’ve been swept in the conference finals. I think Buchnevich adds great value to the Canes and would be a big addition for them to push for the cup the next 5 years.
    17 févr. à 16 h 2
    #21
    mokumboi
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    First of all, if you want to deal Buch, I see no reason to do so at this time - he can be traded prior to the draft for nearly as much. I'm also not sure why it has to be a young RD in particular. I definitely do not want anything to do KK's contract, as much as the thought of moving Schenn over delights. Finally, and most importantly of all, I frankly do not see a prime asset here we must have. The 1st is late and Morrow is worrisome in the D zone.

    Honestly, I'd ask for Nikishin straight up and not budge. If they won;t do it - and I know they shouldn't and presumably wouldn't - fine.
    17 févr. à 16 h 13
    #22
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    Quoting: tstrauss16
    Roster player to make cap work


    Don't need it, Canes have 6 million in deadline cap space
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    17 févr. à 16 h 15
    #23
    Hnswe0345
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    Quoting: Caniac2000
    Yeah, no. You're not going to get a roster player for Buch as well as Morrow and a 1st. It's going to be a futures package OR roster pieces, not both.

    Kotkaniemi is a negative value player with that contract. Please keep him
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    17 févr. à 16 h 19
    #24
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    Quoting: Mhpatb03
    Kotkaniemi is a negative value player with that contract. Please keep him


    Happily, he's such a good value asset with that deal. 23, a dominant defensive force, and one of the best chance generators in the NHL. I'll happily keep him
    17 févr. à 16 h 23
    #25
    Hnswe0345
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    Quoting: Caniac2000
    Happily, he's such a good value asset with that deal. 23, a dominant defensive force, and one of the best chance generators in the NHL. I'll happily keep him

    If he’s generating so many chances, why is he on the 4th line and not even on the power play? 9 assists isn’t indicative of “one of the best chance generators in the NHL”
     
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