Quoting: KrakenTheCode
I know we've discussed this before at length and disagree on our valuations of Brodie, but I genuinely believe Borgen is a more valuable player at this point and Seattle declines this trade offer.
After our last conversation, I dug through Borgen and Brodie's numbers, even looking through a side-by-side comparison a Leafs fan posted on a different thread. I genuinely could not find anything that definitively proved Brodie was a better defender. Their defensive metrics were largely the same, with only a couple minor differences. Both were part of their respective teams' shutdown pairing, meaning they faced the opposition's top offensive threats with regularity. If anything, Brodie plays a handful more minutes per game, while Borgen is more productive offensively and has better possession numbers. At this point, I view them as roughly equal defensive defensemen, but Borgen is probably the more valuable player, as he's younger, cheaper, and plays the right side naturally.
The main reason I don't think Seattle makes this swap though, has more to do with their franchise's current direction. The Kraken are building a contender now but are also looking to remain competitive for years to come. Brodie is in his 30s and is on the downswing of his career, while Borgen is 26 and coming off a breakout season, meaning he is just entering his prime with room still to grow. Their career arcs are headed in opposite directions, and Borgen's trajectory better serves the Kraken both now and in the future than Brodie's would. For that reason, I think Seattle would choose to keep Borgen in the fold.
Not sure what stats you are looking at but you are WAY off base.
If you look at TOI by period, Borgen played the least of all Seattle D in the 3rd period by a significant amount. In short he wasn't trusted to play "important" minutes.
For reference in the last 20 games of last season Oleksiak (his partner) played 20mins a game on average and Borgen played 15mins.
Where Brodie is better is Zone Entry denials, this is his bread and butter and why he pretty much breaks all analytics models. He stops players from entering his zone better than anyone else in the league.
Borgen is more like a young Oleksiak. They both allow players into the zone and make plays deeper in their zone and they both have excellent first passes after making a play defensively.
The way to look at this trade is this:
Brodie - Elite defensive D, kills counter attacks in the neutral zone, helps to keep your team on the offense. Excels at playing with offensively minded players who manage play from the blue line.
Borgen - Good defensive player, still improving. Can throw hits, drive players to the boards and kill plays there and make a quick pass to his partner. Not trusted by his coaches but shows the potential to thrive in a bigger role.
So why would Toronto do this?
1. Cap - Saves them $2.3M.
2. Stability - They know they have him for 2 years
3. Complimentary - His style of play complements Rielly very well (if Toronto wanted to play him there) or complements a shutdown D like McCabe or Seeler.
Why would Seattle do this?
1. Team Style - Brodie plays a style that fits Seattle better than Toronto. Seattle is a strong Neutral zone team, Toronto is a possession team. Brodie's biggest strength can often hurt Toronto cause it creates lose pucks in the neutral zone. Seattle is great at transitioning in the neutral zone, Toronto prefers to build from their own end.
2. Complimentary - Brodie can do for Dunn what he did for Gio when he was a Norris caliber D or for Rielly and.provide stability and kill counter attacks that are left open by their offense. He also fits Dunn better than Rielly because Dunn like Gio controls offense from the blue line. Rielly goes deep and screens the goalie (like of the Tavares OT winner in Game 6 vs Tampa) he is essentially a 4th forward. So when Brodie kills the counter in the Neutral zone often it's the 3F who needs to recover the puck and that can create problems cause they aren't D and don't regroup properly. Dunn controls play from the blue line so even if he messes up he's a step behind the attack not stuck deep in the O zone. So if Brodie stops the attack Dunn can pickup the puck and get back on the attack or regroup.
3. Flexibility - this type of trade clears some cap space next year and make sit easier for Seattle to put aside money to chase a UFA D (like Hanafin) if they want to bolster the D corp next summer.
So whether or not Seattle would make the trade idk. But I want to at least give you the proper analysis of the two players. Brodie is definitely significantly better in a vacuum BUT their styles are different as is their age and cap hit and that all needs to be factored in.