Quoting: swinny
Defintely not knocking Nylander's value. Love the guy.... I just don't see a $10 million winger.
You aren't wrong in that the market dictates what players get - eye of the beholder. But Nylander's comparable really are Fiala and Bratt. Similar game styles, similar analytics. Now, if they dictate the market, and the cap goes up $5 million, then it puts Nylander in around that $8.5 million range. Term then becomes the sticky point. Is he asking $10 million over 8? Which if he is, and the cap rises as it did before, then by year 4 it's a good deal. If it's $10 million over 3, I walk away.
And.... you forgot to bring up Cody Franson.... they guy that came off a career year, was asking like $4 million a year at the time. Misread the market so badly, he ended uo in Buffalo for league minimum. Going back a ways, but it is to your point.
Agree, but alot of it has to do with team structure. Nylander is producing at pretty much a 90-95% rate as his 3 teammates, but is paid at 65%. Bratt's pay is in line with his team, Carolina is infamous for having a structure through the team...so in a way, if nylander is on the open market or looking to resign with his "new team", hes probably similar to fiala, bratt, gaudreau, etc...but in toronto its a pretty substantial underpayment compared to his teammates.
and youre right, its term and cap increase, matthews, nylander are probably not at their last payday OR going to settle at a discount for a team seemingly in the same place they were six years ago results-wise.
The players, their agents can also see the diminishing prospect pool, draft picks and continued short term solution searching in goal and ufa that the leafs do, with really no further result
Not to say it happens but teams like detroit and philly for example have young teams on the up with multiple Blue chip prospects AND cap space.