Modifié 23 févr. 2023 à 12 h 33
I feel the return for Timo will disappoint you if you feel he is worth 3 first rounders.
Wingers are the least expensive position trade wise, and Timo provides no savings against the cap due to his contract status.
Whomever ends up with Timo in their lineup will be paying close to max, since they will be buying his best UFA years. In addition, due to his contract structure, he basically has a no trade clause right now, since no team would give up assets without assurity of a contract extension.
Due to this, Timo can essentially pick where he does or does not want to play. This reduces the number of buyers on the market, reducing his price.
Lastly, while he is elite, he is not in the same impact area as individuals such as Mitch Marner, Brad Marchand, Kyle Connor, etc.
I’d be shocked if you got more than a 1st rounder and a B prospect, unless there is a bad contract going your way to increase your haul. I think this is the likely outcome: a bad contract goes back and you get more. Perhaps a 1st, a B prospect, and a roster skater, and a 2nd or so. I don’t know of a contract needing to be offloaded in the league that would be worth more right now.
If he were more affordable cap-wise (such as being 24 years old) and could be traded anywhere (not an rfa with a high qualifier at 26 years old), and was more impactful, then his value would be much higher in the 3 firsts range or possibly even more. This example is if somebody like Mitch Marner hit the market this off-season.
That being said, I hope the devils give you a ton for him.
My blues offer is in my history: Kyrou (bad contract), 1st, Zherenko/Hofer (B prospect), 2nd.
If you compare Matthew Tkachuk, he was worth a 1st, 2 very expensive older players (130 million combined over 8 years, woof), and a B prospect (Schwindt). I personally value Tkachuk above Meier however it is close. This comparable is so close that deviating from it is likely a giant red flag.