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TheEarthmaster
Good Opinion Haver
Membre depuis
7 juin 2018
Équipe favorite
Blues de St-Louis
Messages dans les forums
1825
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0.9
MESSAGES
SUJETS
MENTIONS "J'AIME"
ÉQUIPES VIA FAUTEUIL-DG
Forum:
Armchair-GM
il y a 11 heures
Sujet:
Dvorsky
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>A_K</b></div><div>I assume Dvorsky is AHL eligible? I know he was when he left the SHL, not sure if playing OHL this season changed anything. I think he should develop in Springfield next year.
Doug with money to spend is a scary thought...</div></div>
He'll have cap space but I'm not sure he'll actually have money to spend. I wouldn't be surprised if this team-like most NHL franchises- needs playoff revenue pretty consistently in order to keep spending to the cap.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
il y a 12 heures
Sujet:
Dvorsky
I can't really get worked up about who is going to play 3C if there are literally no other significant roster changes being made besides just bringing in Snuggerud. If Armstrong insists on keeping (or is forced to keep) the team in neutral then you might as well just play Schenn there. You do what's best for Dvorsky's development at that point, because I think you'd be hard pressed to expect much more out of this roster than we've seen this year.
I also don't think that Bolduc, Dean and Snuggerud are going to play so well down the stretch this season as to make the Blues forgoe bringing in any forward help this summer. I don't think they can go into the season with all of those guys penciled in for a roster spot. Veterans are fine as long as they don't cost too much money for too long. That's what really makes Stephenson a non-starter for me.
Forum:
Toronto Maple Leafs
20 mars à 10 h 33
Sujet:
Every bad move Dubas has made as GM of PIT and TOR
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Herb_Brooks</b></div><div>Treliving:
Kampf to a 4 year deal
Reaves to a 3 year deal
Klingberg deal
not doing anything good at the deadline
this is all less than 365 days</div></div>
And if you open that window up by a second year, you can include him signing literally the worst deal in the entire league, Huberdeau 10.5x8.
There was also a time in the late teens where like a quarter of all active buyouts in the league were contracts bought out by Brad Treliving.
I don't know why certain Leafs fans are so insane about Dubas. The guy doesn't even work for your team anymore. Why do you care so much.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
15 mars à 10 h 30
Sujet:
Blue it up
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jpsnow13</b></div><div>"the blues reportedly wanted the equivalent of 2 1sts for Buchnevich ", yeah, and how did that go for them.
Gretzky was traded for 3x1st+. Kyrou isn't worth as much.</div></div>
Better than it went for the teams that did sell forwards at this deadline. Pretty much everyone went for peanuts except Adam Henrique.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 mars à 18 h 27
Sujet:
retool
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>noted</b></div><div>The Blues will have $11M to do something with. Wouldn't be the worst thing if they didn't spend to cap next season...</div></div>
So that's the thing- people are always like "oh well the Blues can't possibly afford to go through a rebuild financially" and I'm sure on some sense there may be truth to that given that the playoffs is where smaller market teams make most of their money. Even two home games can have a big impact on the bottom line.
But an easy way to make missing the playoffs multiple years in a row (as seems likely to be happening this year) much more affordable is not spending to the cap every year. Bank that 11 million for the future. For awhile this team NEVER spent to the cap, and so the Stillman group has made a big show of being guys that spend to the cap every year. And that's fantastic when the team needs to make big moves. But there are plenty of times when spending to the cap doesn't make sense, and I think unless they're getting payed in the form of picks or prospects to take on onerous deals from other teams right now is probably one of those times.
I liked their low-risk bets on Vrana and Kapanen, Hayes less so because of his term but like he's been fine. But it's hard to square "they have no money for a rebuild" with them spending 9 million on those three guys this year for basically no noticeable improvement in the standings compared to last year.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 mars à 16 h 55
Sujet:
retool
Signing Chandler Stephenson for his age 30-35 seasons at 6 million per when he's been one of the worst defensive players all year and is not scoring nearly as much as he used to to justify it- gonna be a big yikes from be dawg.
This is where the "staying competitive" and the "building for the future" thing that the Blues are trying to do seems really incongruent. That's a contract you sign when you're in win-now mode, you just need a passable center to get you over the hump. But they can't afford to have 33 year old Chandler Stephenson taking up cap space for when Dalibor Dvorsky and Jimmy Snuggerud need his money and roster spot (especially if we're already still going to have Brayden Schenn taking up that money and a roster spot lower in the lineup).
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 mars à 12 h 43
Sujet:
Zach Dean Called up
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>aktobos71</b></div><div>You have reasons for this specific scenario?</div></div>
There's no reason to suspect it's going to happen with Snuggerud (there were warning signs with Gauthier long before that trade) but it does just illustrate the leverage college guys have over their career- more than most prospects do. Snuggerud's their best prospect and that one ELC year probably doesn't really matter in the long run given where this team is, he's earned NHL time and they should probably give it to him based on merits alone. But they should also give it to him because he does have leverage to force a trade if he's not happy with the Blues.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
12 mars à 11 h 59
Sujet:
Zach Dean Called up
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BDHockey</b></div><div>He actaully has had a good stretch recently. A lot young players can have rough growing pains the first time they play in a pro league. I believe he has 9 pts. in the last 11 games.</div></div>
It's worth noting that he's been on the wing for that entire stretch of scoring in the AHL, so that's probably where he'll line up on the big roster if/when he plays.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
7 mars à 10 h 29
Sujet:
Kane to EDM
Why would the Red Wings trade Kane for futures when they are comfortably in a playoff spot for the first time in years?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 mars à 18 h 5
Sujet:
Colton
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>KingExLeafs</b></div><div>Parayko is not an asset Blues fans and Leafs fans think he is. He is a ticking time bomb contract wise. Older player who plays a tough physical game, who knows how his health will hold up? Is there even a market for him?
So the trade is really Minten, Liljegren and a 1st for Buch half retained and that's a respectable offer.</div></div>
I said as much a comment or two up that I have no clue what the ultimate value on Parayko if he's traded would end up being. It would probably be weird. And I agree that whoever is dealing with that contract at age 34-37 is probably going to be in a world of hurt.
That said, there's a reason teams sign those contracts in the first place. If he was a pending UFA that signed with the leafs, I'm not sure how much less the contract would be- a year or two shorter and maybe a million less? That's not nothing but that's not much less of a troublesome deal.
At the end of the day though you're still putting him at the top of your lineup right now, because you need a guy there and he can do the job, at least for now. That's why those contracts get signed. That has to be worth more than a pending UFA that, again, EVERY armchair-gm has the leafs moving if they're adding big salary, and a guy who has 19 points on the season, bad contract or not. This is especially true if the Blues still think they can compete with Parayko (a belief I personally think is misguided, but I'm not the Blues so)
The Buchnevich offer- I feel like that's less than Vancouver gave up for Lindholm without retention. I guess your mileage on Kuzmenko compared to Liljigren might vary. But I think Buchnevich PLUS retention has to be worth more than Lindholm, even with the winger vs center thing. He's having a better year, and the term only helps a contender further in the future.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 mars à 17 h 12
Sujet:
Colton
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>whatsmyageagain281</b></div><div>Careful with that logic, every non-Leaf fan thinks every player the Leafs are interested are that valuable and every Leaf asset is trash.</div></div>
This comment would play a lot better if the Leafs were giving up either of their nationally ranked prospects in this proposed trade, and every leafs armchair-gm I see wasn't firing TJ Brodie into the sun. The 1st is more or less comparable to the first of any other contender's 1st and don't let anyone tell you different, but at the end of the day the Leafs aren't giving up anything else of needle-moving value here. Maybe you could talk me into Liljigren, a player I've got time for. But Fraser's ranked 4th or lower in every pool ranking I've seen and Robertson is just kind of a body quickly losing runway on becoming much more than that.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 mars à 16 h 28
Sujet:
Colton
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>KingExLeafs</b></div><div>Leafs aren't trading for Gretzky and Orr here.</div></div>
No one said they were but they would they not be the best players moved so far at this deadline? Comparable to acquiring both Hanifin and Lindholm? This is basically the Lindholm trade with slightly better/further along prospects. To get two players you're playing at the top of your lineup? C'mon. I get Parayko comes with some risk and if he gets moved the value may end up being weird but it won't be THAT weird.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
29 févr. à 15 h 28
Sujet:
BLAME ARMSTRONG
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CantStopWontStop</b></div><div>I don’t take issue with much, but I aim differently.
GMDA and the Blues record of drafting and development stands on its own, so things like Burns and Stenberg are hard to criticize.
My issue is that Doug Armstrong went to the draft floor last year intending to retool the roster, and did not.
At the previous trade deadline he took all the center ice minutes, except Robert Thomas, and traded them away. The replacement? 1 center who needed another team to pay half his pay due to being meh.
So now stl leads in cumulative wjc u20 scoring. That’s a huge waste for our organization, we have no business having that much firepower in non nhl leagues. He should have done his job, used some of that to have a better active roster.
What was the point of Vrána? When it was clear he was not working, the replacement is?
During the season we’ve had countless games where scandella, or another lefty, is on the right so perunovich can get minutes. Fine. I guess. Except it’s not. It’s routinely punished by other teams. The jets got 2 goals dumping the puck to scandellas side and watching the blues screw it up. The next night, the blues play the oilers, use normal defense pairs, and surprise?! The team can break out of its zone normally and the game is competitive.
So he had that deadline, the draft floor, and whiffed. Now he has a trade deadline. If he whiffs again, fire him. Maybe he’s pissed off too many of his peers, or they don’t trust him, whatever.
I hope it’s embarrassing for him. He’s been a smug pos the last 2 years or so. Dude thinks he is waaaay fancier than he really is.</div></div>
Better active roster for what purpose? To barely make the playoffs? Like they could trade a 1st and Otto Stenberg for Jake Guenztel but is that really making them all that much closer to a cup this year, even if they make the playoffs? And then what do you do in few years, without a good forward prospect, a seemingly top 15 pick, and with 33 year old Jake Guentzel?
If we're assuming they literally can't move anyone with a NTC, I think they've done a decent job with roster decisions since last year- didn't commit any more money to a team that isn't competitive, prioritizing player development (Perunovich, Neighbours) over what's actively going to give them the best roster to win every night. They need to start shedding their bigger money commitments but again, not exactly something they have had full control over (and that's what Armstrong's biggest failing is).
I agree that he needs to be more active in retooling the roster, but I'm not sure if you can get there without taking some steps back first.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
29 févr. à 15 h 8
Sujet:
BLAME ARMSTRONG
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HolyJumpin81</b></div><div>I'd argue it was Faulk. But then again, the reason were in a retool is mainly offense not defense.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>First of all, step back from the ledge about our prospects, buddy. Lindstein is far better than Gunny (who isn't a bad thing btw). Develop is not a straight line, sometimes demotions are just to allow the kid to play top minutes with top responsibilities before he comes back. Dvorsky will again give us two 1Cs, a rare advantage.
As for the defense, I keep saying this, it's not all about "the defense" crew. So much of the blame lies with the forwards it's not funny.</div></div>
The floor would be higher if they had better forwards, but I still think you'd would be building on a rotten foundation with the defense. I'm not saying they couldn't make the playoffs, or even win a round or two with this defense, but you're not building a sustainable cup contender if the centerpiece of the defense is 30 year old Colton Parayko- a player I have a lot of time for- let alone the bloated support staff.
I don't disagree with the fact that their immediate problems are with scoring, but that was a die they more or less intentionally cast. They traded all the forwards who were, though old, still top 6 players and then replaced them with guys who were either on waivers or headed that way. So this was predictable, if not outright expected. They have a bunch of forward reinforcements coming though, while the defense is exactly the same. That's still the area that needs the most work.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
29 févr. à 14 h 51
Sujet:
BLAME ARMSTRONG
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HolyJumpin81</b></div><div>I mean it did in 2022 though, with basically the same defense as now. It was the offensive depth and firepower that once it disintegrated, it was over (Perron, Orielly, Tarasenko, Schenn). Not saying Dougs a genius hes made some horrific mistakes (Petro being the worst), and I agree about the blueline.</div></div>
They thing you have to remember about 21-22 is that every single member of the Blues forward group had a shooting percentage of like 900% and Ville Husso had a season on par with the one BInnington is having right now. They did that year what Seattle did last year, and here we are with Seattle's roster barely changed from when they beat the reigning cup champs in the playoffs and they're lower in the standings than the Blues right now.
You simply could not have built a sustainable cup contender with this defense, unless you had a consistently elite goaltender and an overpowered collection of forwards. The Blues have neither.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
28 févr. à 17 h 19
Sujet:
Sensible 2 point 0
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>tstrauss16</b></div><div>I’d rather give away Kyrou than Dvorsky in a trade to Ottawa. Much rather have a 2nd line center with upside.</div></div>
It doesn't make a lot of sense to make a "win now" move like trading for Tkachuk while subtracting a bunch of other "win now" pieces in their prime like Kyrou (and frankly, Buchnevich). You don't want to trade for Brady and then still just be a playoff bubble team.
I get why Brady is so coveted- intangibles, fighting, looks like cares out there, whatever- but it's not exactly like he's been dragging an arguably stronger group of forwards in Ottawa to victory, he's had more help than this agm-roster is giving him and he's not even PPG. Effort and reputation is going to affect a lot of opinions but strictly speaking about his on ice results- he's much closer to a Kyrou level player than most people would care to admit- Decent score but you always feel like there should be more there and he gives a lot of it back the other way.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
28 févr. à 17 h 7
Sujet:
Sensible 2 point 0
I get what the Edmonton trade is going for and I know that Holloway and Broberg both were drafted with a lot of pedigree but if we're trading and retaining half of Buchnevich- plus Sundqvist- I feel like the return has to be greater than two guys who will be 23 years old by the time the puck drops next season and can't consistently stick in an NHL lineup- two guys that Edmonton barely has a use for anymore. They're getting to that weird part of the development curve where if they haven't shown even flashes of being impact NHLers they're probably not going to be much of ones at this point.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
28 févr. à 16 h 50
Sujet:
Cutting all of the dead weight now
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>MisstheWhalers</b></div><div>This team needs Hanifin.</div></div>
This team needs another good-but-not-spectacular late twenties defenseman starting a 7-8 year contract like Los Angeles needs another football team.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
26 févr. à 16 h 2
Sujet:
come on doug
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mokumboi</b></div><div>Yeah, I'm really baffled when people say Kessel has been so good (JR literally called his play "remarkable" today... like WTF?). He is definitely not preferable to Faulk, who I am hoping is finally 100% instead of trying to play hurt again.</div></div>
That was insane to me, like if that's the threshold for "remarkable" then like Joel Hofer must be the front runner for the Vezina right?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
23 févr. à 16 h 3
Sujet:
Fitzy it starts with you buddy
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>NHLfan10506</b></div><div>I do not think Fitzy is the problem
TyeZerker <a href="https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/4470138">last summer</a> "They dont need a goalie RN, stop panicking over it."
TyeZerker today: "This team is built poorly by Fitzy, dude is not a good GM .....refused to get a goalie ....When others gonna start to question the GM of the Devils."</div></div>
Damn dude had the RECIEPTS!
If you don't have a starting caliber goalie in the system who have a lot of control over, wading in goalie waters can be really tricky. So many big goalie signings that just have not worked at all- Campbell, Korpisalo, Merzlikins, Bobrovsky until VERY recently- that kind of stuff can really really handcuff your team. Best case scenario is you get a guy who you can do for cheap and can readily move on from if/when the situation arises, and then build a good defense around him.
I'd say Fitz did a great job in that regard. Graves, Marino, Sigenthaler (the latter's inconsistent play this year aside) were all really strong adds, and he knew when to move on from Graves and Severson as well. Lot of young guns just breaking into the league. Dougie thing is unfortunate, but this wasn't a guy who like had an extensive injury history when they signed him. And yeah, the Vaneck thing is a risk you run when you don't have a #1 goalie ready, and that sucks but I think it's better than the alternative. Paying for saves rarely works out well. Usually you gotta draft and develop your guy.
I'm not really worried about Timo Meier. Palat thing is fair, though I do like what he brings to this lineup. I would also say I'm not really sure why Fitzgerald hasn't made a coaching change (maybe less so now than, say, 2-3 months ago). Best case always seemed like Ruff didn't hurt anything, I don't think he's the coach that can make a roster more than the sum of its parts.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
21 févr. à 12 h 9
Sujet:
Is this acceptable
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BDHockey</b></div><div>
I thought the value was relatively fine. Bolduc has good value, but he might also be one of the better of our abundant young forwards to turn into a defenseman.</div></div>
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AC14</b></div><div>The offer was an overpay. It was a former 17th OA pick and a 2nd.
If you're looking to get the type of return you suggested, Ferraro isn't getting moved, which I'd imagine is fine if you see him as Jaccob Slavin as you seem to.</div></div>
I tend to agree that of the "higher end" forwards the Blues have in their system Bolduc is the one that makes the most sense to move in a larger trade. And yes the Blues have been winning recently, so that makes it more tempting to pull of a larger trade now. But I'm not convinced now is really the time for the Blues be moving those assets given the money they have on the books. So many of the guys they're relying on heavily being over 30- Parayko, Faulk, Binnington, Schenn in particular- there's still plenty of opportunity for this team to take a step back in the next year or two even with the reinforcements they have coming.
And there's a lot of variance to what Ferraro can be moving forward. He's got a good enough hockey IQ to be a solid defenseman on a contending team, but at 25 he's probably not reaching "top pair on a contending team" level anymore. I think he was an easy player to get hyped about given his attitude and more intangible qualities but if the Sharks are valuing him at Slavin level, that's especially too rich for the Blues given where they are.
I'm not opposed to adding though. I'd just bet smaller. Blues should consider looking into Ty Emberson if they're targeting young defensemen on the Sharks. Good defensive metrics, better than Ferraro's (on a terrible defensive team). He's been averaging 18 minutes a night for them (though he's only played half the season). Don't think he would cost a lot either.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 févr. à 17 h 37
Sujet:
My ideal TDL and offseason
I do agree with your take on the team (that they're likely not going to be a contender for 3 years, and so why bother really). But I think there could be more follow through on the direction to set up that future contention window.
If they're not going to be a contender for three years, why waste a retention slot to dump Krug for basically nothing when his contract will be up in three years anyway (with his trade clause reducing in one year), while keeping Parayko's contract (years 34-37 of which would be running through the "new" contention window) instead of trying to trade him instead? I think he's played pretty well but the upside is that he's the SAME player in three years. He's not going to be a better player. He'll probably be a worse one. Why should a non-contending team take that risk? Keep Krug (or Faulk) instead and peacefully move on in three years, while maybe someone gives you something actually useful now in order to take on the last 6 years of that Parayko deal at full freight.
If they're going to sell assets with term, the assets that make sense to sell are a) players who are good and/or b) players whose remaining term is prohibitive for the long term future of this team. To me that describes Buchnevich/Parayko/Binnington/maybe Faulk. I'm not really worried about moving Leddy/Krug/Schenn/Saad. Most of both groups will have to turn over sooner than later, as we'll need the roster spaces, but as far as maximizing value while not handcuffing the future goes, I think the first group should be the priority on moving out.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
30 janv. à 16 h 13
Sujet:
Could this be a good offseason
I can't see the Oilers being interested in Krug. They could use a right shot defenseman who could be a steady presence in the top four that allows their more skilled defensemen to cook (in much the same way Ekholm was last year). Krug's been pretty solid this year, but let's face it, that's like the opposite of the kind of defensemen he is.
Add in the fact that Krug is very expensive, the Oilers have no cap space (and likely won't have 6.5 million to work with, even with "the cap going up" and whatever in the offseason), the Blues are unlikely to retain salary AND Krug could immediately veto the whole thing makes that idea pretty unworkable to me, unless you want to get in the Jack Campbell business.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
18 janv. à 16 h 17
Sujet:
what could of been if army wasnt in charge
Devon Toews traded to a rival three days after the Blues sign Krug- still baffling to me that they couldn't get in on that one either. Still means you probably lose Dunn to Seattle, but if you have Pietrangelo still and Walman/Perunovich it's probably a more balanced defense core. Beyond trading for Buchnevich, just a real lack of creativity from Armstrong over the last couple years.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
18 janv. à 10 h 22
Sujet:
putting the pieces in place
I like to think of myself as a pretty plugged in Blues fan but I'll be the first to admit I have absolutely zero idea who Josh Jacobs is lol
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