we miss leo k
Rejoint: févr. 2018
Messages: 6,014
Mentions "j'aime": 5,131
I think everyone's getting hung up on the extremely arbitrary "1C vs. 2C" argument here, so let's lay out some basic stuff:
Over his past 3 seasons (from 2019-20 through last year), Brock Nelson had 81 goals and 146 points in 196 GP, which averages out to about a 33-28-61 pace over 82 games. This season he's a hair under a PPG (57 points in 60 GP) while scoring goals at a 35 goal pace (26 scored to date).
Regardless of where you put him on your depth chart - he's scored at a 30-35 goal pace over the past 4 seasons, and in this ACGM Colorado would be getting him for 2 years at a $5M AAV. For some context, here are some centers currently on $5-6M AAV contracts
Mikael Granlund
JG Pageau
Ryan Strome
Charlie Coyle
Joel Eriksson Ek
Philip Danualt
Andrew Copp
Vincent Trocheck
William Karlsson
The only guy I think you could argue is providing better value on their deal is Eriksson Ek - and this is his first run where he's scored at more than a 45-50 point pace in his career. Bo Horvat just signed an $8.5M AAV extension based on a career very similar to Nelson's; hell, one of the reasons Colorado is looking for a 2C is because Nazem Kadri just signed for a $7M AAV after basically putting up Brock Nelson-style numbers with an extra helping of secondary assists goosing him up (even with what looks like an outlier season, Kadri's 3 year window from 2019-20 through last year averaged out to a 27-44-71 season in Colorado.)
Point is, getting a guy like Nelson at $5M would be a bargain. I don't think the Islanders would be trading him for a guy like Sam Girard if they moved him - nothing against Girard, but I don't think it's a stretch saying Nelson at $5M is more valuable than Girard at the same cost.