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Question for Canucks fans

Créé par: Android_H_Jones
Équipe: 2022-23 Canucks de Vancouver
Date de création initiale: 13 déc. 2022
Publié: 13 déc. 2022
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
The rumored asking price for Bo Horvat is a 1st, a young 3C with upside, and a RD.

In this scenario, no team makes an offer close to that. What is the threshold between just keeping him as an own rental for a hopeful run at the playoffs vs trading him for the "best" package possible?
Transactions
VAN
  1. Engvall, Pierre
  2. Hirvonen, Roni
  3. Choix de 3e ronde en 2023 (OTT)
  4. Choix de 3e ronde en 2023 (TOR)
Détails additionnels:
Example underwhelming offer. Do you take this? Or do you keep Bo?
Rachats de contrats
Repêchage1e ronde2e ronde3e ronde4e ronde5e ronde6e ronde7e ronde
2023
Logo de VAN
Logo de VAN
Logo de VAN
Logo de TOR
Logo de OTT
Logo de VAN
Logo de NYR
Logo de VAN
2024
Logo de VAN
Logo de VAN
Logo de VAN
Logo de VAN
Logo de VAN
Logo de VAN
2025
Logo de VAN
Logo de VAN
Logo de VAN
Logo de VAN
Logo de VAN
Logo de VAN
Logo de VAN
TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
2382 500 000 $77 404 584 $1 250 000 $1 232 500 $5 095 416 $
Ailier gaucheCentreAilier droit
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
5 250 000 $5 250 000 $
C, AG, AD
UFA - 1
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
7 350 000 $7 350 000 $
C, AG
UFA - 2
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
6 650 000 $6 650 000 $
AD
UFA - 3
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
4 750 000 $4 750 000 $
AG, AD
M-NTC
UFA - 4
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
4 950 000 $4 950 000 $
AD, AG
UFA - 4
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
950 000 $950 000 $ (Bonis de performance850 000 $$850K)
AG, AD
UFA - 1
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
1 000 000 $1 000 000 $
AD, C
UFA - 3
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
762 500 $762 500 $
AD, C
RFA - 2
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
891 667 $891 667 $ (Bonis de performance300 000 $$300K)
AG, AD
RFA - 1
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
883 750 $883 750 $ (Bonis de performance82 500 $$82K)
C
RFA - 2
Logo de Maple Leafs de Toronto
2 250 000 $2 250 000 $
AD, AG
UFA - 1
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
825 000 $825 000 $
AG
UFA - 2
Logo de Maple Leafs de Toronto
856 667 $856 667 $
AG
RFA - 3
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
762 500 $762 500 $
C
UFA - 2
Défenseur gaucherDéfenseur droitierGardien de but
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
7 850 000 $7 850 000 $
DG
UFA - 5
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
6 000 000 $6 000 000 $
DD
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
762 500 $762 500 $
G
UFA - 2
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
7 260 000 $7 260 000 $
DG
NMC
UFA - 5
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
1 800 000 $1 800 000 $
DD
UFA - 1
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
750 000 $750 000 $
G
UFA - 1
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
1 350 000 $1 350 000 $
DG
RFA - 2
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
850 000 $850 000 $
DD
UFA - 1
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
750 000 $750 000 $
DG/DD
UFA - 1
Laissés de côtéListe des blessés (IR)Liste des blessés à long terme (LTIR)
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
5 000 000 $5 000 000 $
G
UFA - 4
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
3 500 000 $3 500 000 $
AG, AD
M-NTC
UFA - 1
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
3 250 000 $3 250 000 $
AG
M-NTC
UFA - 2
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
2 500 000 $2 500 000 $
DD
UFA - 3
Logo de Canucks de Vancouver
1 500 000 $1 500 000 $
DG/DD
UFA - 1

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13 déc. 2022 à 21 h 9
#1
JT Miller for Hart
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Definitely not. There'll be teams that offer more.
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13 déc. 2022 à 21 h 10
#2
Judd Bracket ripoff
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It’s a pointless question because the scenario you’re laying out simply will not happen.

Teams will pay a 1st plus for Bo. It’s not a question of “if”
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13 déc. 2022 à 21 h 18
#3
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Quoting: The_Rocket
It’s a pointless question because the scenario you’re laying out simply will not happen.

Teams will pay a 1st plus for Bo. It’s not a question of “if”


Just like teams were willing to pay a 1st plus last year for JT Miller?
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13 déc. 2022 à 21 h 18
#4
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If you think that’s the best offer they will get, you don’t know a damn thing
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13 déc. 2022 à 21 h 20
#5
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Certainly missing a 2023 1st and Neimela
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13 déc. 2022 à 21 h 24
#6
Future Norris guy
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There's teams out there that would easily outbid the Leafs, And that's not even close to getting Horvat.
13 déc. 2022 à 21 h 25
#7
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Quoting: glarson17
If you think that’s the best offer they will get, you don’t know a damn thing


I assume reading comprehension is not your strong suit.

I asked, "What is the threshold between just keeping him as an own rental for a hopeful run at the playoffs vs trading him for the "best" package possible?"

The trade I threw in there was a conversation starter.
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13 déc. 2022 à 21 h 32
#8
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I'm not a Canucks fan, but to answer your question, if I'm not getting at least a 1st and a prospect, I'm keeping him.
13 déc. 2022 à 21 h 42
#9
Judd Bracket ripoff
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Quoting: Android_H_Jones
Just like teams were willing to pay a 1st plus last year for JT Miller?


It’s been confirmed that NYR offered Chytil, lundkvist and a first for miller last season and the Canucks turned it down
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13 déc. 2022 à 21 h 42
#10
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Quoting: Android_H_Jones
I assume reading comprehension is not your strong suit.

I asked, "What is the threshold between just keeping him as an own rental for a hopeful run at the playoffs vs trading him for the "best" package possible?"

The trade I threw in there was a conversation starter.


So your idea of “best package possible” is depth forward, a B props and two thirds? There’s zero reason for them to do that they would keep him if unless get a great return
13 déc. 2022 à 21 h 56
#11
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People really have trouble reading on this site.
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13 déc. 2022 à 21 h 57
#12
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Quoting: Android_H_Jones
Just like teams were willing to pay a 1st plus last year for JT Miller?


well they made a blunder by re-signing him but that doesn't change the interest that was there
13 déc. 2022 à 21 h 58
#13
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Quoting: The_Rocket
It’s been confirmed that NYR offered Chytil, lundkvist and a first for miller last season and the Canucks turned it down


unfortunate decline lol. agree with you here but man they really should've sold high on JT
13 déc. 2022 à 22 h 25
#14
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Quoting: glarson17
So your idea of “best package possible” is depth forward, a B props and two thirds? There’s zero reason for them to do that they would keep him if unless get a great return


You're getting closer, but still not quite there. This isn't my idea of anything other than a thought experiment on "what is the floor on what Canucks fans will accept?"

Or in other words, this is a scenario, one of many possibilities, not a prediction or legitimate proposal.

Just to make this easier, lets say Colorado went after Toews, Boston traded for O'Reilly, Dallas adds Monahan, Buffalo, Detroit, and Washington are too far out of the playoffs to make an add at the deadline. So this is a worst case scenario for the Canucks because the market has basically dried up. It's down to one team (and honestly, it doesn't have to be the Leafs, substitute any team here).

In that scenario, what is the least you would accept for Horvat?
13 déc. 2022 à 22 h 33
#15
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Jesus H! Can people not read or comprehend? The OP is basically asking 'If the market is dry, do you hold onto Horvat and risk a) trying to sign him later and potentially risk losing him for nothing in free agency or do you b) take the best offer still available, and if option b then what is the weakest offer you'd be willing to accept. Sure, it's hypothetical and someone probably pays up for him but it's kind of the idea of the site, being hypothetical and all!
13 déc. 2022 à 22 h 37
#16
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The least I'd be happy with for Horvat is a 2023 1st and a solid RHD prospect. I don't think the Canucks will have any troubles getting that and would probably get more, but that's the base minimum I'd have. By the sounds of things Horvat may be the top trade chip available at the deadline, meaning there could quite possibly end up being a bidding war for his services, so I don't think getting value for him will be a problem.
13 déc. 2022 à 22 h 39
#17
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In the above scenario I simply don't know what I would do in the GM's shoes. I'd be looking for a first plus solid prospect to make the move to begin with so I guess if it's a mix of prospects/picks with at least one really solid one then that's the bottom end but then I'm also not a Vancouver fan. There has to come a point where the value simply isn't enough and even though you risk losing him for nothing you don't accept in case an eleventh hour better offer comes in.
13 déc. 2022 à 22 h 51
#18
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Quoting: The_Rocket
It’s a pointless question because the scenario you’re laying out simply will not happen.

Teams will pay a 1st plus for Bo. It’s not a question of “if”


Playing devil's advocate: why should a team pay that much for the 35th-50th best center in the league? He's what, the 9th best center in the Pacific? (McDavid, Draisaitl, Eichel, Hertl, Lindholm, Kadri, Kopitar, Pettersson). Maybe the 10th or 11th depending on how people feel about Beniers, Zegras, or Stephenson. Is that really worth a 1st ++? Most of the teams he's rumored to go to, he'd be the 4th or 5th best forward on their team. If I'm Colorado for example, why am I spending a 2023 1st plus Newhook, plus another piece for 40ish games of the 5th best forward on my team? I could get that much cheaper somewhere else.
13 déc. 2022 à 22 h 55
#19
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Quoting: Epic_Ninja_Dude
The least I'd be happy with for Horvat is a 2023 1st and a solid RHD prospect. I don't think the Canucks will have any troubles getting that and would probably get more, but that's the base minimum I'd have. By the sounds of things Horvat may be the top trade chip available at the deadline, meaning there could quite possibly end up being a bidding war for his services, so I don't think getting value for him will be a problem.


I think that's probably where I'd end up too. The 3C with upside would be nice, but I would imagine the main priority would be shoring up the blueline at this point.
13 déc. 2022 à 23 h 8
#20
Judd Bracket ripoff
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Quoting: Android_H_Jones
Playing devil's advocate: why should a team pay that much for the 35th-50th best center in the league? He's what, the 9th best center in the Pacific? (McDavid, Draisaitl, Eichel, Hertl, Lindholm, Kadri, Kopitar, Pettersson). Maybe the 10th or 11th depending on how people feel about Beniers, Zegras, or Stephenson. Is that really worth a 1st ++? Most of the teams he's rumored to go to, he'd be the 4th or 5th best forward on their team. If I'm Colorado for example, why am I spending a 2023 1st plus Newhook, plus another piece for 40ish games of the 5th best forward on my team? I could get that much cheaper somewhere else.


Copp, hall 2020, foligno, Palmeri, hayes, Statsny 2018, pageau, Zucker, Tatar 2018

Teams trade first round picks plus for top 6 forwards every deadline and often for players worse than Bo Horvat
14 déc. 2022 à 8 h 44
#21
JT Miller for Hart
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Quoting: The_Rocket
It’s been confirmed that NYR offered Chytil, lundkvist and a first for miller last season and the Canucks turned it down


Really starting to regret that now.
14 déc. 2022 à 15 h 49
#22
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There is no threshold. If he's not signed by the TDL, he'll be traded. There is no way they keep him for a shot at the playoffs.

Even if the Leafs viewed Horvat as a piece worth pursuing, which they probably shouldn't, unless they are willing to part with Nylander, they don't have a premier young player to offer. They can only go the quantity over quality route, so if they really do want to come to the table on this, they better be prepared to part with two first round picks, to start with. One for Horvat, and one for making the money work: either through retention, through taking back a middling player in the deal or both.
14 déc. 2022 à 15 h 51
#23
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Quoting: AK50
Really starting to regret that now.


Don't regret the rumoured NYR deal a bit. I wouldn't have done it then, and I wouldn't do it now. Miller is top 15 in league scoring since becoming a Canuck. You want a premier player, offer a premier asset in return.
 
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