Quoting: Chigurrhh
Pavelski, this season, is over a point per game player and a great play driver. Carter was a sub .5 PPG player with bad underlying numbers in LA. How can you possibly think those values would be similar? That's just insane.
Also, every playoff team is more likely than not, going to be out by round 1 or 2. That's how the math works.
1st, it's not about what your PPG is, it's about what the options are. Demand creates value.
2nd He controls that path. Honestly, We can both look at playoff brackets and pick teams that have better "math" of making it to the 2nd round. That's how Vegas works.
So you end up with a guy who is 37. really think he's going to ANA or LA?
I'm pretty sure at 37 with no cup, the only reason for him to join in a playoff run is to have a high chance of success. Otherwise what is the point. Play 2 weeks and go home. He doesn't need to make that kind of move at 37.
So you can limit that move to a hand full of teams. A lot of them are close to the cap if not over. Which is bringing down the demand market.
So this idea there is going to be a huge bidding was driving up the price on a 37 year old, is insane. especially from a Pens team that is openly saying, 1sn and 2nd off the table and prospect pool off limits.
How many teams do you really think are out there at this point making those kind of offers above on a 37 year old rental. Talk about insane.
Even CGY didn't pay that much for a younger player scoring a lot of goals with 3 playoff years worth of term.
So lets be more open and honest about what an expected value is here. I don't think you're going to see what you think you are going to see here.
I'd say if you look at the best teams in every division right now. TB no cap, VGK no cap, COL, little cap, but they have other options, CAR again little cap space.
These aren't exactly the building blocks of great demand on a guy. What are you're next to teams there. PIT, doesn't want to give anything up, FL. ok maybe.
That's really it. You look at the west, maybe CGY, but they have no cap. MIN is a young team, lost of players under 25, don't see them making that kind of move and paying a lot.
I'm sorry, I just don't see the market here that's going to give something like that up.
Fact is there are a handful of teams I think he'd really consider that can actually afford him in the cap. I think the choice is going to be his if he wants it, and I don't think they are gong to pay anything close to what you think for it. It's a buyers market.