Once a Kings Fan Too
Rejoint: juin 2018
Messages: 40,656
Mentions "j'aime": 25,493
Arguing that trading Josh Manson (with $1 million retention, no less), an actual NHL player (and not a bad one, at that) for two non-roster anchors and a second-half first-round draft pick in 2022 is an exchange that favors Anaheim is a contention unsupported by fact or logic.
You’re wrong on timing. Contrary to your assertion that “Chances are this type of deal is made after the signing bonus [due Eriksson] is paid,” the only conceivable justification for it is to relieve Anaheim of the burden of protecting Manson in the expansion draft. So Anaheim would still be responsible for paying Eriksson his full $4 million in compensation for 2021-2022.
You’re wrong on money. Manson is due $4,450,000 and Kesler $1,335,000 for a total of $5,785,000. Your deal has Anaheim paying Manson $1.1 million and Eriksson $4 million, for a “savings” of $685,000. And that’s not taking into account the useless mouth.
You’re wrong on player value. The egregious fallacy in the first half of your argument for this trade, that Eriksson is “a player that they’ll actually use” so that Anaheim would benefit from having him consume a roster spot (which Kesler doesn’t), is that (a) we wouldn’t, and (b) he wouldn’t. Eriksson appeared in 7 games for the Canucks last year and, with Maxime Comtois, Max Jones and Isac Lundestrom ahead of him on the depth chart at LW (and that’s assuming we trade Rickard Rakell, or move him to RW), and Alex Volkov perhaps getting time on his natural side, and Sonny Milano and Nic DesLauriers and perhaps Dan Heinen vying for playing time there, Eriksson would not be a beneficial addition to the Anaheim roster at all; he’d spend the entire season in San Diego. As a result, Anaheim would pay the same cap penalty for burying his cap hit as Vancouver is exposed to now: $4,875,000 for no on-ice value whatsoever.
The fallacy in the second half of your argument for this ill-considered trade, that Jonah Gadjovich and the future first have some value to the Ducks, is similarly obvious on an objective basis. Aside from the LWs mentioned in the previous paragraph, Anaheim has Brayden Tracey, Blake McLaughlin and Jack Badini in the pipeline, all of whom are better prospects than Gadjovich. So your assertion that “Anaheim adds a power forward prospect that would complement their skilled players for years to come” is just an effort to sound like a knowledgeable pundit when in reality it is nothing more than silly puffery. (In all likelihood, Anaheim probably wouldn’t offer him a renewal when his one year with San Diego was up.) The same applies to your contentions about Manson’s draft-pick value. To begin with, he’s clearly worth a current-year second and a good prospect, and postponing a pick means you have to provide additional compensation for each year. You intuit this by making the pick a second-half pick in the first round of the 2022 draft or an unconditional (i.e., could be much, much higher) pick in the 2023 draft. But even if you think that a first-round pick for him is an overpay in isolation, the fact that the Ducks would be trading one year of a useful player now for no years of any useful player until at least 2023 is sufficient basis for Anaheim to get better value. In short, Anaheim won’t be trading Manson for less than a 2021 second and a better prospect than Gadjovich.
Finally, making snide comments about Jim Benning or using juvenile expressions like “lmao” or “lmfao” is a dead giveaway of immaturity. If you want your opinions to be taken seriously by knowledgeable and experienced readers, you should grow out of it.