Tampa will be better than Vegas. Pittsburgh is not a top 10 team

Pittsburgh was a top 10 team when they suspended last season and even with the bad defensemen they picked up in Matheson and Ceci, they still upgraded from having Johnson back there. A disappointing playoff series against a hot goalie isn't enough to remove them from the top 10.

Capitals have a solid shot to win the division and might even top the league. They’re always really good in the regular season

LOL, Pens aren't a top 10 team!!! Boston may not even make top 10 with the Pasta injury. I'd lower the Bruins and replace the Pens with the Caps!!

the sens

PIT and BOS are too high. And NYI without Barzal is not a top 10 team, so there should be an asterisk there until he signs.

The Islanders, with or without Barzal are not a top 10 team

Getting a year older does. And a bad Kapanen trade and losing murray

Murray hasn't been a great asset in net for awhile, the Kapanen trade was pure add by them as they traded futures, not current players. A year older would be a good argument but there's been very little evidence of it being a factor so far. Malkin just had the 2nd best season of his career and Crosby was still one of the best players in the league when you remove the time on ice with Johnson from the equation.

Besides the things you listed being of little to no effect, the Penguins were the team who saw among the worst effect of injuries last season when you look at time on ice actually missed by injured players. Even through that they finished 8th. If anything we should be expecting them to finish higher, not lower.

Murray was not good at all. Losing him isn't that big of a loss.

Losing Johnson is addition by subtraction, and having Zucker for the whole year will greatly help the top 6.

Matheson-Ceci as the bottom pair is better than Johnson-Schultz.

Overall, there's no reason to believe the Penguins aren't a top 10 team

I just can’t see them winning the division with that goaltending

With barzal they certainly are

To be fair the kapanen trade might have been an overpay but they traded no one off their roster so it is a good thing this year.

Tampa without Kucherov is not a top 2 team.