only way the value is remotely close is if one of those picks is 1st overall

It probably will be.

If McDavid is going to Ottawa, then Chabot is definitely going back to Edmonton.

Actually, it's far more likely that neither are.

Not a BAD team TBH... and with the 2 first rounder you get: Stutzle & Byfield... man you are set for the next decade!
and here's Ottawa line-up: (it will be hard for another 2-3 years in Ottawa!!!)

Duclair- McJesus- Batherson
Formetton- Anisimov- Ryan
Abramov-Paul- Brown
Balcers-Chaplik- Hawryluk
Chabot- Zaitsev
Reilly- Brannstrom
Lajoie- Wolanin

Very interesting idea. I'm not sure if Ottawa takes it tbh. I don't think any team with McDavid will be at the bottom of the league. They basically trade away all the assets they need to build around a star player like McDavid.

Now imagine if those picks became 1st and 2nd!!

That deal is so bad for the oilers

If McDavid (like eichel) were to demand a trade, this obviously is a heck of a return.

this is arguably more than the oilers got for gretzky.

you should just add lafrienere and drysdale to the line up

after making this trade ottawa still has a 1st, 4 2nds and 2 3rds in this draft and a bunch of cap space.

How? They get 3 good roster players, plus 2 top 5 picks. One of those picks is bound to be 1st or 2nd.

How?

Because the combined odds of either of those picks winning #1 is 25%, meaning there is a 75% chance that neither is 1st overall.

Really didn’t realize it was that low.

Yep. 13.5% for the Ottawa pick and 11.5% for the Sharks.

Doesn't matter. The lottery will be held well before any trade can take place (the season isn't over yet, remember?), so the exact picks would be known when formulating any trade.

You are right. It doesn’t matter cuz we’ll know. And Ottawa has the highest chance of anyone.

True.

Yes, that's true, but though they have the greatest odds of any individual team, it is still more likely that they don't pick 1st.

Mcdavid is worth so much then that

When this trade is done, let’s say Ottawa has 1 and 4. Lafrenière alone could be better down the line.