Modifié 1 mai 2020 à 13 h 25
Quoting: Caniac2000
Why would Ron rather take a mid-round pick over a Norris candidate? Hamilton is being protected 100%. To suggest Hamilton will be exposed is foolish. Bean will likely be exposed. As for Skjei, corsi isn't a usable analytical baseline in the limited sample size Skjei has. His RAPM and isolated stats suggest a similar trend to his ranger days, and his xGA is really looking bad. Admittedly in a small sample size, there is room for error, but we know what Skjei offers. It's more expendable than a potential 40 point D man like Gardiner, an elite DFD like Pesce, a sublime 2 way D in Slavin, elite OFD in Hamilton etc etc. To open up the spot for Bean, the best play is to move Skjei or Fleury. Fleury just has that upside, which leaves Skjei. It's not to say acquiring Skjei wasn't the right idea, but at this moment in time, Skjei is the odd man out when talking about moving someone for Bean.
Because Hamilton is a UFA that's isn't likely to sign with Seattle short of a gross overpayment in both years and AAV, that's why. This is why UFAs are generally not protected in the Expansion Draft. If Hamilton agrees to an extension in the offseason, of course, I 100% agree that we should protect him. As a UFA, though? Nah. Seattle almost certainly is going to try to build their team via the Vegas model of going after young, controllable assets that they can deal for vets later if they overachieve. If you're really that afraid that Seattle could select him even with all of the reasons that they should be against that move, then negotiate with Francis on draft pick compensation in exchange for not taking Hamilton. I don't even think it's necessary, though, and I bet that it royally backfires on Seattle if they do make that move, either via Hamilton simply signing with Carolina on UFA day or with Hamilton getting greater than Karlsson money and years with Seattle, in which case, thank god we didn't anchor our team to that. This is why I think that Bean, Slavin, and Pesce are going to be protected, and that either Skjei or Fleury will be picked by Francis.