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TML players value LoganOllivier

Créé par: yanp007
Équipe: 2018-19 Maple Leafs de Toronto
Date de création initiale: 15 nov. 2018
Publié: 15 nov. 2018
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LoganOllivier is a troll...
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15 nov. 2018 à 16 h 21
#26
Analytics are good
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Quoting: LoganOllivier
A 20 point defenceman would fetch 6.5 - 7 million dollars? What idiot of a GM would do that? This is just ridiculous. No one would give Pesce 7 million dollars. He's not a #1 Stud defenceman, which are the only defenceman who make that much money.

Its like me disgreeing about Pesce's value has some sort of incredible hulk effect. The angrier you get with me saying Nylander is worth more than Pesce, the larger and stronger he gets in your imagination. Soon Pesce is going to be the best defenceman every, be 14 feet tall, weigh 600 lbs and skate faster than the eye can see.


Not everything is about points. Pesce is a DFD, however his offense has been emerging more this season. I would say hes a low-end top pairing guy or a strong 2nd pair dman with potential to grow into a stand-out top pair dman. I don't think hes the best defenseman ever but I do think he is a very good defenseman. His contract is also a steal so that makes him more valuable.
15 nov. 2018 à 16 h 32
#27
Formerly Jamiepo
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Quoting: csick
Except you cant compare. They are both judged differently. Pesce is an apple and Nylander is an orange. The apple are on sale for $4.5/kg while the oranges are pretty expensive and $7.5/kg. Mind you, for what im getting, id rather have the apples, they are more valuable.


Yes both judged differently... one is a leaf the other best sn’t therefore nylander is now at 2/3 value....
15 nov. 2018 à 16 h 33
#28
Formerly Jamiepo
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Quoting: JayBeagleFanAccount
Not everything is about points. Pesce is a DFD, however his offense has been emerging more this season. I would say hes a low-end top pairing guy or a strong 2nd pair dman with potential to grow into a stand-out top pair dman. I don't think hes the best defenseman ever but I do think he is a very good defenseman. His contract is also a steal so that makes him more valuable.

Hmmm.... sounds suspiciously like larsson...
15 nov. 2018 à 16 h 48
#29
Banni
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Quoting: NucksFanForLife
It doesn't. A trade involving Pesce would have to include McGinn or Foegele and maybe a pick if Dubas didn't pull the trigger.


I still don't like that overly much but that is more along the right lines. This whole post was created because I said Nylander is worth more than Pesce and people went nuts. Its hilarious.
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15 nov. 2018 à 16 h 52
#30
Banni
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Quoting: JayBeagleFanAccount
Not everything is about points. Pesce is a DFD, however his offense has been emerging more this season. I would say hes a low-end top pairing guy or a strong 2nd pair dman with potential to grow into a stand-out top pair dman. I don't think hes the best defenseman ever but I do think he is a very good defenseman. His contract is also a steal so that makes him more valuable.


2 goals 1 assist. Wow his offense is showing!

And because I am not an unreasonable person I will agree that its not all about points, however, a defensive defenceman doesn't ever earn as much as a scorer because they just aren't worth as much. Even if you flip this whole thing upside down my whole point stands strong.

Lets say Nylander was a 2 way defenceman who puts up 40+ points a year, is that worth more or less than a winger who scores 30-40 points but is really good defensively?

Of course not! Because offence is worth more than defence.
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15 nov. 2018 à 17 h 20
#31
Glep
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Quoting: LoganOllivier
That's a terrible trade! One has been in the top 20 of scoring for much of his career and the other is a very good defensive defenceman.

Explain to me this rational, because it is a complete mystery to me.

Kessel for Strahlman is the trade you just mentioned.

Kessel is a player who was given close to 8 million dollars because he was an elite offensive player.

Strahlman has never earned more than 5 I believe, because he's a defensive defenceman who is worth no more than 5 million.

Why would a GM pay a guy 8 million and then trade him for a 5 million dollar player only because he plays a different position? If they are equal, why did Strahlman never make remotely close to the money as Kessel?

Now before you get all hot under the collar and start making a new post to troll me, stop and just think about this for a second.

I'll draw this out using cars and trucks, they are both automobiles but have different purposes.

I have a Corvette and you have a Ford F150.

The Corvette is fast and offensively gifted and worth 6.5 million dollars.

The Ford F150 is big strong and great at defensive stuff and worth about 4 million dollars.

Lets say for whatever reason I am discussing trading my Corvette, why would I ever trade it for the truck straight up? They are not equal?

So tell me how it makes sense that Pesce is worth more than Nylander in a trade but less when it comes to how much he should be paid?


Look nylander for peace zykov and a 3rd
15 nov. 2018 à 17 h 26
#32
Banni
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Quoting: A_K
I don't like the money argument. Players get paid based on precedents that are defined in the market. The players that are paid the most aren't by definition the most valuable players. The main driver of salary happens to be point production, which obviously is going to be greater for a scoring winger than a defensive defenseman. No GM is going to pay a shut-down guy a boatload more than his peers. This is without mentioning the fact that some GMs are dumb when they sign guys... the money isn't a reliable way to compare IMO.

Now, none of that says that a guy like Pesce is as valuable as Nylander. In fact, when I looked up the Wins Above Replacement stats, Nylander is worth much more, if you believe in that sort of "one-size-fits-all" stat.


I completely understand that we can't use salary as the definitive gauge for determining a players value, but in this case we are talking about 2 specific players and can look around the league, other salaries and pretinent stats and then decide a ball park number at which these players would should be paid under a fair contract.

For these players I think it's fair to say Pesce at around 4 million is fair, Nylander at about 6.5 is fair. If that is the case which not one person has said otherwise, then the players just aren't equal. That's the whole point and I am still waiting to hear why that simple fact gets ignored completely. Instead of anyone answering that question, they instead make posts like this to paint me as a hopeless homer who think Connor Brown is worth PK Subban or whatever the stupid trades they made were.
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15 nov. 2018 à 17 h 28
#33
Banni
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Quoting: Hurricanes73
Look nylander for peace zykov and a 3rd


I don't think Zykov is enough at this point, not sure he's going to be anything more than a bottom 6 winger and that isn't a replacement for the offence that will be lost. It would be one thing if Pesce was a guy who scores even 30 points a season and has shown some offensive upside but he hasn't because he doesn't have any, which is fine, that isn't his game. For a team to trade a 22 year old offensive player with major upside you need more than a bottom 6 winger and a defensive defenceman. If you can't get it, which seems to be the case, then you just don't trade the player. Losing a trade because you feel you have to make it, is just poor management.
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15 nov. 2018 à 17 h 30
#34
Banni
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Quoting: Hurricanes73
Look nylander for peace zykov and a 3rd


On second thought and looking into Zykov some more, I am not high on him at all. He's 23 so he's not exactly a young up and coming prospect. He's just a throw in that doesn't really add much value. Its like the Leafs adding Engval to a trade, sure he's got some talent and looks like he could someday contribute a bit but he's just a depth guy that aren't that hard to find.
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15 nov. 2018 à 17 h 43
#35
Lets Go Blues
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Quoting: LoganOllivier
I completely understand that we can't use salary as the definitive gauge for determining a players value, but in this case we are talking about 2 specific players and can look around the league, other salaries and pretinent stats and then decide a ball park number at which these players would should be paid under a fair contract.

For these players I think it's fair to say Pesce at around 4 million is fair, Nylander at about 6.5 is fair. If that is the case which not one person has said otherwise, then the players just aren't equal. That's the whole point and I am still waiting to hear why that simple fact gets ignored completely. Instead of anyone answering that question, they instead make posts like this to paint me as a hopeless homer who think Connor Brown is worth PK Subban or whatever the stupid trades they made were.


My take? It's something like this...

Nylander's value in two scenarios:

1st Scenario: He signed in June for 7x7m, he plays on the top line with Auston Matthews and puts up 20 pts in the first 15 games of the season. He's hitting his prime, locked up long-term, and on one of the best lines in the NHL. The GM laughs when he gets calls about trade scenarios involving Nylander.

2nd Scenario: He refuses to sign a contract, stays in Europe when training camp starts, and is 2 weeks away from sitting out an entire season. He doesn't have a contract and the speculation is that he's going to demand a Draisaitl-esque salary from any team that is interested. The GM has reportedly begun listening to offers to see what a return would consist of.

It's the same player, but can you see how the offers that would come in from other GMs would be drastically different? It has nothing to do with his on-ice value, which is extremely high. You've been spending a lot of time trying to convince people that Nylander is elite. The fact is, it doesn't matter given the context. If he's getting traded, it's not going to be a situation where TOR gets the upper hand, especially if their demand is to get an impact player that holds the same amount of value (think Nylander scenario 1 here) to his own team.
15 nov. 2018 à 18 h 5
#36
Just Keep Swimming
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Quoting: ExpiredmilkYT
A Nylander for Pesce trade is like trading a young Kessel for a yound Stralman. Not good, but maybe decent.


Considering young Kessel was traded for Seguin, Hamilton, and Knight i'd say Boston did a lot better than Stralman.
Funny that, the Leafs also got hosed on the Stralman trade.
God I hate this team I love.
15 nov. 2018 à 18 h 42
#37
Analytics are good
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Quoting: Jamiepo
Hmmm.... sounds suspiciously like larsson...


Pesce is better than Larsson
15 nov. 2018 à 18 h 45
#38
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Quoting: JayBeagleFanAccount
Pesce is better than Larsson


In your opinion...
15 nov. 2018 à 19 h 0
#39
Formerly Jamiepo
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Quoting: csick
Except you cant compare. They are both judged differently. Pesce is an apple and Nylander is an orange. The apple are on sale for $4.5/kg while the oranges are pretty expensive and $7.5/kg. Mind you, for what im getting, id rather have the apples, they are more valuable.


A bag of oranges is worth more than an apple... you can confirm this at the grocery store...
15 nov. 2018 à 19 h 10
#40
Once a Kings Fan Too
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I find it sad that you and your friends think posts like this are insightful or convincing or funny . . .
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15 nov. 2018 à 20 h 25
#41
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Quoting: LoganOllivier
On second thought and looking into Zykov some more, I am not high on him at all. He's 23 so he's not exactly a young up and coming prospect. He's just a throw in that doesn't really add much value. Its like the Leafs adding Engval to a trade, sure he's got some talent and looks like he could someday contribute a bit but he's just a depth guy that aren't that hard to find.


Ahl leading goal scorer last year. Should be enough of an add in
15 nov. 2018 à 20 h 28
#42
Banni
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Quoting: A_K
My take? It's something like this...

Nylander's value in two scenarios:

1st Scenario: He signed in June for 7x7m, he plays on the top line with Auston Matthews and puts up 20 pts in the first 15 games of the season. He's hitting his prime, locked up long-term, and on one of the best lines in the NHL. The GM laughs when he gets calls about trade scenarios involving Nylander.

2nd Scenario: He refuses to sign a contract, stays in Europe when training camp starts, and is 2 weeks away from sitting out an entire season. He doesn't have a contract and the speculation is that he's going to demand a Draisaitl-esque salary from any team that is interested. The GM has reportedly begun listening to offers to see what a return would consist of.

It's the same player, but can you see how the offers that would come in from other GMs would be drastically different? It has nothing to do with his on-ice value, which is extremely high. You've been spending a lot of time trying to convince people that Nylander is elite. The fact is, it doesn't matter given the context. If he's getting traded, it's not going to be a situation where TOR gets the upper hand, especially if their demand is to get an impact player that holds the same amount of value (think Nylander scenario 1 here) to his own team.


In that case the prudent move is to just let him sit then. If you aren't getting his on ice value then your are losing the trade just because fans are antsy. I don't think people on here realize that I'm just saying not to trade him.
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15 nov. 2018 à 20 h 33
#43
Banni
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Quoting: Hurricanes73
Ahl leading goal scorer last year. Should be enough of an add in


And 3 assists in 17 games so far this year, he's 23 and looks like a career Ahler.
15 nov. 2018 à 21 h 1
#44
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Quoting: LoganOllivier
And 3 assists in 17 games so far this year, he's 23 and looks like a career Ahler.


On a 4th line that plays less than 9 minutes a game. He also plays with worse players. Put him on a line with goal scorers or play makers then he progresses
15 nov. 2018 à 21 h 10
#45
Banni
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Quoting: Hurricanes73
On a 4th line that plays less than 9 minutes a game. He also plays with worse players. Put him on a line with goal scorers or play makers then he progresses


Nylander scored in his first taste in the NHL and he literally had no one to play with because that was the year the Leafs bottomed out. Zykov may amount to something sometime but he's 23 and not much of a prospect at this point. Seems like a project and one I doubt TO cares to put time into.
15 nov. 2018 à 23 h 42
#46
Banni
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Quoting: JayBeagleFanAccount
Pesce is better than Larsson


There is very little evidence that they are anything but comparable players. Both very good defensively, strong skaters and positionally sound. Also not much in the way of offense. You're arguing over which one is better at blocking shots, which players that don't have the puck tend to do more.
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16 nov. 2018 à 8 h 55
#47
Analytics are good
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Quoting: LoganOllivier
There is very little evidence that they are anything but comparable players. Both very good defensively, strong skaters and positionally sound. Also not much in the way of offense. You're arguing over which one is better at blocking shots, which players that don't have the puck tend to do more.


Quoting: Jamiepo
In your opinion...


He is a lot better

https://public.tableau.com/shared/J2JH54D55?:display_count=yes
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16 nov. 2018 à 9 h 7
#48
Démarrer sujet
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Quoting: JayBeagleFanAccount


Good job JayBeagle!! But when you're a TML fan, You are only the ONE to know the truth!!! Look at JamiePO and LoganOllivier destry your tool!!
16 nov. 2018 à 9 h 10
#49
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16 nov. 2018 à 9 h 23
#50
Banni
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Quoting: JayBeagleFanAccount


Edmonton was so bad last year that will affect Larsson's stats. The point though still stands. Pesce is a defensive defenseman. Those are not worth more than offensive players. And the fact that TO's defence is playing a lot better than Carolina's while Carolina is having trouble scoring further compounds this narrative.
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