Ottawa Senators 2022-23

Overpayment

Ya I tend to agree, but on here I air on the side of over payment...lol. Any ideas what it would take???

To me, Grieg is a blue chip prospect. I honestly think he'll be one of those guys next year that really surprises Ottawa and the league out of nowhere. Even in his preseason this year, even though it was preseason, he impressed me. Despite his suspension... Kids got talent and grit. He's a real S***disturber that can score to make you feel worse.

Honestly, to nab Konecny would be steep. Guy is young and has a decent amount of contract left. Has speed, decent finish and a little nastiness to him (I remember watching him as 67). It would have to involve both 2nds this year if not a mid round 1st equivalent. Connor Brown would be a place to start but Philly would have no interest as they are headed in a different direction. Maybe include Bran and another prospect like Sokolov. It'd be steep, but its an immediate improvement on the RW side.

Either that, or don't trade anybody and go after Giroux in UFA.

"I have been hearing... I don't know why they'd trade their best player"

Anytime you hear something weird like that, a player under performing or some random guy overperforming look at 3 numbers. 9 times out of 10 it will answer the question for you.

Shooting %
On ice shooting %
On ice save %

These 3 numbers have been proven to basically amount to luck by current AGM of the Huricanes Eric Tulsky. If they are particularly high or low (especially compared to the players career average) it will tell you where most of the narratives around the nhl come from. Not all, but it is the first place to start.
Hockey reference has all 3 In easily accessible spots.

Anyway TK is currently:
S%: way down from career average (7% from 11%)
OISP: slightly down from average (8.9% from 9.5%)
OISV: getting .883 goaltending when he is on the ice

Which is to say he has been very unlucky this year and it can cause an eye test to mess up because of it.
So anyway he is a great buy low candidate.

Edit: I should add that these numbers are not for evaluation. Being particularly high or low even as average for a career doesn't mean too much. As such they shouldn't be used for that, what they are extremely useful for is narrative busting. Anytime you hear so and so sucks this year and you know that player is usually good, check these numbers. Anytime you hear a random guy is having a crazy year, check these numbers. 9/10 it will show exactly what everyone is yelling about and it often has nothing to actually do with that player.