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phillyjabroni
Membre depuis
8 mars 2017
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Flyers de Philadelphie
Messages dans les forums
10392
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3.9
MESSAGES
SUJETS
MENTIONS "J'AIME"
ÉQUIPES VIA FAUTEUIL-DG
Forum:
Armchair-GM
8 sept. 2023 à 14 h 59
Sujet:
Hart to Vegas
Vegas isn’t doing that…hill and Thompson are the pairing. For a whopping 5.5 million together. We’ll ride with that
Forum:
NHL Signings
22 août 2023 à 9 h 46
Sujet:
Tampa Bay Lightning signed Brandon Hagel (8 Years / $6,500,000 AAV)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BeterChiarelli</b></div><div>The cap must be going up in leaps and bounds over the next decade because holy smokes that's an expensive third liner</div></div>
Hagel is not a third liner. He spent most of the year on the top line and in the playoffs his line was our best line, whether you call it a 2nd line or not. He had 30 goals and 64 points last year.
Forum:
NHL Trades
9 juill. 2023 à 20 h 29
Sujet:
(OTT/DET) - DeBrincat for Kubalik, Sebrango, 2024 4th (DET), 2024 1st (DET)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CoraStorm</b></div><div>Salvage a disaster. The problem existed when you traded, got him, and didn't want to make him key component - you gave monies to Giroux and Stutzle. Shame on you. You want me to be happy because your division competitors dictate whether you can have Boston's 25 first round pick or Detroit's 2024 and your competitor who's trying for the same playoff spots get to decide.??? What a Joke.</div></div>
You absolutely give your money to Stutzle before Cat.
Forum:
NHL Signings
28 juin 2023 à 17 h 26
Sujet:
Vegas Golden Knights signed Ivan Barbashev (5 Years / $5,000,000 AAV)
Player card sheep are voting no
Forum:
NHL Trades
27 juin 2023 à 13 h 53
Sujet:
(PHI/STL) - Hayes for 2024 6th (STL)
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>jpsnow13</b></div><div>Paying a player $8.5M to play somewhere else.
I just don't get it. Why are teams paying soo much to get rid of salary when the UFA market has nothing to offer?
The best guess I have is plain thanking.</div></div>
Google sunk cost fallacy.
They aren't paying a player to play somewhere else. They are creating usable cap space, which is an asset.
The 10M+ in cap space Briere created is more valuable than Hayes. Hayes was a sunk cost because no one was going to take him on his contract. A buyout would clear less money than this trade, and it would be spread over 6 years, not 3.
There are lots of smart hockey people on this website, but I am always amazed that great cap related moves like this that are really easy to understand the motivation behind seem to fly over the heads of so many posters on a website dedicated to the salary cap. If this was Reddit or HFboards or something, like whatever that's a general hockey forum I don't expect everybody to be nutty about how the cap works over there.
I cannot get over the absurdity of people calling out Briere for creating a ton of cap space for a player there was no market for without giving up any assets. The Flyers get no value out of Hayes playing for them, and at his age and size he is at a high risk of declining. Arizona has dropped out as a cap dumping ground, the cap did not go up, there are going to be opportunities to turn that 3.5M into multiple 2nd or 3rd round picks via taking on bad contracts. Chicago just got a 2nd+4th for taking on Zaitsev at the deadline and he only had 1 year of term remaining at 4.5M, among numerous other examples.
They have a reasonable chance of parlaying this cap space into multiple draft picks. It isn't guaranteed, but it is a reasonable outcome based on how frequently teams have paid 2nd or 3rd round picks to dump contracts in the 3.5M range with limited term. If the title of this thread was Hayes for 2nd+2nd+6th, people would be calling Briere a genius. Well, that's what he will likely end up with, maybe even more.
This is an excellent trade by Briere. The market for dumping these contracts is going to close quickly as teams use their available cap space. He did a great job to capitalize on the bad FA market and create cap flexibility that can be used to acquire further assets.
Forum:
NHL Trades
27 juin 2023 à 13 h 51
Sujet:
(PHI/STL) - Hayes for 2024 6th (STL)
For the Blues: Actually I think I really like it. Hayes and Schenn can rotate in the 2C / 3C spots depending on who's playing better/chemistry at any given point in time. It's like signing him to a 3 year deal at $3.5 AAV, which I would do all day every day.
For the Flyers: They're rebuilding, it didn't matter if it was a "loss" trade. They gained: (1) cap flexibility for other moves or salary retentions that could return them even MORE draft/prospect capital, (2) a 6th round draft pick. It is a massive return? No. Did Briere at least get SOMETHING? Yes he did. There's one more asset in the rebuild pipeline for a player who was not part of the future. It's SOMEthing; and infinitely better than a buyout.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
27 juin 2023 à 13 h 39
Sujet:
Fair Value Scenarios
Re: Hayes, you are one of the few here on CF to understand the personal dynamics of the team. As an Avs fan, I had no idea Torts didn't like Hayes, scratched him, and cut his minutes. You basically called the trade value, although thank Barry Trotz's Johansen deal for lowering it slightly, lol.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
26 juin 2023 à 12 h 44
Sujet:
Time to rebuild
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Aebexz</b></div><div>Down year this past season but was one of the best defenders in the league up until that. If you don’t believe me look up his analytical numbers(search Sanheim JFresh).</div></div>
He has 6 inches in Grizz, but only 5lbs. They put up similar offensive numbers and hits. Sanheim blocks more shots. Grizz is elite 5x5.
He’s barely an upgrade over Grizz, at twice the cost.
Cap alone makes it a non starter. Paying 3 times what he is worth puts it over the top.
Forum:
GM Game 2019-20
26 juin 2023 à 8 h 49
Sujet:
2023 GM Game Entry Draft
:lightning
197 - Francesco Dell’Elce
Forum:
GM Game 2019-20
25 juin 2023 à 20 h 51
Sujet:
2023 GM Game Entry Draft
:oilers
#187 Tommaso De Luca
Forum:
Armchair-GM
24 juin 2023 à 22 h 24
Sujet:
Krug back to STL
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>HatterTParty</b></div><div>Genuine question: is this not illegal now? If not, go for it!</div></div>
Yeah it's illegal per the new CBA,
Forum:
GM Game 2019-20
24 juin 2023 à 17 h 59
Sujet:
2023 GM Game Entry Draft
:ducks
127oa - Zachary Nehring
Forum:
GM Game 2019-20
24 juin 2023 à 17 h 16
Sujet:
2023 GM Game Entry Draft
:lightning
123 - Albert Wikman
Forum:
GM Game 2019-20
23 juin 2023 à 14 h 18
Sujet:
2023 GM Game Entry Draft
:flyers
83 - Martin Misiak
Forum:
Armchair-GM
22 juin 2023 à 15 h 23
Sujet:
Briere Turned This Down
This is pretty much the complete opposite of anything that Doug Armstrong said in his press conference yesterday. Frank's drawing up some clicks.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
22 juin 2023 à 11 h 56
Sujet:
Canes v4
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>phillyjabroni</b></div><div>Interesting take for the Seeler trade, could honestly drop the 7th and just have 1 for 1. I'll start doing that trade in any ACGM I make from now on</div></div>
Yeah idk why I included the 7th, pretty irrelevant value either way. Drury probably gets a late second or early third so thought that value was fairly close on Seeler.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
22 juin 2023 à 10 h 34
Sujet:
Move a few guys
I hear your they can get more for these players at the deadline thing but Laughton and TK both have years left on their deals. They’re giving up two of their better assets that they aren’t shopping but are willing to listen on in this scenario. Every team would know that Willy isn’t going to stay in Philly so they’d have the edge in a trade. While they are getting the best player in the deal it just doesn’t make sense
Forum:
Armchair-GM
21 juin 2023 à 9 h 13
Sujet:
One major change
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Hammerwise</b></div><div>Somewhat agree. Nylander with 1 year left has better value than this package, but I prosposed it because:
BUF has Thompson, Cozens at 1C and 2C with youngster Krebs able to take 3C, Mittelstadt is 25, coming off a 40pt campaign and can play C or LW. Greenway is given a final chance to get back to using his size and strength and his 10-20 goal capability and could be a nice 30+ pt 3rd liner if robertson or hirvonen cant step up and Jokiharju could be a quality top 4 guy with a stay at home LD and is an upgrade on timmins. Its 3 young-ish guys who could make a deeper TOR team, give them more youth and a quality pick and cap space.
Is Nylander worth more individually, sure...but to who?
For BUF this gives them the best playmaking winger theyve had for years, they have the cap space to resign and the guys they are dealing are coming from depth they possess.
And with 2mil in cap space and 22 skaters, if Brink or Robertson aren;t ready, TOR could easily take a Hoffman at 50% retention for free, or a UFA like JVR for 3mil</div></div>
Sure Sabres have Thompson and Cozens at 1C and 2C sure, but you’re really underselling Mitts. mitts is a very solid utility to forward that can flex around the lineup due to injuries. He had a 59 point season last year (not 40 like you said), and trended up throughout the year (point per game after the all star break). Joki as you said has potential to be a solid second pairing guy. Granato really likes Greenway and thinks he can make him into a good player. The Sabres are not giving all that up for one year of Nylander. And signing Nylander long term doesn’t make much sense with Dahlin and Power’s new deals next year and guys like JJP, Quinn, Levi etc needing deals the year after.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
21 juin 2023 à 21 h 56
Sujet:
Nylander for Mercer
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>RipNasty</b></div><div>Well they get the better player. Whether they would want to add Nylander's cap is a different story. I suppose it would have to depend on when the trade was made as well. Is this a deadline rental? From the objective point of the proposed trade, New Jersey gets the better player. It's not really a move I see making the most sense.</div></div>
They do but I also think they’re going to value the team and cost control especially with where their team is at. Nylander is undoubtedly better today but Mercer is already a good player so you’re not getting exponential value when you factor in cap hit and contract situations.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
21 juin 2023 à 20 h 52
Sujet:
Lots of rumors
Bruins have refused to include Lysell & Lohrei in deals for guys like Horvat & Chychrun, but they'll trade both for Laughton & Seeler :huh
Forum:
Armchair-GM
21 juin 2023 à 15 h 2
Sujet:
Try to be realistic
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>phillyjabroni</b></div><div>I think it's probably fair value, just don't see PHI taking on Murray's contract for just Abruzzese. Imagine PHI would rather hold onto Laughton since they can use that 4.6M opportunity elsewhere</div></div>
Yea thats fine, can remove the murray aspect of the deal and move him/burry him and change the team just slightly up.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
21 juin 2023 à 6 h 44
Sujet:
New Identity
Someone may have interest in Konecny but it isn’t the Hawks and it ain’t near that price.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
20 juin 2023 à 17 h 49
Sujet:
Fair Value Scenarios
I can't see the Avs turning this offer down. I am an Ambrosio fan so I would dislike to see him go but it's part of the business.
*As always, I do not think Hayes is a fit* lol
Forum:
Armchair-GM
20 juin 2023 à 17 h 47
Sujet:
Fair Value Scenarios
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>phillyjabroni</b></div><div>what was the presser about?</div></div>
Steve basically said he's keeping his picks and drafting and developing. I recapped below, check it out. It's unfortunate a little cause I'd love TK for that price.
https://www.capfriendly.com/armchair-gm/team/4304153
Forum:
Armchair-GM
18 juin 2023 à 20 h 50
Sujet:
Laughton TK Hayes Tony D
Ummm... There's probably a timeline where the Blues consider this, but it all depends on what else they can do before the draft and how the picks unfold. As of right now, it would likely be a pass.
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