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Roviet_Sussia
Roviet_Sussia
Membre depuis
14 avr. 2019
Équipe favorite
Blackhawks de Chicago
Deuxième équipe favorite
Blue Jackets de Columbus
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MESSAGES
SUJETS
MENTIONS "J'AIME"
ÉQUIPES VIA FAUTEUIL-DG
Forum:
Armchair-GM
13 avr. 2020 à 22 h 52
Sujet:
CBJ - Quinn
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Bdawwwgy1</b></div><div>I think I'd like a trade based around Strome/Anderson but man I dont wanna give up Marchenko. I wish we had a more stacked prospect pool make this work</div></div>
I wouldn't want to forfeit the potential chemistry between him and Voronkov, but you have to give to get. Strome's still pretty young and I think he'd be great with someone like Cam, Bemstrom, or Bjorkstrand.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
11 avr. 2020 à 17 h 51
Sujet:
Tatar
I'm a big Tatar fan, but CBJ should <em>really</em> hold on to that pick.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
11 avr. 2020 à 13 h 56
Sujet:
Mitchell is confirmed now what
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>ChiHawk</b></div><div>Not sure given they just signed Teply and have Kurashev waiting in the wings also and then the wildcard of Hagel. Highmore is a 4th liner so a different type of player. Barratt is going to need some time in the AHL, he's not ready but fully expect him to take over for Kampf in the next 2 years.</div></div>
It doesn't hurt to have more forward depth. Suter is only 23 and would be expected to make an instant impact. I'd rate him higher than any prospect you mentioned, and I'd take him over Galchenyuk or Kapanen.
I argee with Barratt needing time in the AHL though; his game speed needs to improve before playing NHL minutes.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
11 avr. 2020 à 13 h 48
Sujet:
Mitchell is confirmed now what
I still think that CHI is going to sign Pius Suter, who can play any forward position. He had more goals/points than Kubalik in the same league this year. Additionally, Barratt has a chance to make the roster out of camp if he impresses enough, meaning Kampf/Highmore would be regular scratches.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 avr. 2020 à 9 h 19
Sujet:
EDM - NYR
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>exo2769</b></div><div>I think Dmitri is a nice prospect, but you don't trade away #2C RFA rights for a guy with zero NHL games unless it's a lock of a prospect. On THIS post. Why don't you keep Strome and move Lias to #2LW and Debrincat next to Strome? Make both of those guys happy and that 3rd line is instantly better.
Also, I've seen you sign Pius on a couple posts. Do you have any sources that link him to the Hawks? Other than look at how well we treat our other imports and how much money they made after signing with us?</div></div>
He's the top Euro FA on the market; there's been multiple interviews with McDonough and Bowman pointing to Europe as a pool they're going to continue looking into. Couple that with the track record of CHI and their success with Kubalik (another Swiss leaguer), they probably have the best odds to land him. TOR is another destination, but they're pretty stacked forward (and cap) wise.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 avr. 2020 à 8 h 49
Sujet:
EDM - NYR
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Torontoleafs15</b></div><div>Everything here looks good but I think you should get more for Strome. Especially since every team wants him</div></div>
Yeah, ideally it'd be Samorukov + 2020 2nd rounder; I just remembered that EDM has a condition on their 2020 3rd rounder too, so that might not even be available. In that case, I'd look at a Broberg-Strome swap (which I don't think EDM would be as willing).
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 avr. 2020 à 22 h 58
Sujet:
Other side of the Strome deal
Lines are whack, but the trade doesn't seem terrible. Considering where CHI are right now as a franchise, I don't think they keep going for these "gamble" trades. They're going to lose eventually (arguable already have with Nylander) and they haven't come out as a better team because of it.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 avr. 2020 à 21 h 43
Sujet:
Where did all these Strome trades come from
Elliotte Friedman said on a radio/talk show that Strome "is available" and the "cost isn't prohibitive."
Everyone has taken that last quote and assumed that CHI is giving away Strome, hence all the low-ball offers.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 avr. 2020 à 21 h 38
Sujet:
Back to the Well
Looking at the state of the franchise, they're going to eventually run out of time to pull off these "like-for-like" trades (Strome/Schmaltz, Jokiharju/Nylander) when Kane and Toews go under. These moves have been lateral (as expected), with CHI not gaining much ground in the standings from season to season. If they end up trading Strome, I hope that it's a one-for-one deal with a proven NHLer that still has more than half the tank full (in terms of "prime years").
The Brodin trade proposal that has been going around makes the most sense for both teams, as long as CHI feel the incoming additions (Mitchell, Barratt, Euro/FAs) and retentions (Kubalik, Caggiula) are good enough to build upon. More defensive logjams issues would arise, but they're going to have that issue as long as their defense is league-worst.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
6 avr. 2020 à 10 h 10
Sujet:
CHI fans - is this a thing
Probably not.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
5 avr. 2020 à 0 h 47
Sujet:
Am I stupid DeBrincat and Strome
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ajp_18</b></div><div>To answer yes you’re stupid. No chance either team makes that trade. Chicago will keep cat and Strome and Columbus isn't trading Peeke, or Foudy. We need centers not a wing who needs to be carried by Kane to be effective. Also Columbus has no one on their roster close to the skill level of Kane.</div></div>
DeBrincat and Strome are pretty good when they don't play with Kane; they were on a line with Carpenter (normally 4th-line center) earlier this season and put up a better xG% than when playing with Kane. But like you said, I don't think either team makes this trade.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
17 mars 2020 à 16 h 19
Sujet:
Spitballing
I'd say you're way off on both what other teams need and for what value.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 mars 2020 à 12 h 7
Sujet:
A future team of this would be amazing
I'd opt to keep Strome, since Colliton finally decided to play him at center again. In regards to the Saad trade, I'd say throw in a decent roster player from NYR or a 2nd round pick, but I don't think NYR would be too thrilled with that proposition.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
13 mars 2020 à 19 h 18
Sujet:
Chicago fans
Considering how well the Nylander - Strome - Kane had been performing, I think CHI is probably more hesitant about trading both Strome AND Nylander; the trade makes sense though in terms of both teams' needs.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
10 mars 2020 à 0 h 2
Sujet:
Can they keep Lehner
As much as that would be ideal for VGK, that's exactly why he <em>didn't</em> want to sign with CHI. He wants the term, and most teams are going to wait for him to hit free agency rather than trade for Fleury.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
1 mars 2020 à 18 h 5
Sujet:
MillerLehnerKapanen
If I see another Kapanen/Johnsson-Murphy trade...
Forum:
Armchair-GM
26 févr. 2020 à 22 h 51
Sujet:
Offseason Plan A
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>BLIvingston33</b></div><div>I think the bigger issue is the Hawks just match it more than a guy not signing it</div></div>
It would handcuff them with re-signing other RFA/UFAs. After trading Lehner because he asked for too much term, I doubt Bowman would be interested in matching anything over two years.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
26 févr. 2020 à 21 h 51
Sujet:
Offseason Plan A
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Paul13</b></div><div>Well if you won't my next proposal is to offersheet him high enough where the Blackhawks can't match</div></div>
Yeah, but Strome has to want to sign it. Unless you're throwing an albatross-type contract at him, he'd likely turn you down. Trade is the ideal route if you want Strome, hence this being Plan A
Forum:
Chicago Blackhawks
26 févr. 2020 à 9 h 28
Sujet:
Some Thoughts
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>battadan</b></div><div>really well written. i agree with most of what you say. for the sake of argument i have a few point of views we can go back and forth with:
1. trades in off season:
of player under contract, and contributes, who do you think is moved. its safe to think at lease one will be traded of significance. here are my choices:
a) nylander- please i do not like him at all
b) strome- i think his rights will be traded. i dont think he is worth it to keep around
c) Keith- this is a long shot, but for a team that needs a steady dman, and 5.5mil is not a lot. i think a team in win now mode would consider this. he would get a good return as well i believe.
d) would get the best return, but not sure what it wouuld look like.
2. signings
like most think crow will be brought back, and i dont mind that, i dont think many of us have playoff hopes next year. chance of signing Lehner less than 5%? here are a few i would want signed:
a)Barrie- i think any signings will be on D. he could be signed pennys on the dollar, and i think in a more sheltered position he could get back to a productive dman.
b)DeMelo- same as above, watch him a lot, and am confident in him
c) Haula- like him a lot. big strong guy.
3. Draft
assuming chicago picks in the top 8. does anyone know how many of the top 8-10 prospects are considered NHL ready for next year? not many had dach as ready, so assuming anyone chicago picks will probably be in the lineup. also any goalies that will be projected to be taken in top 15? i think they will go for a forward.
i dont see them making big waves next year. just ride it out, sell at deadline, and hope these young guys are ready for 2022.</div></div>
ON TRADES:
- I've not completely jumped ship on Nylander, mainly because he hasn't had an opportunity to play higher in the lineup since the beginning of the year. He's improved <em>considerably</em> and is one of the best players in the NHL at gaining possession through controlled entries (much like Kane). He's been working hard every game and I want to see him rewarded with a spot on the 2nd/3rd line.
- I understand where wanting to trade Strome comes from, but it's not explicitly because of him. Colliton has opted to play him in the RW slot since the start of the year, where he's struggled mightily. Wingers rely on speed down the boards and quick-transition plays to generate offense. Strome isn't fast, and doesn't have the edgework to evade defensemen protecting the blueline. If Strome were to be played as a center again, he wouldn't be relying on his speed, and he would be able to trail the rush and make plays from behind. Strome's only a point-per-game player when he's at center, so he needs to be there.
- I do, however, agree with moving Keith. Dom Luszczyszyn has created a wonderful player-rating tool for the Athletic, and Keith is the only player on CHI's backend that is currently playing below replacement level (not good). I think part of that negative rating is due to the crazy amount of minutes he's playing at his age, but you can't ignore the fact that every pair he's on struggles. I'd love to see his role diminished on the team when Mitchell steps in this coming season, but I don't think Colliton/the organization have the balls to do that. As such, a trade would make more sense (especially to FLA).
ON SIGNINGS:
- Considering that Bowman was non-committal to signing Lehner, I have a feeling that both Seabrook and Shaw will be expected back next year. Considering they're going to have to extend top-line forwards Kubalik, Strome and Caggiula as well, it's looking like they'll have no room for any signings next year. Even when they buy-out Smith and Maatta, the cap is still extremely tight. If the proposed Keith trade goes through, they could free up some space there. The only problem is that CHI would likely have to take back some type of contract with term, eliminating a portion of the cap space that they just gained.
- If they do find a way to make space for a signing, I like the idea of Barrie as well. With his up and down season in TOR, we should be able to get him on a one-year "prove it" deal that Bowman would like because of the term. Barrie would help with the defensive issues of exiting the zone with possession and potentially provide some extra scoring pop on the blueline.
ON THE DRAFT:
- I would say Lafreniere and Byfield are both NHL-ready, both in terms of physique and skill. Everyone else in the top-16 are likely a year away from the NHL, barring any of them go to college (in which case it's likely two years). Under the circumstance that any of those other 14 prospects have outstanding training camps, there's a chance they could be an immediate impact player; it's still not likely though.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
26 févr. 2020 à 8 h 1
Sujet:
Would Lehner be possible
For an extra million (and a half), probably.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
25 févr. 2020 à 12 h 14
Sujet:
draft trade with CHI
If NYI misses the play-offs, maybe.
Forum:
Chicago Blackhawks
24 févr. 2020 à 20 h 9
Sujet:
Some Thoughts
NOTE: I don't expect many to read this wall of text, but I'd like to have discussion(s) in the replies if anyone feels like saying anything.
=====================[DEADLINE]=====================
Firstly, it's disappointing that it took both Lehner and Gustafsson to recoup the draft picks coughed up in the Shaw trade. Bowman tried to inflate his leverage and everyone called his bluff. Despite that, if the Lehner contract talks already broke down and Bowman was bullish on a sub two-year deal, then Lehner had to be dealt. It had to happen.
=====================[PRESENT]=====================
With that out of the way, there's a few things that CHI need to focus on right now:
- Lock up Kubalik, so that there's something to be optimistic about.
- Get Strome back in the center position. He's absolutely dreadful at wing and is losing confidence every game.
- Continue to give Carlsson an extended look in the NHL. He was considered more NHL-ready for this season than Boqvist. Talent evaluators like Scott Wheeler and Corey Pronman both shared this sentiment.
=====================[FUTURE]=====================
Some more long-term ideas that this franchise has to be thinking about:
- FINAL EVALUATIONS OF COLLITON. He's failed to motivate the team when it matters most. He never seems to have concrete answers to recurring problems. I expect inconsistencies with a younger coach like Colliton, but I don't really need to elaborate on why he's not the best option. You have multiple NHL-caliber coaches waiting to be employed. Since he was one of Bowman's appointments, I can see him being demoted to the hockey operations staff to be passively involved with the team. That would allow him to learn from whoever would replace him, and CHI could revisit his role as a coach in the distant future.
- THE DRAFT; there's another chance at winning the lottery. Worst-case scenario and CHI have a top-16 pick. Some of my personal favorite prospects that I'd recommend looking into and watching some montages on:
> Lucas Raymond (LW): possesses a combination of skill, vision, and IQ that nobody else can match in this draft. Competes hard in a same frame; expected to go anywhere from 3-10.
> Tim Stutzle (LW): best forward skater in the draft that is involved everywhere on the ice. Ability to make high-end plays and finish; expected to go anywhere from 3-10.
> Jamie Drysdale (D): one of the best skaters in the draft and defends well due to his speed and gap. Can create with speed and vision; expected to go anywhere from 5-12.
> Anton Lundell (C): similar to Dach as a big, playmaking center who's effective and efficient. Good control in-tight and draws in defenders; expected to go anywhere from 9-16.
- THE OFF-SEASON. After seeing the single-season resurgence NYR are having, Bowman & co. have to be considering a multi-year rebuild. Kane and Toews could be Kreider and Zibanejad; Seabrook/Keith would be similar to Staal/Shattenkirk. A full-out rebuild is also a point that Scott Powers has alluded to recently, emphasizing McDonough's newfound focus on the future.
- THE PROSPECTS. Mitchell and Barratt are likely due to enter the fray at the end of this current season, with Mitchell being considered a lock on the backend next year. Even though he's not much of a prospect anymore, Maxim Shalunov is expected to come from overseas. Delia or Lankinen are likely to get their first true chance in the NHL. Kurashev and Entwhistle are potential break-out candidates if they have stellar prospect/training camps. In the grand scheme of things, these guys aren't necessarily season-changers alone, but they'll definitely provide a boost to a roster that looks lame and unmotivated.
=====================[STATS]=====================
Finally, I want to look at some statistical differences between this year's roster and last year's to see if there was any real improvement (there wasn't). All figures can be viewed from Natural Stat Trick.
- 2018/19 xGF%: 45.80
- 2019/20 xGF%: 46.41
- An improvement, but a marginal one. A whole percentage point is nothing to scoff at when talking in terms of expected goals, but when CHI is league-bottom in xGA%, that's just not a substantial improvement.
- 2018/19 CF%: 49.34
- 2019/20 CF%: 48.30
- Opposite to that of xGF%, CHI had a marginal decrease in shot-attempt difference. The main reason for that change was a failure of defensemen not being able to hold their own blueline when the opposition tried to enter the zone (more so than last season).
- 2018/19 Points%: 0.512
- 2018/19 Points%: 0.500
- With one of the best goal tandems in the league (who are more likely to save you points than a single defenseman), CHI managed to average less points per game than last year. I will note that this number could go up in the remaining regular season games, but it's just as likely to go down.
Looking through a statistical lens, this is a bona fide bottom-dweller team. McDonough and Bowman would be correct in feeling a long-term rebuild is a solution to these issues. In the past off-season, they tried getting better now and it didn't work (it actually made them slightly worse).
Forum:
Armchair-GM
24 févr. 2020 à 16 h 8
Sujet:
Thank you CHI
Just win the cup, for his sake. Didn't really deserve him to begin with.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
24 févr. 2020 à 12 h 18
Sujet:
Big Thinks
Meet somewhere in the middle with Lehner over the summer.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
24 févr. 2020 à 12 h 9
Sujet:
We are seriously standing pat again
All you can hope for is a busier summer.
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