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JeffGorton
Jeff Gorton
Membre depuis
28 oct. 2020
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Canadiens de Montréal
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Forum:
Armchair-GM
24 mars à 16 h 46
Sujet:
Moving up to 1st overall
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Letsgosharks</b></div><div>This will never happen, if Grier is even rumored to sell a 1OA pick, I will make it my life's work to take his job</div></div>
Celebrini is good but he isnt a franchise level player. Theyd actually be better off trading it and getting 4-5 extra assets (and still drafting an elite player in Catton or Parekh) and then getting another elite forward in 2025 and 2026. Theres a lack of Dmen in the next 2 drafts. This is the draft to get an very elite one (theres like 4 elite Dmen in this draft, compared to like 2 in 2025 and 2-026 combined)
Forum:
Armchair-GM
24 mars à 16 h 44
Sujet:
Moving up to 1st overall
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SlickWilly</b></div><div>I guess it really depends on what's gonna happen with that Calgary pick. My favorite pick value tool is puckpedia, and according to them, a fair trade up from 5 to 1 would be something like
SJ Sharks receive : 2024 5th overall, 2024 6th overall, 2024 58th overall
MTL receives : 2024 1st overall
If you think whoever holds the 6th overall pick would accept Barron, Xhekaj squared, and calgary's 2025 1st rounder for it, then its probably of fair value. I think the Sharks in this specific instance would probably prefer more quality over quantity, especially if youre trading the 1st overall pick</div></div>
Those pick value charts always take the average value of the pick. No context between how strong a draft is. Reality is, the difference between Celebrini and Parekh for example is much smaller than traditional difference between 1st overall and 5th. These charts also dont take into consideration the potential of a player during the draft discussions. They just take the data the how many NHL players come from this pick and create a value for it. In you draft in the top 10, you arent drafting for just a bog standard NHL player, you are drafting who you believe will be the best NHL player and for many teams, based on the positions of need. Those values arent taken into consideration when calculating a picks value.
An example of the pick chart not working is the Sharks making a trade with the Yotes in 2022. The trade was 27, 34,and 45 for 11. Sharks ended up getting essentially a late 2nd in extra value but got smoked in the trade because they couldve had Denton Mateychuk, Rutger McGroarty or Jonathan Lekkerimaki with that pick instead of the bums they drafted. The pick chart would say the Sharks won that trade. Everyone else says they lost it very badly.
This trade i proposed gives the sharks 4 things
a top 5 pick to draft a forward of slightly lesser value (Catton over Celebrini isnt that large of a gap) or a Dman like Parekh
a #4/#5 D man right now (Xhekaj has been on the 2nd pair for months now and is actually succeeding there with Savard)
A former 1st rounder with NHL experience in Barron
And a late 1st the next year
The Sharks have 1 future D man on their roster in Shakir Mukhamadullin. Theyll be garbage next year as well giving them another top 5 pick. (There is 1 Dman projected to go top 10 next year and the drop off for Dmen after Hensler is crazy).
Celebrini isnt a franchise changing player. Hes amazing but the gap in potential between him and Parekh is much smaller than then gap between a top 5 forward in 2025 and a Dman in 2025. Argubaly, there are 2 players just as good as him in Hagens and Martone. Add in Misa, Frondell, McQueen and Ryabkin, youve got 6 elite forwards
Forum:
Armchair-GM
24 mars à 16 h 21
Sujet:
Moving up to 1st overall
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>dgibb10</b></div><div>Yeah that is not nearly enough to get celebrini.</div></div>
Arent you one of the folks that said Monahan wasnt getting a 1st? You dont seem to learn that you have no idea about value or simply ignore all context with trades. Its time NHL fans sat down and listened to Habs fans who have been proven right more often than wrong
Forum:
Armchair-GM
22 mars à 22 h 21
Sujet:
minor deal
Id rather just sign Luke Tuch.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
22 mars à 22 h 20
Sujet:
2024 starting to aim Playoffs
thank you for this kind offer for Dvorak
Forum:
Armchair-GM
22 mars à 12 h 21
Sujet:
Sens need to blow it up
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>LetsGoBlues18</b></div><div>Blues are not throwing away their entire pipeline for a win now player, our contention window is in 3-4 years. No reason to speed it up</div></div>
Hes 24. In what way is he a win now player?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
21 mars à 13 h 35
Sujet:
Big offseason
Kings would have to take Anderson back and retain 2m
Forum:
Armchair-GM
20 mars à 20 h 9
Sujet:
Trade that def wont happen
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>mv21227</b></div><div>Arizona already has so many picks. Doesn’t make sense for them to trade a top 5-10 pick for 2 late 1sts, a bottom pair dman, and a decent but not great prospect. They don’t need quantity
Would you accept this offer for Montreal’s 1st round pick if another team offered it to you?</div></div>
Habs dont need a LHD so no. ARI needs everything. And saying Xhekaj in a bottom pair d is disingenuous as hes better than what Romanov was when he was dealt for 13th overall
Forum:
Armchair-GM
20 mars à 1 h 37
Sujet:
Trade that def wont happen
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>AntiAnalytics</b></div><div>If u know it won’t happen,
then what’s the point of posting it ?</div></div>
did i wake up in occupied north korea?
Forum:
Armchair-GM
19 mars à 13 h 7
Sujet:
Wadejos123s Interesting Proposal
Demidov is probably still there at 3. We'd have another Michkov incident if they didnt pick the obvious BPA because hes russian
Forum:
Armchair-GM
19 mars à 10 h 47
Sujet:
Trade down from 3 OA
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Habs_22_14_20</b></div><div>MTL would definitely select Cayden Lindstrom and yes, I would trade 6th + WPG Jets 1st to move up to 3rd OA
OTT 3rd round pick should be going to MTL tho</div></div>
Lindstrom over Demidov is another Reinbacher over Michkov. They cannot be that stupid again
Forum:
Armchair-GM
18 mars à 15 h 8
Sujet:
Positive offseason
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Windjammer</b></div><div>This is the only year in Matheson's career that he's been near 50 points, so it isn't a regular occurrence for him. He also not going to get PP1 and top pairing time in Winnipeg like he does in Montreal, so he'll most likely revert to the ~25 to 30 point, one way player he's always been.
It's just not worth moving a 1st for a player like that. If the Jets spend that pick, it needs to be for something that actually fills a need like a stay at home RHD as opposed to more unneeded depth on the left side.</div></div>
Hes been a 50 point player for 2 years now and would actually get 1st pp time. Jets dont have that great of a forward group. Ehlers, Connor, Scheifeile, Morrissey, Matheson. Jets only have a 19% pp. Its average and not much better than the Habs, with much better forwards. Matheson easily slots in. Also the Jets do not need a RHD. Pionk and Demelo are fine RHD. Roy is in FA. Jets need goals and offense. Matheson gives them that
Forum:
Armchair-GM
18 mars à 14 h 50
Sujet:
Positive offseason
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Windjammer</b></div><div>But he's not great defensively and is paid too much to play on the 2nd pair behind Morrissey.
If he was an RHD and good defensively he would fill a need. As it is, he doesn't add anything the Jets need.</div></div>
4.875m is now too much for a 2nd pair LHD that gets 50 points? If the Jets need a RHD DFD, resign Demelo, instead of resigning Dillon
Forum:
Armchair-GM
18 mars à 14 h 48
Sujet:
Offer sheet Lundell
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>DFinn91</b></div><div>1 less year and $5M less for the next 2 years.</div></div>
Habs dont need the cap though. Theyll have like 30m next year
Forum:
Armchair-GM
18 mars à 14 h 31
Sujet:
Offer sheet Lundell
a 1st, 2nd and 3rd for 1 less year of cap dumps
Id probably keep them for that price. Habs wouldnt give up a 1st to dump them
Forum:
Armchair-GM
18 mars à 14 h 26
Sujet:
Positive offseason
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Windjammer</b></div><div>Zero chance Winnipeg pays that much for a player that does nothing for them.</div></div>
Hed become your 2nd best d man instantly, And Iafallo is a cap dump. 23 points in 67 games at 4m is bad
Forum:
Armchair-GM
17 mars à 3 h 56
Sujet:
Huge trade with the Flames
Taking on those contracts even retained, is still more negative value than 3 years of Anderson and Gallagher
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 mars à 2 h 26
Sujet:
Adding to the roster
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OwenMd05</b></div><div>Makes you curious why you want such a awful propect in Holloway then</div></div>
I said hes worth a 2nd rounder. About the price it would to dump Ceci
Forum:
Armchair-GM
16 mars à 0 h 19
Sujet:
Adding to the roster
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>OwenMd05</b></div><div>Ceci isn’t but Holloway worth more than a first</div></div>
Hes gonna be 23, with 13 points in 83 games in the nhl
Dude is worth like a 2nd for the fact he was a former 1st rounder
Forum:
Armchair-GM
15 mars à 23 h 1
Sujet:
Bare minimum
Theres 4 options imo
Kyrou
Keller
Necas
Trading for the Pens pick and taking Eiserman
I think if you were to add the 2025 1st to the list with say Mesar, you can trade up to the Pens pick (which gives the Habs 2 top 10 picks) and a trade for one of the players
Something like
Barron, Mesar, 2024 1st WPG for Pens 2024 1st
2025 1st MTL, 2025 1st CGY, Harris/Xhekaj for Kyrou/Keller
Forum:
Armchair-GM
15 mars à 13 h 14
Sujet:
Habs offseason
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>bwhsocal</b></div><div>the 2 AZ are easy beyond easy passes, AZ is trading keller for meh prospects and couple 1st in 2 years. and price = 2years for 2x 7th not worth it.</div></div>
If you think a player is worth more than 2 1sts, a top 4 d and 2 bottom 6 prospect then its hopeless for you
Forum:
Armchair-GM
15 mars à 12 h 51
Sujet:
Pens offseason attempt
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CowanDeBrabarian</b></div><div>I think CGY take that deal and change their phone #. You'd have to send some money back for it ever to work for the Pens, though.</div></div>
The money works. They still have 2m in cap space.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
15 mars à 12 h 50
Sujet:
Pens offseason attempt
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>Ste_Catherine_Street</b></div><div>Habs pass. I don't think you even know who Barron and Mesar are. Mesar was a 1st rd pick...</div></div>
9th overall is Eiserman. Mesar is a 3rd line guy at best.
Forum:
Armchair-GM
15 mars à 12 h 48
Sujet:
Adding to the roster
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>CD282</b></div><div>Ceci plays harder minutes than Ekholm by far. His QoC is nearly as high, zone starts v Elites far harder, and he doesn't get to play with McDavid nearly as much as Ekholm.
He's not a world beater, but he is a legit top-4 NHL defenseman. Edmonton isn't making trade without a top-10 pick coming back.</div></div>
Just because you play better minutes does make you good. Hes 9th percentile 5v5 defense. Hes awful. He either needs to play less (and paying a 3rd pair guy 3.5m is funny) or get rid of him
Forum:
Armchair-GM
15 mars à 12 h 47
Sujet:
Adding to the roster
<div class="quote"><div class="quote_t">Quoting: <b>SupremeBone</b></div><div>It's almost as if you didn't even pay attention to your own proposal.</div></div>
Yes i did, Ceci is a cap dump. Holloway is worth like a 2nd rounder these days, maybe even less. It would cost him to take Ceci back
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