-Chatfield could get more in UFA, Big RHD ya someone will overpay
-Noesen is getting min 2 mill after having 2 solid seasons he will want to get paid
-Necas/Drury could ask for more.

Contracts for RFAs is pretty solid for the most part outside of term I could see Jarvis taking a bridge deal but Necas probably wants term.
UFAs are off though, guys want to get paid and for players like noesen/ Chatfield who have been depth players most their career but just had solid contract years they are gonna want to try and bank the most they can.

Looks good, except Chatfield will get around 3m

That's about what I would expect from a Harris trade, not sure if Utah would really be in the market for a guy like Fast though. Good post overall.

Sure, but I doubt Guentzel gets 10M. it evens out overall

Guentzel definitely gets 9m+ on the market.

Guentzel might be able to get 10 million, but I doubt it will be the Canes that give it to him. I doubt Fast waives his NMC for Utah, but if you get Guentzel's number lower, you can certainly keep him. The term for both Jarvis and Necas seems short for the AAV, although with arb rights Necas could conceivably do that if he thinks he'll get more as a UFA. I would prefer a veteran LHD to pair with Morrow, but I can see a world where he is put on the second pair to be assisted by Orlov and Chatfield stays third pair with Harris (or whoever). I'm not sure Blake or Gunler are particularly ready, but they could certainly surprise out of training camp. There's also the potential ~4 million in cap savings of a KK buyout (or more if he is traded), but that seems not super likely.

All in all, good job! I'm being pretty nitpicky, but I agree that the "Canes can't keep Necas" narrative is overblown unless he is asking for ~8 million a year.