not on this planet.

the first two trades I can see happening. the thing with markstroms term is retaining 2 mil for another three years is a lot more than not, not sure the approach conny takes even with the trades falling through last time, but it really depends on if NJ gets desperate and pull the trigger on rolling out the red carpet for a guy like marky. just my opinion tho

The Dallas trade is at full value not 50% retained which would cost a 1st round pick.

Boston declines that Hanifin trade.

And for Craig Conroy to eat $4,000,000 on Jacob Markstrom, The offer would have to be far better than this.

I think the first two look fine...but use a later pick for NJD deal.

And I like the idea of retaining Vanecek 50% as way to buy down trade (or add more retention on Markstrom).
Protects either side if either goalie falls apart and needs a buyout.


Holtz
Vanecek (50%)
2nd round pick

Markstrom (33%)
6th round pick

(something like that)

Does Boston decline that deal? I don’t see them trading Lohrei and a first without getting something back. I think this kind of bridges that value. In fact, part of me wonders if Boston would have to add a secondary prospect with projectable skill to Calgary.

Could change it to Dallas' 2nd round pick instead of Calgarys. That should even it out some.

1st for retention, holtz for markstrom. Could take vanecek out I guess. He has no real value either way.

The double retention just seems strange to me, I don't know if there has ever been a trade like that.

If I remember right they said it broke down over the cost or amount of retention. I think a 1st for what would be 4.6M is about the going rate.

33% retention on Markstrom is $2m over 3 years
50% retention on Vanacek is $1.7M over 2 years

So basically it is $300k retention for 2 years and $2m in year 3.

Why not get a third team involved and just make it happen? What am I missing? Soem team with cap who is not going to be in has gotta take a look at that no?

It's a pretty even trade if Hanifin gets an extension with Boston. There are 2 perspectives you can view the trade from:

1: The bruins are all in and want to try to win the cup this year. This could be worth the trade. If Hanifin has an extension, I guess I'm not super against it.

2: (my perspective) The bruins have an eye on the future, and this year it is what it is. They're overachieving and it's very hard to make the case that they're a true contender. Hanifin would be nice, but even with him, I just don't see how they win a cup without a 1c. Add that to my opinion Lohrei is more NHL ready than people are willing to admit, and the Bruins desperately need a 1c, which will only be via draft in the first round, likely as a top 12 pick.

The bruins can keep focusing on luxuries, but until they get a 1c, I think it's a waste of time and avoiding the elephant in the room. Just seems like a distraction more than anything. But who knows, maybe elite defense and goaltending can win you a cup with average offense. Nashville was 2 wins away in '17...

You'd think Chicago would be interested in more picks. They're not going to be a cap team before markstroms contract expires.

Ultimately, every team makes difficult decisions on cap allocation and it’s never perfect.

I personally feel the late first is the most overated asset in the NHL, but acknowledge that Sweeney has taken that to a bit of an extreme and it lowers the potential for impact assets.

I could see a structure like this. I’d prefer the Calgary 2nd rounder for obvious reasons, but it is directionally it looks more feasible

The value seems even on the Dallas trade.

Without the retention this trade is in the ballpark - I think NJ would need the first to be their 2025 pick as it would most likely be in the 20-32 range next year.

However everyone on this site drastically underestimates the costs associated with retention. You want Cgy to take back Vanacek @ $3.4M for another year and retain $4+M on Marky.

Consider Calgary had to pay a 1st for MTL to take Sean Monahan for 1 yr @ $6M ( granted this was one of the dumbest things Treliving ever did). Why on earth would Calgary take on @ $7M of salary back without proper compensation.

The issue isn't that Calgary won't do retention - Conroy has simply made it know he ain't gonna do it for free!

New Jersey is paying a 1st for the retention, maybe you can add another later pick if you think it's needed. In hind site yeah trading a 1st to move Monahan wasn't the best move, but at the time it was. It was basically trading a 1st for Nazem Kadri. Even if we didn't trade him away I doubt we would have resigned him last off season after he was injured again. So we wouldn't have been the team flipping him for a first this year.

If the 1st is for the retention and taking on Vanacek then I certainly don't think Holtz for Markey straight up is anywhere near enough from our perspective. Would probably need to be Holtz & Bahl or an additional 2nd to make it palatable.

exactly

Holtz for Markstrom would be the biggest return for a goalie I can think of in recent history.

I 100% agree on late first round picks being overvalued. I think the reason they're overvalued is because they have the potential to be higher in a lot of trade scenarios, you never know if a contender has a down year and gets a mid teens pick. That's a big difference. But overall, if you're looking to fill a specific positional need in your pool via the draft, anywhere the quality/odds drop-off from 20-50 isn't that crazy. Poitras for example. And most late first round picks end up as solid 3rd liners on average.

It’s kind of ironic. I’d value Bostons first in 2025 over a team in the 23 to 29 slot this year. It has considerably more upside depending on protections. Calgary fans don’t seem to see it that way, which is fine … but it doesn’t change my opinion.

I'm curious about you're opinion here, I know next years draft class is supposed to be better, but not great. So do you think Bostons pick is going to be a lot higher next year?

We are at the stage of the season where you know Vancouvers pick is going to be post 20. I’d assume most of the teams pursuing Hanifin fit in that description.

Next year, an injury could happen that could change the construct of the team or an older team regresses or Montgomery’s message becomes stale. Lots of things could happen

Most people won't agree with me, but about the only difference i see between Boston and Calgary is Pasta. Defense is about the same, depth scoring is the same,both teams are getting great goal tending. Calgary just lacks that one difference maker.