Quoting: GiggywithGibby
And you're doing yourself a disservice by pulling comps from the tail end of the dead puck era vs today's NHL.
Look at the last couple of TDL's big name UFAs to be Tarasenko, Kane, Horvat, Giroux, those are your trade comparables.
The Dead Puck Era was over in 2005. Hossa was traded in 2007. St. Louis was traded in 2014.
Guentzel has better numbers than all guys bolded above in the 2.5 seasons before they were traded.
Guentzel:
Xgoals: 41.1
Goals: 37.7
Points: 81.7
Corsi: 60%
Shooting Talent Above Average: 18.0%
Horvat:
Xgoals: 27.1
Goals: 32.0
Points: 61.0
Corsi: 56%
Shooting Talent Above Average: 2.3%
Kane:
Xgoals: 19.1
Goals: 22.3
Points: 80.3
Corsi: 52%
Shooting Talent Above Average: 17.9%
Giroux:
Xgoals: 17.3
Goals: 21
Points: 60
Corsi: 60%
Shooting Talent Above Average: 9.1%
Tarasenko (I counted his last 3 healthy seasons)
Xgoals: 21.6
Goals: 28.3
Points: 66.7
Corsi: 53%
Shooting Talent Above Average: 18.1%
Guentzel is better to much better.
Now what did they get traded for?
Horvat: Middle 1st + Top 6 winger + NYI 2nd best prospect
Giroux: Top 30 prospect + 3rd + 1st
Kane: Conditional 1st and some minor guys (not a fair comp as Kane only had 1 place he was willing to go)
Tarasenko: 1st, 4th, and B prospect
So Guentzel is better than that group and you think he is worth the least of them (Tarasenko and Kane)?
Kane wouldn't go anywhere buy NY and Tarasenko wasn't healthy / as effective as pre injuries.
Guentzel's trade floor is Giroux or Horvat. Which is what I said about Van.
Low 1st + A prospect + NHL player