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Jenner - What will it take

Créé par: Mr_Gardoki
Équipe: 2023-24 Penguins de Pittsburgh
Date de création initiale: 26 janv. 2024
Publié: 26 janv. 2024
Mode - plafond salarial: Basique
Description
Clearly everyone has heard the reports that CBJ is listening to offers on a bunch of players. Jenner has received a lot of interest, but being how much he means to the team it's not very likely he gets dealt.

With that said, CBJ fans, without doing the capfriendly-overvalue-dance, what would it take to get him?
Transactions
CBJ
    What's it gonna take? Throw me offers
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    TAILLE DE LA FORMATIONPLAFOND SALARIALCAP HITEXCÉDENTS Info-bulleBONISESPACE SOUS LE PLAFOND SALARIAL
    2383 500 000 $85 454 342 $0 $0 $-1 954 342 $
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    4 500 000 $4 500 000 $
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    5 375 000 $5 375 000 $
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    775 000 $775 000 $
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    Laissés de côtéListe des blessés (IR)Liste des blessés à long terme (LTIR)
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    900 000 $900 000 $
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    775 000 $775 000 $
    DG
    RFA - 2

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    26 janv. à 12 h 42
    #26
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    Quoting: Mr_Gardoki
    There's a lot of value in him for sure and his cap-hit is one of them. He's not young, but he's not old, however he's closer to aging out. I think some mix of a 1st, prospect and a roster player (for cap purposes) would be fair in a deal. I just think comparing rental trades to hockey trades, especially ones that are a few years out isn't the best litmus.


    The value I'd put on him in 'pure value' as a tweener 2/3C (not a term I like but he's not really a true 2C but an exemplary 3C or a very good 2LW) is probably a 1st, 3rd and prospect, something in that line, mostly because of his term and low cap hit adding to his value. His intrinsic value is far harder to calculate. Probably looking closer to 1st, 2nd, roster player (probably necessary for most teams for cap puproses anyway) and prospect. Add in a premium for it being divisional and it goes up some more......you don't have to like it, but if you were that desperate to prise him out of there then that's likely where you're headed. I balked at it myself when Jenner was being discussed for the Avs, and that was without an inter-divisional premium.
    Mr_Gardoki et JacketsComrade a aimé ceci.
    26 janv. à 12 h 47
    #27
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    Quoting: CaseyFlyman
    I'm assuming this discussion pops up again because of Dreger's report, where he explicitly stated Jenner isn't available. Welcome to the never-ending discussion.


    So, using Brian Burke logic, he's gone at the deadline!
    26 janv. à 12 h 48
    #28
    Benzino204
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    Pittsburgh doesn't have the picks, or prospects to overpay for Jenner, which is what they'd need to do to convince Columbus to trade him.

    This is likely a retool situation similar to what Vancouver did last year, where they traded Horvat, made a coaching change, and kept guys like Miller, and are now one of the best team's in the league.
    26 janv. à 12 h 54
    #29
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    Banni
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    Quoting: TJTwolf
    The value I'd put on him in 'pure value' as a tweener 2/3C (not a term I like but he's not really a true 2C but an exemplary 3C or a very good 2LW) is probably a 1st, 3rd and prospect, something in that line, mostly because of his term and low cap hit adding to his value. His intrinsic value is far harder to calculate. Probably looking closer to 1st, 2nd, roster player (probably necessary for most teams for cap puproses anyway) and prospect. Add in a premium for it being divisional and it goes up some more......you don't have to like it, but if you were that desperate to prise him out of there then that's likely where you're headed. I balked at it myself when Jenner was being discussed for the Avs, and that was without an inter-divisional premium.


    Fair rationale. I'm really not sure how much sense any of it would make, but I'm curious for sure.
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    26 janv. à 13 h 12
    #30
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    As a pens fan, I’d probably send Reilly Smith 50% retained (obviously with the idea that they flip him back to Vegas[most likely retaining the additional 25%] so Smith agrees to waive), POJ, 2nd, and a 3rd. That’s probably the most I’d be willing to give up for him. I know the jackets fans will say multiple 1sts, Yager, Pickering, and Crosby’s left nut, but I just don’t think that is realistic. I doubt they’d trade Jenner being he still has 2 years left after this one unfortunately just because they are terribly run. Anyone can see they are way far away from playoff contention, much less cup contention and should trade a lot of their older talent and speed up the rebuild.
    26 janv. à 13 h 42
    #31
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    Quoting: Mr_Gardoki
    First off, scrap the attitude. I did a perfectly fine disclaimer in the description WHICH YOU CLEARLY DIDN'T READ.

    Second, just be happy anyone is even talking about the Jackets. They are one of the worst run teams in hockey and probably won't be a playoff team for another decade.

    Third, that offer is absolutely absurd.

    While I concede for the Jackets to move him would take a SLIGHT overpay, it would be slight. That return your showing is for an elite player, so stop it.


    The attitude wasn't for you, it's for the dozens of other people who do Jenner ACGMs every day who will inevitably read this. Just wanted to make it clear that he's not available now and no insiders are suggesting otherwise.

    I'd add that the Pens are probably one of the worst destinations for a Jenner trade on account 1) you've already got two generational centers, and 2) the assets aren't there or likely to be traded for more help now. Doesn't make sense.

    You asked what he's worth, I gave you a good-faith multi-paragraph explanation with examples of why I think he's worth that. Sorry I wasted your time and thank you for giving our lowly team your brainspace, your majesty. Please tell the Penguins to show us some mercy. This is why most fans just resort to "Jenner isn't available", it's 80% of AGCMs on here.

    FWIW, he's not an elite player, but he is a top-6 player with an elite contract and insane market.
    26 janv. à 16 h 51
    #32
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    Banni
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    Quoting: CaseyFlyman
    The attitude wasn't for you, it's for the dozens of other people who do Jenner ACGMs every day who will inevitably read this. Just wanted to make it clear that he's not available now and no insiders are suggesting otherwise.

    I'd add that the Pens are probably one of the worst destinations for a Jenner trade on account 1) you've already got two generational centers, and 2) the assets aren't there or likely to be traded for more help now. Doesn't make sense.

    You asked what he's worth, I gave you a good-faith multi-paragraph explanation with examples of why I think he's worth that. Sorry I wasted your time and thank you for giving our lowly team your brainspace, your majesty. Please tell the Penguins to show us some mercy. This is why most fans just resort to "Jenner isn't available", it's 80% of AGCMs on here.

    FWIW, he's not an elite player, but he is a top-6 player with an elite contract and insane market.


    Dude, how do you not see you're all attitude still?

    If you look at this thread, I have clearly have no problem discussing things I don't agree with or even conceding points. I just don't discuss with you because of your attitude. Go take your frustrations out on others.
    26 janv. à 16 h 52
    #33
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    Banni
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    Quoting: Hockeyfan1234
    As a pens fan, I’d probably send Reilly Smith 50% retained (obviously with the idea that they flip him back to Vegas[most likely retaining the additional 25%] so Smith agrees to waive), POJ, 2nd, and a 3rd. That’s probably the most I’d be willing to give up for him. I know the jackets fans will say multiple 1sts, Yager, Pickering, and Crosby’s left nut, but I just don’t think that is realistic. I doubt they’d trade Jenner being he still has 2 years left after this one unfortunately just because they are terribly run. Anyone can see they are way far away from playoff contention, much less cup contention and should trade a lot of their older talent and speed up the rebuild.


    It's also about giving some of these players their real shot at a cup. Now, I'm not saying playing for the Pens gives him a shot, but in general they should let these guys go chase their chance.
    8 févr. à 9 h 18
    #34
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    Quoting: CaseyFlyman
    I'm assuming this discussion pops up again because of Dreger's report, where he explicitly stated Jenner isn't available. Welcome to the never-ending discussion.

    The long: he's a captain on a sweetheart deal with term who's producing well with a unique, valuable skillset. The keys to his value are:
    1) he's a decent 2C, great 3C, which every playoff team needs
    2) He's on an amazing deal that every playoff team could accommodate
    3) His great deal has term, so he's not a rental, which every playoff team with aspirations of competing beyond just this year loves.
    4) His current team signed him to said sweetheart deal specifically to keep him around, and has no desire to move him.

    Each of those bump his value up since you have to convince Columbus to move him, then beat out every other contender's offer. It's not like he's a depressed asset we have to move that only has a handful of landing spots. The argument is never "Jenner is one of the best centers in the league, pay us for him!", it's "Jenner has a huge market and fills a need for tons of teams, and that spikes his value regardless of his (still good) production, that's what you're overpaying for."

    He's a Horvat style player who wins faceoffs like Lindholm and scores goals like Pavelski, but you can have him for this year and the next two at current Evan Bouchard money if you make a good enough offer to convince Columbus it's worth moving their unicorn.

    You'll see people argue anything ranging from "expiring 3C UFA with 15 points" offers to "star 1C for the rest of time" demands. I think in reality, the Horvat deal + ??? is a decent comp: 1st, roster player/pick, good prospect. If Columbus deals him, we need a legitimate shot at replacing him soon coming back, so center prospects are preferred. Because of the deal, roster player/pick -> 2nd-equivalent, and good prospect -> top prospect.

    So, IMO, it takes: 1st, 2nd, A+/top prospect to land him.

    For Pittsburgh specifically, I don't think there's an A+ prospect in the organization, and we definitely don't want to see him in Pittsburgh ever (main rival in-division), so the price goes up more...so 2024 2nd, 2025 1st, and 2026 1st, all unprotected.


    Oh lord where to start, for one the pens and blue jackets have never really had any rivalry because the blue jackets have not ever been consistently in the playoffs or really even played them in the playoffs. you are not getting a high first maybe if he was traded to someone like the Avs you could get a 1st and 4th because their 1st is not worth as much. you are not getting any great A+ prospects. for sure not getting 2 firsts. Jenner is a good player on a good contract but you are going overboard. There are better players that you would get for the package. I'd say the package the pens would have to give for him is 2 second rounders a fifth rounder and maybe like alex nylander.
     
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