I feel like Jarry ought to be worth less than that. If that's the ask, I'd rather go after Gibson or Markstrom. The retention makes it at least worth considering

Devils will be far more interested in Nedeljkovic

I have a feeling Canucks might accept this trade.

Jarry is better and 2/5 years younger than Gibson and Jarry respectively.

I’d do that in a heartbeat as NJD

Jarry is just too inconsistent. I'd rather rent Ned and readdress it in the summer

Uhhh Vrana already cleared but 👍🏻

The 4th trade is VERY undervalued. Petterson is worth much more than that.

Everyone overvalues their teams players...

CBJ paid a mid-1st and 2nd for Provorov @ 4.725M, 3 years remaining (UFA)

VAN paid a mid-1st and 2nd for Hronek @ 4.4M, 2 years remaining (RFA)

OTT paid a mid-1st, mid-2nd, and 2026 2nd for Chychrun @ 4.6M, 3 years remaining (UFA)

LAK paid a late-1st and 3rd for Gavrikov @ 2.8M rental (UFA)

BOS paid a very late-1st, and two very late 2nds for Lindholm @ 2.6M rental (UFA)

An offer of a mid-1st, 3rd, and 4th is pretty fair for Pettersson @ 4.025M with 2 years remaining

Not far off IMO. Maybe drop the 3rd and idt Pittsburgh would be retaining for that many years

Maybe. Let's look at the data for the guys in the year they were traded.

Provorov:
Points per 60: 0.70
Goal% with most common pair: 39.5% (54th in NHL)
Corsi: 47%

Hronek (before trade):
Points per 60: 0.89
Goal% with most common pair: 54.4% (24th in NHL)
Corsi: 46%

Chychrun
Points per 60: 1.44
Goal% with most common pair: 59.6% (12th in NHL)
Corsi: 51%

Gavrikov
Points per 60: 0.61
Goal% with most common pair: 43.4% (49th in NHL)
Corsi: 48%

Lindholm:
Points per 60: 0.71
Goal% with most common pair: 46.5% (40th in NHL)
Corsi: 50%

Now let's look at Pettersson:
Points per 60: 0.91
Goal% with most common pair: 70.3% (1st in NHL)
Corsi: 52%

So Pettersson has been better at scoring points than everyone but Chychrun, has a better Corsi and a better %goals on the ice than every other example you named. And you made him worth less than all of them.

Pettersson is worth a mid 1st and an A prospect. If the Pens are still even remotely in it, the price will be higher than that even. Retention adds even more.

The best comp is Chychrun and he was traded for: a 1st (12th overall), a conditional 1st (that turned into a 2nd), and another 2nd. And most pundits agreed it was an underpay.

It’s always tough when players are paired with others to know what the true value was.

Gavrikov came with Korpisalo

Lindholm had a salary dump in Moore that cost them an additional second round pick.

But yeah … it’s always interesting to see how these trades play out. They are rarely as one sided as the Cap Friendly deals are

No team is going to base the value on that alone. It's clear to anyone whose watched hockey for five minutes, if you put a guy with a 3-time (and most recent) Norris winner, they're going to have better scoring stats. Would Pettersson have that same statistic on a line with someone like Pietrangelo, Larsson, or Pulock? No, he wouldnt. That's why you compare the common stats, you'll get reasonable value. Every once in a while a Chiarot or Jeannot type trade comes along, and everyone knows those are the outliers.

A 1st + A tier prospect is slight overlay, but reasonable with 50% retention, but a ridiculous overpay without.