Canucks decline, they aren't moving Garland for a guy whose worse and paid more for longer.

I disagree. I think Vancouver would probably take this especially with the 3rd in return. Contract length is the same and it's a 50k difference on AAV.

oilers probably say yes.

They both have two years left after this, and Pageau makes $5M vs. Garland's $4.95M. It's more or less an even swap cap-wise that swaps the Canucks' current 3RW for a 3C, with an extra mid-round pick thrown in. Vancouver can either keep an overpaid third line winger, or bring in a slightly older overpaid third line center and get a third round pick. I know which one I'd take, honestly.

Yeah I'd stick with Garland, too.