1. There is no guarantee that Alex DeBrincat plays for Detroit at any point in his career without being traded there.




2. The Islanders' 1st round pick is #17 overall and there is a steep drop in value between #7 overall in 2022 and #17 overall in 2023.




3. The Bruins' 1st round pick is Top 10 Protected and is in 2024, not 2023.





4. This is how high the Bruins' 1st round pick has been for the last 6 years:


2018 --- #26 overall
2019 --- #30 overall
2020 --- #27 overall
2021 --- #21 overall
2022 --- #22 overall
2023 --- #28 overall
.




5. A player drafted late in the first round using the Bruins' 1st in 2024 could very easily be taken in the second round in 2023.

In other words, even though it's nominally two 1st round picks, it's arguably a 2023 1st + a 2023 2nd in value.





6. Detroit is not losing any players off their roster.




7. A 25+ goal scoring Top 6 forward is going to Detroit while the same one is being taken away from a division rival.




8. Detroit was ranked #24 in the league this season in Goals For.

If you add to that DeBrincat's 27 goals from this season with Ottawa, Detroit would be ranked #15 in Goals For.

If you add instead the 41 goals DeBrincat scored in his last season with Chicago, Detroit would be ranked #10 in Goals For.

Detroit desperately needs more scoring because it could be the difference-maker for whether Detroit makes the playoffs.





9. There is no guarantee that either of the two 1sts in this trade will become an NHL player.




10. The difference in value between these two firsts and what some Wings fans have proposed for DeBrincat in ACGM is negligible.




11. Detroit will eventually have to take a big step forward and emerge from their rebuild.