Quoting: Xqb15a
That’s just crazy. You’re talking about at a minimum of 5 years of 100pt performance for a 37yr old that could fall off a cliff in a year and 2 middling picks. You are kidding yourself if you think any team does that and that’s not even taking into account that the cap is going to go up significantly during the duration of that contract.
Again, the 37yo has been a PPG player pretty much his whole career. Yes, he could fall off. So could MacKinnon. So can everyone, regardless of age.
Two middling picks? You say that as if they are 4th rounders. One is 14 overall and the other is likely between 19 - 25 overall.
Yes, the cap will go up...probably. Unless there is another Covid or a recession or *insert economic problem that inhibits excess spending by the public*. Even if / when the cap goes up, 12MM is still a lot if MacKinnon falls off post 30.
The risk of Pit is that MacKinnon falls off post 30 and they are stuck with an unmovable contract.
The risk of Col is that MacKinnon stays great throughout his contract.
Both have risk, both could happen. It's a fair trade but not realistic due to emotional impact.