couldnt afford 2nd t
Rejoint: sept. 2021
Messages: 1,014
Mentions "j'aime": 434
The rumored ask from Arizona is two 1sts, and a "top prospect" for Chychrun and dumping Zaitsev's contract.
-Both 1st round picks have protection.
-Brannstrom borders on throw in status. But he might be a solid reclamation project for Arizona, who will be able to give him top pairing minutes.
-The 4th round pick is for Brannstrom, although it is better for both teams if they don't admit that. The Senators can present it as if they got good value from the Stone trade, since they parlayed the return into Chychrun - the Coyotes can present Brannstrom as a top prospect, since two or so years ago he was a big name prospect in the NHL.
-Brannstrom signs a 1-2 year contract at about 1.5M.
-Formenton is the "top prospect" Arizona gets. They want Greig, Pinto, or Thomson, Ottawa negotiates down to Formenton. Formenton signs a 2 year 2.XXM contract extension with Arizona. If the Hockey Canada stuff is an issue, then the piece will be different.
-If Formenton is going to be suspended for the season, maybe keep him in the trade but also include a 2nd round pick as compensation to Arizona for him being suspended. Arizona probably doesn't care that much if he misses the season.
-Arizona takes Zaitsev, because the Senators are a budget team. Zaitsev only makes 2.5M this year against a 4.5M cap hit, which is good for Arizona. As bad as Zaitsev is, they need someone who can eat up top minutes in the NHL. Which Zaitsev has done on the rebuilding Senators. They don't care if he is bad, because they are tanking anyways. Zaitsev eating up top minutes will protect their young defenseman from having their development destroyed with tough assignments on a bad team.
This will be the middle ground both teams agree to. Arizona isn't getting Pinto, Greig, etc. They aren't getting the Seth Jones return, but this is pretty damn close. Chychrun is not going to accept being shopped for years. Arizona knows they have leverage to extort a big return from Ottawa since Chychrun is underpaid (in real dollars), and no one else can take Zaitsev without something like a 1st round pick being attached to him. They also likely know that if Ottawa pivots away from Chychrun and goes with a plan B, no one is offering up anything close to two 1st round picks in a package deal for Chychrun.
Not to mention, Ottawa is not proven. Those two 1st round picks could very well end up as top 10 picks. The protection would likely be top 5. So Arizona could end up with picks in that 6th-15th type range, which will net them much better prospects than if they unload Chychrun to a proven playoff team.
I think training camp will be the deadline. Chychrun won't want to go into training camp with his future uncertain, and Arizona gains nothing by dragging this out. In the next 2.5 years, it is unlikely that a situation as advantageous as this one materializes for Arizona. Ottawa is in a very unique spot that Arizona can capitalize on. If they push for too much, and Ottawa backs off, they aren't getting a package as good as what Ottawa can give from any other team.