Rejoint: mai 2015
Messages: 115
Mentions "j'aime": 5
Even if we assume that the value is fair, this trade fits neither the Devils' needs nor their timeline. I can see what you're going for, but ultimately the Devils' and Leafs' needs (i.e. defensive help) are too similar for this kind of trade to work.
As New Jersey attempts to complete their rebuild, they wouldn't trade their 23-year-old starter for a starter who turns 31 in October, and whose contract expires after next season. Blackwood is the Devils' present and future; even if Andersen is a clear upgrade (which, based on each goalie's numbers from the last two years, I'm unsure about), he does not fit the Devils' timeline. Regardless of how much value the Leafs send in return, the Devils are not likely to give up Blackwood without getting another goalie of the future.
Damon Severson was-- at 25 years old --the Devils' most-used defenseman in 2019-20. They may consider trading him in a package that includes Liljegren and a 1st, but only if they also receive some short-term help in the trade. Johnsson and Kapanen would provide that short-term help in theory, but in practice they would be redundant on New Jersey's roster. This season, middle-6 calibre wingers were just about the only thing that New Jersey had enough of. It's not that Severson is worth more than Liljegren, a 1st, Johnsson, and Kapanen-- in fact, you've probably overrated Severson in this trade. It's that Johnsson and Kapanen are of no use to the Devils.
As a side note, I don't think Severson is the defenseman that you want him to be; he probably won't satisfy Toronto's need for a rock-solid 1st pair RHD. Severson occasionally shows all the skills of a two-way dynamo, but he generally suffers from the same defects that have doomed Toronto's previous defensive projects: he's prone to disastrous lapses in judgement (both with and without the puck) and he often makes sub-optimal puck decisions when faced with pressure from opponents. Yes, Severson is more physical than Tyson Barrie or Jake Gardiner, and more dependable than Cody Ceci. But he's not the answer for Toronto, and he's not worth gutting the Leafs' middle 6. Similarly, Connor Carrick isn't exactly world-beater; I wouldn't be surprised if Liljegren is a better option as soon as next year.