Can't see a CBO happening if cap goes up

Sergachev, Cernak, Cirelli and Ennis will want more. And the cap isn't going up

Tampa will pay Serg and Cirelli a bit more. With a flat cap and a cbo it still works though. Shattenkirk is very unlikely to return unless he takes another team friendly 1 or 2 year deal, which most TBL fans aren't expecting. Killorn is traded, and it all depends on how many on his approved list are interested. He could go for a late 1st or a 2nd+, have to wait and see. Gourde or Johnson would be the likely cbo candidate, and then you move Paquette and Coburn. These moves free up enough space for Tampa to resign the 3 rfa's somewhere in the 10.5 to 11 range and still have at least a 21 but likely a 22 player roster. Stephens and Verhaeghe get more time and ABB/Volkov/Joseph possibly as well. Maroon may or may not return, I'm sure Tampa will try to keep him on another 1 year deal if they want him back. On defense I believe they will focus on Hedman, McD, Serg, Rutta, Cernak and Foote as the top 6, with the 7/8 being some combination of Schenn/Bogo/Gaunce or another low cost player. Shattenkirk was never planned on being here long term, so I don't see him part of the plan next year. I suppose if they feel Foote still isn't ready, they could try something with the right side being Cernak, Shattenkirk at a reduced # and either Rutta/Bogo, but most indications have Foote ready to make the jump next year. Tampa loses several non core guys in most attempts for next year, but Coleman and Goodrow help offset that quite a bit and plenty of young talent ready for their opportunity.

Well letting Shattenkirk walk would help matters some.

I Doubt that Cernak wants more, but i agree